Moon of Alabama – Feb 20, 2024
International relations professor Andrew Latham opined in a recent piece that the idea of total Ukrainian victory is delusional.
Unfortunately some people, predominantly in Europe, still stick to the delusional idea:
In professional journals, on influential websites and across the full spectrum of media outlets, observers, analysts and pundits alike continue to inform us that, yes, there is a way for Ukraine to prevail over Russia, expelling the latter from all of its territory, including Crimea.
…
[That’s nonsense.]
…
In short, Russia is winning the war and there is little to suggest that any foreseeable political, economic, tactical or technological developments are likely to alter that fundamental reality. So why are we seeing arguments about an ultimate Ukrainian battlefield triumph, in the face of all the devastatingly contradictory evidence?
Well, applying Occam’s razor — the principle that “other things being equal, simpler explanations are generally better than more complex ones” — I would suggest that the delusional belief that there is a pathway to total victory for Ukraine is based less on evolving military or geopolitical realities than on a simple psychological dynamic, one best summed up in the concept of “commitment escalation.”
According to this concept, individuals or groups sometimes exhibit a tendency to persist with a failing argument, even as that argument becomes increasingly untenable in light of the facts. This behavior is marked above all by an adherence to prior commitments — sunk costs, as the economists might put it — regardless of their present plausibility or rationality. It is a psychological dysfunction.
The German government under chancellor Scholz is one group which has stuck to the fallen argument. There is no way the Ukraine can win or that Russia could lose that war and any additional price paid for attempts to invalidate that is just wasted.
Since the start of the war the EU’s and Germany’s reaction to it have been on the wrong path.
As I wrote on February 28 2022:
Cont. reading: Screw The Facts – Europe Commits Itself To Further Escalation
Wed 21/02/2024 08:01
MIGRANT COSTS BANKRUPT BIRMINGHAM
Bankrupt Birmingham council to raise council tax by 21% and shed 600 jobs
Birmingham City Council will raise council tax by 21 per cent and cull up to 600 jobs in a bid to save £300m.
A spokesman said there are 40 UK councils bankrupt from constantly paying out on foreign migrants
Europe’s largest local authority issued a so-called section 114 notice last year, meaning it is essentially bankrupt, after it said it faced £760 million loss
In an urgent attempt to cut back spending, the council will dim street lights, waste collection intervals will increase to every two weeks and burial costs will rise as will council tax and hampering motorists
The local authority announced the provisional changes in a briefing on Monday where they set out how they will cut £150m from its budget in 2024-25 and the same again in 2025-26.Dimming streetlights will save up to £1m a year and cut-backs on highways maintenance such as pothole filling could save up to £12m, depending on the outcome of a Private Finance Initiative (PFI)- a partnership with the private sector.
Next to take a hit is adult social care which will be cut by £23.7m in the next financial year.The Children’s, Young People and Families department will have to find £51.5m savings.
Many Birmingham families are already very hard hit, with many parents skipping meals to feed children
The local authority asked ministers for permission to raise council tax by at least 10 per cent in each of the next two financial years.
The announcements come as council workers claim a backlog of historical equal pay claims have not yet been resolved.
“Birmingham City Council seem to have a plan for slashing local services, but they don’t yet have a plan for feeding its people
Speaking on Monday, Council Leader John Cotton told the BBC they were “really difficult decisions to take”.
Government people trafficks in migrants here and we have to find the money to look after them
“This is a big number we’re seeking to take out of the budget and clearly we know that these will have impacts on citizens in terms of services that they receive,” he said.
“What we’ve sought to do in framing this budget is we mitigate the impact on the most vulnerable, so we’ve ensured that adult social care and children’s services take a much lower percentage cut, but the bottom line is ” stop the migrants “
The morons still can’t figure out that the war in Ukraine is a ZWOG (NATO/Russia) setup to progress Whiteocide. It won’t end until the Jews/Commies have determined enough Aryans have been exterminated. And from there they intend to maneuver the remaining whites of Europe/America to be decimated via their scripted NATO vs BRICS-Agenda 2030-WWIII scam.
‘The German government under chancellor Scholz is one group which has stuck to the fallen argument.’
All of Scholz’s arguments are fallen ones. It does not say much of the German public that it is tolerating this evil little ferret-man Scholz right up to the ballot-box chance of ousting him. In the meantime, he has overseen the destruction of Germany’s economy, for long the biggest in Europe. Why has he not been clapped in the stocks?
Europe already is such easy prey to these liberal democrats, socialist communists, humanists turned satanists .. not to mention megalomaniac would be globalists, unless all nations involved have a very bloody revolution ..
Avdiivka ?
Wow, great gains, how long has it taken,
It’s akin to England invading Wales & getting to the outskirts of Wrexham,
No end in sight,
Is there still opportunities to invest in The Great Military industrial complex.
The ‘Jimmy Grants’ have had FAR BETTER gains, from their beachheads in Kent.
Unarmed, no costumes, no trinket hierarchy, no ‘comms’, no regimental structures,
& apart from no chicks throwing flowers at these conquerors as they land, great financial benefits given into the bargain there after,
Tell me again,
WHY.. do I still have to show a passport when I leave/enter the UK on the Tunnel train ?
Go ahead, Explain it to me.
According to the story of Leo Wanta, EU was created by the “stolen” Russian money of about $600 trillion.
(Leo Wanta, David P. Crayford story (though Both were fraudsters))
Leo Wanta story by David Crayford
【David Crayford : I say, do you Wanta serve another prison sentence 】
◆ http://www.rumormill.news/42826
The story is of the era of Gorbachev, Reagan, Mitterrand, Thatcher.
Relating to Soviet fall.
SophIt is the stupid fe-manist von de Leyen who has decimated
Europe by stopping Europe and especially Germany, from getting the cheap and abundant natural gas from Russia. Fe-manists are so stupid. so full of ego.
@ASTRAEA
women are steered by their hormons + feelings, men mostly
by brain . middle europe is in a mess from north to south
mainly by female politicians and castrated men in politics
by jewish communist feminism ideology . there are adicional
too many feminists in medias + social psychology + other
bla bla sciences . women should stay out of politics + men
should be freed from jew steered feminism+racism ideologies .
here in germany they make a big (organised) adoo Fight
against rightists (nazis) . but all jews internationaly + specialy
in germany support the zionist Nazis in israel . HYPOCRITES !
RIGHT — “stop the migrants”.
The minute ONE WHITE NATION puts an end to this bullshit the avalanche begins. And the zio-traitors know it. This is why they CANNOT stop. One inch of giveback is their end. One small retreat — they lose the war.
So where will it happen? London or Berlin? Or someplace odd like Pittsburg or Allentown? Or some little suburb in Spain or Italy?
It must begin. The beginning is the end. Keep that in mind.
in germany the moslems will do it .
the Dummdeutsche are incompetend .
About above one I wrote .
Leo Wanta story is hoax.
Many Russians had already noticed the substance of the communism of jew.
So , Solzhenitsyn was awarded Nobel prize in 1970.
Rothschild thought that ‘‘From now, we shall controll Russia from the outside’’.
Confer Harold Wallace Rosenthal’s 《Hidden Tyranny》.
Leo Wanta story is utter distraction from the Rothschilds.