Will Jones – The Daily Sceptic June 29, 2023
The unsayable truth about the U.K. housing crisis is that prices are so high because demand is strong, and demand is strong because the U.K. has welcomed 10 million migrants in 25 years, writes Lionel Shriver in the Spectator. Shriver says she mentioned this on a BBC Radio show earlier this year and the breach of taboo was palpable: “A sudden pin-drop silence followed by murmurous resettling in chairs conveyed shock, then palpable unease.” But the facts speak for themselves, she writes.
U.K. fertility has been below replacement rate for a startling 50 years. That helps explain why over the course of 25 of those years, 1973-1998, the population only grew from 56 million to 58.5 million. But in the next 25 years, U.K. population rose to nearly 68 million: 9.5 million new people in a generation, all while Britons were themselves under-reproducing? This demographic surge can only be down to immigration, and these new inhabitants must live somewhere. Half of the social housing in London is occupied by immigrant-led households. In my heavily council-owned neighbourhood, the students who flood the pavements on weekday afternoons are nearly all ethnically Asian or African.
This week, a Government impact statement estimates that within three years the bill for housing asylum seekers is on track to multiply by five times to £30 million a day, or £11 billion a year. Indeed, one of the biggest pull factors drawing migrants from Calais is that France doesn’t provide uninvited visitors housing in the way that Britain does. The small boats situation has understandably become a point of popular sensitivity (translation: rage). Thousands of people wading from overloaded dinghies onto beaches in Kent to throw themselves on British mercy make a powerful visual impression, and the crisis is real enough. So far, Government efforts to stem this tide have failed, but at least a few politicians are trying. Nevertheless, asylum is a sideshow. It serves the function of the magician’s sleight of hand. The audience is distracted by one motion while the trick is slyly performed with another.
Britain’s population is soaring from legal immigration. Last year a Conservative government let 1.2 million people move to the U.K., resulting in net immigration of 606,000. In a statistically meticulous report released recently, Migration Watch calculates that if this same level of ingress is sustained, the U.K.’s population will rise to between 83 and 87 million by 2046. This will require between six and eight million more homes – the equivalent of 15 to 18 Birminghams.
Apologies for the catastrophism, but that’s assuming the 606,000 annual influx remains constant, whereas the trend since Tony Blair came to power has been for net inward migration to keep rising. That lower population threshold of 83 million by 2046 also assumes the continuance of an alarmingly suppressed birth rate of 1.53 children per woman as of 2021, a glumly unenthusiastic rate of reproduction that may have been influenced by oppressive, not to mention depressing, pandemic policies. Most new adult immigrants are of childbearing age, and Britain’s overwhelmingly non-European arrivals abundantly hail from cultures that favour larger families. In other words? A population of only 83 million by 2046 is optimistic, and the Migration Watch upper boundary of 87 million, using the higher total fertility rate of 1.77, may be more realistic. We’re not talking about the distant, unimaginable future, either. If you have small children, 2046 is about the point at which they’ll be starting families of their own (if we’re lucky) and hoping to buy a home.
Officially, the government aims to build 300,000 homes per year. In practice, the number actually built in England has averaged 180,000 per year in the past decade, reaching only 235,000 last year. At current rates of immigration, between 263,000 and 313,000 homes would have to be built every single year to accommodate rising population (in addition to the new homes a steady-state population requires, because buildings don’t last for ever). Were immigration reduced to 100,000 arrivals per year, the population would go ever so slightly down, and Britain would solely need to replace housing stock that has decayed.
Worth reading in full.
Stop Press: The Court of Appeal has today blocked the Government’s Rwanda plan aimed at stopping the small boats, with two of the three judges saying they did not deem Rwanda to be a safe country for migrants. The Lord Chief Justice, Lord Burnett, dissented from a decision that, frankly, sounds a bit racist. The Government will now appeal to the Supreme Court. In the meantime, the boats continue. And that’s just illegal immigration.
Ha, the bankrupt UK hasn’t had any real growth for 50yrs.
Immigrants represent 100 pure growth. So if a domestically reared sheeple has rigged rate of growth, let’s say 2%. Then each immigrant is worth 50 UK sheeple, so 600k immigrants are like adding 30 million domestically bred sheeple.
Of course, it doesn’t work as well as the numbers suggest, but given that the UK has no real growth, unless you think the debt gives a return, in which case you’re a fool. In fact, strip out immigration and money printing, and you’ll find the UK has a much smaller economy than say 2000.
The £ has fallen like stone, real inflation has been double the official rate since 2007. Pay spending power is more than 50% down on what you’d get in the 1970s. In fact, it could be pushing 70%!
The average hourly rate of pay in Norway is around €50 per hour.
The average yearly pay in France, is around £35,000, & that’s based on a 30 hour, 4 day week.
There’s only one thing to say, the UK is a failed Nazi state, and we’re going down, and there’s going to be no bounce. What crank fascist scheme will the Nazis come up with to save all the death grip payers? What’s going to happen when houses are worth 50% less than current prices?
We are a ponzi country built on debt and rigged prices. Just the other day some Nazi bigwig suggested letting any and all immigrants just to keep wages down… he must be concerned about his business interests, now that Nazi regime bailouts have been melted away by inflation, inflation wholly created by the Bank of England.
Who do I blame, the thicko sheeple. You can live like a king for £500 a month in India. That’s an inflation and rigged economy story.
2p articles ranting just about immigration must be from Nazi Central Information?
Bring in the new slaves under cover of dark and kill off the old slaves under the cover of “covid”…
The new slaves being of less than legal status become easily manipulated for low wages and contribute to the pensions of the stubborn old bastards who refuse to be jabbed…
The arithmetic of exploitation and death all explained away by those well-spoken and nicely dressed newsreaders whom your mum and dad would love to invite around for Sunday tea; they have such “nice” smiles…
***
For better or worse the socialisation of society – not necessarily a bad thing – has created a scenario where the expense of raising children with the traditional expectations of the kids then keeping the parents, has given way to the expectation of the state – and therefore imported slaves – making good the social contract by reliance on immigrants.
I confess, I am a hypocrite for having no sprogs, but my conscious is eased by having had the leisure to try to understand the world. In another age I think I would have been a monk…I’m also a hypocrite for availing myself of the services of the non-indigenous over my lifetime. We are all hypocrites: White, Black, Brown, Yellow…and maybe in this shared hypocrisy we can unite the world…
Because Britain is NOT a democracy nothing can be done about this short of insurrection.
The court/legal system is OWNED BY scurrilous groups like the Freemasons, the media by hugely rich jews,the supermarkets by hugely rich jews etc etc.
A food shortage would kick things off….but perhaps not if there was enough millie-pap to go around.
So the situation is going to get worse and worse…..then theyll have to introduce laws to control movement while telling the proles to enjoy their freedoms.
The notorious British Secret Police MI5 may come out of the shadows more like the Stazi in East 🇩🇪.
Housing shortages also have the added effect of driving up house prices at the top end as the bottom end struggles and drives all prices up, and it also drives up rents for the landlords among the parasitic class.
This is fine for those who have more than one house and who could sell a property to bank the cash, but for those (and I’d say most of them) all higher house prices will do for them is increase mortgages for those who have them, and for those who own their home outright it will increase rates and insurances. Then when you die the value of your estate which is much increased by your house value, could make you liable for massive death taxes – for which your kids may have to sell the house to meet that tax bill.
Ha Ha..(every time)..
..Lionel Shriver and a ‘she’ Lionel too (perhaps pan-tranny pan palestinian?)..
..unless that is…we have a Rwandan copy reader/editor/teamaker/dogsbody/lT expert /all the preceding at the Specy four eyes..
Of course the ‘Regime’ leaks like an immigrants ten thousand dollar dinghy.
.insincerely wrings its semitic hands..and then gets straight back on with importing millions more swarthies..
..who are generally looking for a free ride in 4 star accommodation for themselves and their extended family… and a weekly bursary for cigarettes whisky drugs and condoms….
.meanwhile political bottom feeders and the ‘jewes’ that run them..yellow journalism and ennobled criminal Pakistani jannisaries.. mercilessly persecute the ‘nazis’ (sic) who notice this obvious insanity…
Which includes…. but is by no means limited to.. stealing all their ‘nazi’ (sic) money and closing their ‘nazi’ (sic) bank accounts….
and no doubt giving their recently vacated ‘nazi’ (sic) property to an Eritrean gangster…
B’bye Britannia…
you’ll be replaced soon enough… assuming, of course, you’re not nuked even sooner.
But “Shhh… 🤫” don’t say a word… I certainly wouldn’t want to get reported to the authorities for ‘Wrong Think’.. and thrown into a cell for twenty years… with only the BBC for company…
You could hear a pin drop when someone looked like they might want to resist Genocide: so we have chosen this. My older six siblings are all White and all politically anti-White, and I can feel the sibling loyalty being over-powered by the Race Hate, which was sometimes at the surface. Rather than thrive, I cannot even stay alive without miracles, the NHS and a lot of will-power, as the surroundings noggify conspicuously
This article confirms my suspicions that c/o the Deagle report, the 17.5 million people left in UK by 2025, will be the immigrants. Reduction and replacement of the entire native UK population complete!
I believe Blair stated that Britain could easily accommodate 90 million people so we now see the result . Nevertheless the housing market is going to crash despite the continued house building and zoguk will become one big turd world ghetto.
all the rich brits + french live in the tax havens
Antilles, Bahamas, Bermudas, Jamaica, Tahiti
and give a shit about problems the english have .
@SIMON SMITH
dont blame yourself ! in every european nation
first traitors to their people were the kings + aristocrty .
they are now in all kinds of mafia business crime .
then the rich class left us as traitors to sunnier places.
now the politicians follow them + skilled professionals.
we are the poor rest . the social contract was already
abandoned long time ago .
Blah, blah, blah. What about the 15-minute cities???
This is the Time Of Jacob’s Trouble. White Israel’s nations scattered around Europe and the North American continent are being purposefully flooded with brown and black invaders, egged on in every way by the Jews, who have always hated them.
Everything is under control. It will all be over in one day.
No more Jews, and no more of the people who enabled them in their war against Adam, specificly, the actual twelve tribes of Israel.
Remember this for when it happens. Coming soon after September 24, 2023.
Isaiah 13:9 Behold, the day of the Lord comes,
cruel, with wrath and fierce anger,
to make the land a desolation
and to destroy its sinners from it.
10 For the stars of the heavens and their constellations
will not give their light;
the sun will be dark at its rising,
and the moon will not shed its light.
11 I will punish the world for its evil,
and the wicked for their iniquity;
I will put an end to the pomp of the arrogant,
and lay low the pompous pride of the ruthless.
12 I will make people more rare than fine gold,
and mankind than the gold of Ophir.
13 Therefore I will make the heavens tremble,
and the earth will be shaken out of its place,
at the wrath of the Lord of hosts
in the day of his fierce anger.
14 And like a hunted gazelle,
or like sheep with none to gather them,
each will turn to his own people,
and each will flee to his own land.
15 Whoever is found will be thrust through,
and whoever is caught will fall by the sword.
16 Their infants will be dashed in pieces
before their eyes;
their houses will be plundered
and their wives ravished.
@ PETER PETHERINGTON
so much time they would not offer us in jail .
vaxines will do the job for TPTB .
lewis jones: some of the trolls on here say we’re the same. Clearly we’re not, and we disagree a lot, but I feel for you, and your reliance on the NHS. I am also reliant, but not to the same critical extent as you are.
the boats name is CITY OF LONDON II .
so its open clear that seamen + invaders
are Rothschilds agents + soldiers .
who is that silly sod who keeps saying the UK is a natzi country ?
please some one speak to him
educate him or switch him off
Lord Victor rothschild both in political speeches and banking documents spoke many times of the UK eventually becoming communist as we see now
And who will buy these ‘desperate immigrants’ the houses. Oh yeah,,, Whiteys that have some money left over from the last few robberies. Maggie had it right…. Socialism is great until you run out of ‘other peoples money’. Britain and all of Europe will look like France soon. Enjoy what europeon culture remains.
Carl Jones–thanks for the sympathy: I will stay alive as long as I can, but with no big achievements that require a lot of activity
This is suposed to be a place for serious comments and opinions
but one chap on here keeps making stupid jokes about the UK being a natzi state ?
hes possbily just a school boy just having fun but
its not funny when people mes about with stupid jokes
some on eneds to explain to him