Moon of Alabama – May 2, 2023
Since early April, when Pentagon briefing slides about the state of the Ukrainian army ‘leaked’ onto the web, the writing in ‘western’ media about the much discussed Ukrainian counteroffensive has become more gloomy.The hyping is largely gone and the assessments become more realistic. Three days ago the London Times offered a piece in that category:
Ukraine isn’t ready for its big offensive, but it has no choice (paywalled, archived version)
Kyiv is locked into a spring or summer push despite burning through ammo so fast that the West can’t keep up. Luckily Russia is out of ideas too
[W]hile the Ukrainians are moving quickly to assimilate their 230 new and reconditioned western tanks and 1,550 armoured vehicles, they still lack proper air defences for any big offensive operation. That puts them at risk from Russian airpower. Western defence sources are also uncertain whether senior commanders can adapt to the new systems as well as their soldiers on the ground.
Yet Kyiv has little real choice but to launch a major spring or summer offensive. Its leaders are increasingly boxed in. As an American defence official put it: “The Ukrainians have surprised us as well as Putin in the past, but have much less room for manoeuvre now . . . and the Russians know it.”
President Zelensky has managed the West with great skill, but to maintain its support he has to show what Washington insiders rather tastelessly call a “return on investment”.
He must also balance domestic politics. Hawks such as Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, prevent any meaningful talk about negotiations, even though some in the government think now is the time to put out feelers. One western diplomat in Kyiv described a “surreal parallel experience” as his interlocutors “discuss potential formats for negotiations one evening” and then “shout that there can be no talks with Russia” in public the next day.
During the war Kiev first burned through its standing army material and personnel. It then received a large amount of Soviet era equipment from former Warsaw Pact members and burned through that stash. It has now received ‘western’ arms for a third army that will largely consist of mobilized civilians with little military experience. After the counteroffensive has run its course, no matter the outcome, that third army will largely be destroyed. There will be no more material and personnel for a fourth army.
In contrast the Russian military is largely undamaged. So says General Cavoli, the U.S. commander in Europe:
Cont. reading: Ukraine SitRep: Offensive In Doubt – No Talks – Social Breakdown
The murder of palestinian adnan in an israeli jail
has prompted an immediate strike of palestinians
israel promised more murders to come
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/05/02/702597/Palestinians-strike-protest-Khader-Adnan-murder-Israeli-ja
COMMUNIST BRITAIN
When Adolf Hitler took the stolen money from the German Rothschilds
and put them in prison, the 3 Rothschild communist nations
the Uk USA and Russia were pushed to draw Hitler into a war
He was no fool and armed Germany to protect his people/
Rothschild used his communist agents Roosevelt Stalin and Churchill, to ensnare Hitlers people
into a horrific war, some folk in the UK could see what was going on and tried to stop it.
George Orwell, Oswald Mosley Neville Chamberlian William Joyce Admiral Barry Domvile King George and Edward VIII
all tried to avert the bloodshed, but Rothschild and Churchill were determined
to sacrifice the people. on the alter of world communism
US 4-star General Christopher Cavoli has been dropping some truth bombs about Ukraine. He says the situation is dire and says the media puts out too much spin. Russia is strong while Ukraine is almost done. Naturally some say he shouldn’t have said this on the eve of the Ukraine offensive, while some politicians say he should be removed. Those fools have created a fairytale world where reality is forbidden and you can only talk about castles in the air and prancing ponies. Otherwise the magic spell breaks.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WUyoAvho_SQ
There has been a mass shooting in Serbia with reports of multiple deaths. Maybe a coincidence that Serbia refuses to condemn Russia and won’t join in sanctions against it. Maybe a really, really big coincidence.
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/one-killed-least-five-injured-090713867.html
Russia has to exterminate you judaised Nazis !
or demilitarise Ukraine .
Why are we saying “Ukraine” when it’s just the Scum at work?