Moon of Alabama – March 25, 2022
The above map (larger here) of the situation in Ukraine on March 24 is provided by the French Ministry of Defense.
It is likely the most realistic and neutral one available. It comes with short notes about the numbered theaters.
Here are my own takes:
- The Russian forces around Kiev are making no offensive moves but defend against minor unsuccessful counterattacks from the Ukrainian side (see below). I have seen no hint that Russia strives to get into Kiev. It would be too costly to do that and for little strategic gain. But the forces east and west of Kiev are binding a big part of the Ukrainian army and prevent it from sending reserves towards Donbas. Yesterday an air attack or missile destroyed the largest Ukrainian fuel depot left near Kiev. The Ukrainian army will soon lose its mobility.
- Kharkiv is about to get encircled.
- Dnipro is a strategic target that the Russian forces will like to take by coming up from the south on both sides of the Dnieper river as well as from the north. Russia destroyed a railway station between Dnipro and Donbas from where resupplies were flowing to the Ukrainian forces fighting there.
- After large progress yesterday Mariupol is now in a mop-up situation. The Azov forces still there have no chance to survive.
- Russian passage through Mykolayiv towards Odessa has proven to be difficult. Artillery is now softening up the Ukrainian defense lines. There were unconfirmed reports of large Ukrainian losses in Mykolayiv due to a missile strike on their barracks.
The U.S. has tried to use yesterday’s NATO and G-7 meeting to push the Europeans towards sanctioning Russian hydrocarbon exports. It also tried to attach China to Russia and to get the Europeans to sanction its biggest trading partner. Both attempts failed. There will be no additional sanctions on Russia. And while the NATO communique mentions China it only urges it to leave its neutral position. Everyone knows that that is not going to happen.
The only thing NATO agreed on is the release of a new load of fresh propaganda.
NATO: 7,000 to 15,000 Russian troops dead in Ukraine – AP
A senior NATO military official said the alliance’s estimate was based on information from Ukrainian authorities, what Russia has released — intentionally or not — and intelligence gathered from open sources. The official spoke on condition of anonymity under ground rules set by NATO.
Andrei Martyanov looks back at the casualties Soviet forces suffered in 1943 when they liberated Donbas from then still first class German Wehrmacht forces. Back then there were more than 1,000,000 Soviet soldiers involved against some 600,000 Germans. Some 1,600 Soviet soldiers were killed each day in fierce fighting. We are now supposed to believe that the much smaller operation against a less fierce and less capable enemy in the Ukraine is killing 550 Russian soldiers per day? That’s obviously nonsense.
As one anonymous Pentagon officer said about the NATO number:
“We continue to have low confidence in those estimates”
For the record Russia’s Defense Ministry just announced that as of today 1,351 Russian servicemen have been killed and 3,825 wounded. (The losses of the Lugansk and Donetsk militia are not included in those numbers.)
There is more propaganda bullshit out there like this from the New York Times:
Counteroffensive in Ukraine Shifts Dynamic of War
Sure, the headline gives that impression. But only to those who do not read down into the report:
The asserted gains in territory are hard to quantify, or verify. In at least one crucial battle in a suburb of Kyiv, where Russian troops had made their closest approach to the capital, brutal street fighting still raged on Thursday and it was not clear that Ukraine had regained any ground.
But even this muddied picture of Ukrainian progress is helpful for the country’s messaging to its citizens, and to the world — that it is taking the fight to a foe with superior numbers and weaponry, and not just hunkering down to play defense.
…
In Makariv, another battleground town to the west of Kyiv that Ukrainian officials claimed to have recaptured this week, the fighting was also ongoing, Vadym Tokar, the mayor, said in a telephone interview.
“I don’t understand where this nonsense came from,” he said of reports his town had been liberated. “It is not true. We have shelling and we have Russian tanks shooting into the town right now.”
Here is more ‘western’ media nonsense:
Ukraine has lost at least 74 tanks—destroyed or captured—since Russia widened its war on the country starting the night of Feb. 23.
But Ukraine has captured at least 117 Russian tanks, according to open-source-intelligence analysts who scrutinize photos and videos on social media.
In other words, the Ukrainian army might actually have more tanks now than a month ago—all without building a single brand-new tank or pulling some older vehicle out of storage.
The Dutch “open-source-intelligence analysts” who came up with those stupid numbers are the people who run the Oryx website and who were also the source for this Economist bullshit:
Stijn Mitzer, an analyst in Amsterdam, and his colleagues at Oryx, a blog, track losses by surveying openly published photos and videos of the war. Nearly three weeks into Vladimir Putin’s reckless campaign, Ukraine has destroyed, damaged or captured at least 1,054 pieces of Russian equipment, about four times as many as it has lost to Russia.
Counting published photos from dubious sources in a war where both sides use the same equipment is as dumb as it gets. As even the Economist notes:
These figures are far from perfect. They are a lower bound, only counting losses confirmed by photographic or video evidence. Ukrainians are far more likely to capture such evidence and disseminate it than Russian soldiers who have probably had their phones confiscated and are, according to the Kremlin’s propaganda, on a peacekeeping mission. Nevertheless the figures provide a glimpse through the fog of war.
The figures and pictures do not provide “a glimpse through the fog of war”. They ARE the fog of war.
Russian soldiers are prohibited from carrying cellphones and from taking pictures. (The Russian-Chechen militia currently cleaning up Mariupol is an exception). Ukrainian soldiers do carry cellphones and upload pictures of all kind. There are often several of each disabled vehicle from different perspectives which makes for a lot of double and triple counts. There is also the inconvenient fact that both sides use the same Soviet weapon systems which often makes it impossible to identify the side to which a vehicle belongs.
Last but not least the authors of Onyx are obviously taking sides in the conflict arguing to send more arms to the Ukraine as if that would change the inevitable outcome.
—
Update – 17:30 UTC
About an hour ago the Russian Ministry of Defense published the text below.
The speech sets a frame for the Russian operation in the Ukraine, explains the battle plan and the so far achieved results.
As the mil.ru site is blocked or difficult to reach from several countries I have uploaded the speech as a text file.
Ukraine ? another war to enrich the jew
look at all the tent cites in the USA
as america give millions to israel every day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TUvM-D4l1EU
I cannot for the life of me understand why you Brits pay the BBC to watch jew-propaganda
your politicians use rent boys and bumdadillos on a regular basis see here
http://conwyllandudnoblog.co.uk/2015/07/18/politicians-rent-boys/
The area held and the areas in contention in the East, and they are only in contention because the Russians don’t want to kill or harm who are essentially Russians, these areas represent an area larger than the UK. The central area between the held North and South is more or less empty. There’s no point sending forces to areas for the sake of it.
The fake news is now changing its tack, by suggesting Russia is changing its remit and limiting its operations. This is not entirely true.
Where the map currently stands, could be all that Russia wants, but if they do this, the war will continue as the Nazis will constantly be rearmed and encouraged to fight.
However, after some consolidation, Russia will bring in its big artillery, enough said.
The Jews are garbage and cannot tolerate co-operation.
The map is interesting. I can see now why capturing Mariupol is important. It was probably from there were a lot of rockets were fired into Donetsk.
Some alt-news commentators have said Russia is losing the propaganda war which it is, but at the end of the day it’s all about the real war which Russia will win, after which the propagandists and politicians will be shown to be liars again. If propaganda had more effect on an outcome it would matter, but it will mean very little in this war, so let them lie and further erode the trust in them that evaporates every day.
People who believe Russia is losing will find out they were lied to like it’s a sharp slap in the face. What’s the point of that? Fear propaganda had a function in the Covid fraud because all that opposed it was the doubters who could be censored and defamed. Its function was to make the argument one-sided as though there were no other facts to challenge it. But propaganda cannot go unchallenged in an event where there are two clear sides such as war. Here when untrue it just shifts from propaganda to lying.
Time is catching up to the Western Powers. It is over. The collapse is on the way. There is a history of warfare on the WHOLE WORLD.
Look within and you will find the issues. MATERIALISM == GREED.
It is the LAW of NATURE at play.
Mystic and Yogi
Actually the only people losing in this are the thousands of pro-white Aryan Ukrainians (‘Nazis’) being slaughtered by the Russian Commies–which is strangely supported by most of these moronic posters on this site…
If Russia allows the Azovs to escape they could always come and do their masters dirty work in keeping anti-vaxers,yellow vests,truckers in check. Some observers believe they were in Canada as Trudeau’s boot boys. Anythings possible with a bunch of dimwits flying swastikas and taking orders from the Tribe, as we say in England “thick as sh** and twice as nasty”
> I cannot for the life of me understand why you Brits pay the BBC to watch jew-propaganda
Because they’ll sling you in jail if you refuse to do so.
> the only people losing in this are the thousands of pro-white Aryan Ukrainians (‘Nazis’) being slaughtered by the Russian Commies
What, those “Aryan Ukrainians” that have spent the last 8 years bombing the hell out of other “Aryan Ukrainians”? What a crying shame…
@Knot…Sounds like more anti-white KGB Commie propaganda for morons to buy..
No-one has to pay a TV licence fee–all you have to do is ceremonially drag your TV to the landfill by its own electricity cable and not watch live BBC ever again; they huff and puff and put you in an “investigation” and then you win.
https://orinocotribune.com/was-bombing-of-mariupol-theater-staged-by-ukrainian-azov-extremists-to-trigger-nato-intervention/
Kevin Barrett of FFWN brought this article to my attention couple of hours ago. I thought I would read it, being suspicious of the Mariupol theater bombing.
Looks like a ‘false flag’ by them great guys A-zog battalion.
From the article
“Gathered from the ranks of extreme right activists that provided protesters with street muscle during the 2013-14 Euromaidan coup, the Azov Battalion has been formally incorporated into the Ukrainian National Guard by the country’s Interior Ministry. It was founded by the openly fascist organizer Andriy Biletsky, who has vowed to “lead the white races of the world in a final crusade … against Semite-led Untermenschen.”
If only…
@MadMac
No matter what the outcome, the Western cattle will still be told that the Russians were ‘defeated’. And they will believe every word of it – such is the power of the media and the smallness of their brains.
The mental age of the typical TV advert is 8. The ‘Sun’ is the largest selling UK newspaper. It has a reading age of 8.
The typical female never progresses emotionally or intellectually beyond the age of 13-14. That’s why when you analyse it, you can see that most of the anti-Russian propaganda is directed at them.
They are cattle. The crudityand transparency of the lies spilling out of the Western media says it all.
As the evidence piles up that Putin is winning, more and more Jew lies flow forth from the morally bankrupt Jew mass media in America. Americans are just STUPID to believe all these Jew LIES.