Martin Jay – Strategic Review June 16, 2026
President Donald Trump has possibly signed off on the worst deal for him and the U.S. in the short history of his country with Iran, underlining how desperate he was to open the Straits of Hormuz and begin to reinstate world shipping, in the hope of lowering oil prices. According to reports on Sunday evening of June 14th, it would seem that he and Iran have agreed provisionally to a deal which many are already calling a “60-day memorandum,” given its window of opportunity to seize the greater prize of getting Tehran to agree to scrapping its nuclear program.
But even if both sides agree and sign, the moment of relief may be ephemeral, as there are many obstacles ahead which can derail it at any time. The question of who is really running America’s foreign policy — certainly in the Middle East — might be answered in the coming months, as Trump’s relationship with Benjamin Netanyahu will be pivotal to any progress, with legions of analysts already pointing out that Bibi will break the ceasefire shortly after it has been signed. Even more likely would be a false flag attack designed to fool Trump that the Iranians are the ones who reneged on the deal and that he is duty-bound to join Israel in returning to war.
For the deal to hold, Israel has to stop fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon, which is a very tall order given that this battle is the only pretext Bibi has to both stay in office and avoid corruption charges that could possibly put him in prison.
Yet the real problem with the deal is the lack of trust the Iranians have with Trump — and rightly so. They don’t believe the deal can last, even if a second stage of it can be signed and they give up their rights to refine uranium. They have always believed that everything Trump does and says is a ruse, and that any peace deal signed off within the 60 days would only hold until the primaries, before Trump is seduced once again into going back to war. In the shorter term, though, it would appear that Iran has secured an extraordinary deal which could, if honoured, see them getting $300 billion USD in compensation for reconstruction and $24 billion USD being returned to them from seized money which the U.S. held. It’s hard to imagine how Trump is going to spin this to the American public as a victory, as all the U.S. gets is lower fuel prices and the possibility of paying even more money to Iran to give up its nuclear program. Clearly, with the lack of trust which Iran has, it will ensure that the $324 billion USD is paid first before they really take the second part of the deal seriously. But with the Straits of Hormuz open, it will still be a relief to Trump that the global oil trade can begin to get back to normal, although experts have said this could take months. Convincing the international insurance brokers in London that all three parties — the U.S., Israel, and Iran — are going to keep the straits open will be hard, and it is expected that Trump’s key associates will be using all of their might to lean on the London-based industry.
But the deal is terrible for America over the longer term, as it backs up Professor Bob Pape’s analogy that Trump has made Iran the fourth world power. With the straits open and part of U.S. oil sanctions lifted, this is already axiomatic and clear to see.
And no one will see the significance of this more than the GCC elites, who will now look at Iran as a regional power to which they will have to show reverence, as being the winner of this latest so-called ’Iran war’ with the U.S. and Israel. Before February 28th, Iran did not control the Straits of Hormuz and was seen as an equal rival militarily with the Gulf states, who had U.S. bases on their turf. Now Iran will take the money and look forward to its economy growing, while all along its own missile program will not only grow but advance. Iran more than ever will beef up its military even more, knowing that at any moment the West, once again, can indulge itself with ’regime change’ fantasies or U.S. troops parachuting into Kharg Island. You know the sort of thing. Trump has literally done everything he can to boost Iran’s economy, its regional military stranglehold, and its own regime’s political strength domestically. The deal he is offering to sign with the money that he has put up is a seismic defeat on a scale which we have never seen before, although it could be compared to pulling out of Vietnam — which was both a military failure but also an economic one, as it drained the U.S. coffers and forced Nixon to decouple the dollar from gold. Trump hasn’t simply stood down, but fallen to his knees, such is the scale of the failure to be duped by Israel in the first place and going ahead with the failed campaign which blew up in his face almost from day one. What we are now witnessing is a new low in modern U.S. history, as America turns a new corner in its journey away from its hegemonic leadership of the post-war years, and Trump will go down in the history books for being the bumbling buffoon whose ego was a catalyst to that inevitable process which some are simply calling ’the end of empire’.
Martin, there is no “deal” and never was. Why are you discussing something that doesn’t exist?
Satanyahu will never agree to ANYTHING because he’s an agent of Satan. Israel is the very
home of Satan. THERE IS NO DEAL. Israel will never even consider ending their infinite evil
in the world. They will continue to slaughter the people of Lebanon and Gaza and everyone else
they feel like killing. Talking about a “deal” that doesn’t exist is a waste of time. Henry Kissinger
predicted the end of Israel a long time ago, and he was right. Almost everyone in the world today hates Israel.
1. Trump is a jew.
2. He hasn’t failed at anything.
3. He isn’t “doing what he’s told”. He’s part of it.
His job is to “weaken” america so that europe can build it’s armies for ww3. America has lost nothing, except money, and it has endless amounts of that. What’s the “national debt” now?
Wheen ww3 starts, america will have, as it’s always had, the largest and strongest army (on your side).
Get ready to die.
“In the shorter term, though, it would appear that Iran has secured an extraordinary deal which could, if honoured, see them getting $300 billion USD in compensation for reconstruction and $24 billion USD being returned to them from seized money which the U.S. held.”
Tee hee. Nah, if it sounds too good to be true … it is too good to be true!
The Trumpeter has no intention of ‘honoring’ any deal whatsoever. He and Meilowski or Mielinski or whatever his name is, are just playin’ good cop ‘n bad cop.
Personally, I think the root problem is, to paraphrase the runcible Barbara Lerner Spectre, founding director of Paideia, the International Institute for Jewish Studies in Tel Aviv…
“Trump has not yet learned how to be multicultural … It’s a huge transformation for Trump to make. He is now going into a multicultural mode and Jewes will be resented because of our leading role. But without that leading role, and without that transformation, Trump will not survive”.
But again, I don’t think it’s noocoolar technology that really counts. It’s collateral that’s required. And Iran’s collateral IS required if Jeweish Financial Kapitalism is to survive.
In diversity is (((our))) strength!!
The look of love is in your eyes
The look your heart can’t disguise
The look of love is saying so much more
than words could every say
And what my heart has heard
it takes my breath away
– Dusty Springfield
Sounds like these guys use AI to write their crap, while Mr Jay sits on his couch dribbling saliva on himself, the world anxiously awaits for the end of the “raging war” and the long awaited end to tehrans ending of their “enrichment” program, again, and to stop the bloodshed over at the other faked battlefield of Lebanon.
LOL…
One of the funniest aspects of this fable..is the part where the muggles are meant to believe that benny nuttyahood has to push forward with total zionist war on every non jewe or he’ll end up in prison on corruption charges…
bwahahaahahahah!! naughty benny..
scuttling your shitholes economy, blowing fuck out of all and sundry, turning the the entire whirled against you and sending the bag of rats that occupy the place scuttling like roaches in the light..
is obviously far less important than another embezzling jewe.. getting a slapped wrist..
deary fucking me.. you’d better pour me another!
lolo..
If they can keep to “the deal” it likely will be the greatest win in US history. The US empire essentially is a business empire. To date they have backed up their interests abroad mainly by petrodollar enticements and the US military. However, with ever-increasing global development and the growing international and multinational business interests intwined all over the world, petrodollar “diplomacy” and backing up business interest by force and exploitation is quickly killing the goose which produced all of the US and Western golden eggs – which is trust. Deception, dishonesty, fear, intimidation, and exploitation can go a long way but even worst of the most powerful know that any kind of real goodwill and security is all based on trust, that that such evil methods are only parasitic on what is proven to build trust.
If Iran is to proceed in its defenses from what most of the world now sees as unjust and greedy Israeli and US aggression and develops nuclear weapons, or is given them by some other Islamic nation, then not only will all silk-road development plans for East-West relations go up in smoke, but Israel will no longer be the prospective center of anything. It is not just the control of the Straight of Hormuz at stake. It is a dire polarization between the US-led West and much of the rest of the world, with endless sanctions and wars. Unlike the easy pickings of a Venezuela, all the war with Iran is doing is making it stronger both internally and in the eyes of the rest of the world.
Running into more and more competition and resistance from local people waking up to their own needs and rights over their our resources and economic opportunities, it appears that all of the centralized NWO globalist machinations in either its more-socialist unipolar form or its less-centralized, more-neocon, and equally-deceptive multipolar form are only really “rear-guard” actions of a group of oligarchs struggling for global hegemony through evil and destructive methods. They simply have to give way. Perhaps the international banking cartel, Western oligarchs, and major multinationals, plus their various puppet government of the West, who have been trotting out their various New World Order models have seen the light through this conflict with Iran. People who build nations which actually work despite all of sanctions, punishments, privations, perversions of justice, and divisions inflicted on them by external sources if they have a chance will fight and even die for their nations.
Sure, getting people to fight over anything does the monstrous military-industrial complex and may be good for that business, but generally it leaves behind only debt, destruction, a great deal of hate, and mistrust. On a global scale, all of the graft, intimidation, and violence turns into more hate, violence and mistrust – all of which is very bad for business.
International Jewry may have just woken up to this fact in their folly of imposing their expansionist plans on the Middle East for some kind of exclusive dominance and place in the sun as a global power. However, it is not just the chokepoint of the Straight of Hormuz which has been blocking off, or will continue to be blocked off, unless there is a real sea change in US relations with the rest of the world. Rather the blockage of that Straight is just a reflection of the blockage form what every single person backing any from of centralized globalist hegemony, with their entire New World Order project, has been doing to truth, freedom and justice over the past 100 years. Such so-called “ideals” which are always scoffed at by the power moguls, in fact have always been the very basis of trust for anything to work in human relations. Instead, those who control credit and debt, the very corrupt ruling classes of our nations, rule and conquer through stealth and dishonesty and mainly now by mass deceptions, media brainwashing, lying, stealing, bribery, blackmail, insider trading, assassinations, extortion, terror, wars, invasions, and now even through the terror and blatancy with genocide. These things do not make for any real unity, trust, or human flourishing. They are parasitic on them. They are evils.
If this deal is kept it may serve as the spark for a huge clean up in American affairs both externally and internally, and serve to restore confidence and trust – perhaps even allowing a greater flourishing in US relations everywhere.
You help jews if you call Trump one because they are ugly and he is not
Drumpf has fulfilled his quest as Apollyon, the Destroyer. Death follows him. Just look at the symbolism in his Trump tower home ! His visions are coming to fruition ! Albert Pike would be proud of his progress in the centuries old plan for world domination. If you don’t see it, well, you need to upgrade your rose colored glasses to magenta.
Imo the entire war was fake. It was another stupid test. It only existed in the pixels on your screens. They kept saying the Strait was closed but i watched oil and container ships pass thru daily on Vesselfinder, never slowed. Trump n Centcomm said theyd bomb somewhere for hours, id check EOSDIS (nasa), with the fire heat anomaly filter on, there’d never been any heat signatures. This was a stupid test, a preplanned grift for hundreds of billions and Trump is at the center. Trump is the sole individual responsible, first jewish president, exemplifies every single stereotype. Its wealth extraction. Iran was in on it, their new parliament bldg built in 2004 (2+4=6) is a fkn pyramid w 33 windows (33= 3+3= 6). Trump gets his cut, probably at least $50b then thell fake assassinate him n disappear him so he n Epstein can go fk n eat kids on an island somewhere. Its just another kabalic grift.