Off-Guardian – Nov 21, 2025
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The UK’s Covid Inquiry just published their Module 2 report, and though it’s over eight hundred words long, most people only really seem interested in this short quote from Baroness Hallett:
Had the lockdown been imposed one week earlier than the 23rd of March, the evidence suggests the number of deaths in England alone in the first wave, would have been reduced by 48%, that’s 23,000 fewer deaths”
It’s being repeated A LOT. But is it true?
No, it is nonsense.
The evidence on lockdowns is clear, they had little to know impact on the (alleged) disease, and were a “global catastrophe”, likely killing hundreds of thousands and impoverishing millions more.
So why is Hallett pretending otherwise? And what does she mean by “the evidence”?
Let’s find out.
Hunting down this mythical “evidence” is a longer and more drawn out process than you might imagine. I’ll go into detail.
First you have to go to the Covid Inquiry website and either open or download a copy of the report.
Then, you have to find the specific quote. Since none of the people talking about it on social media have actually read the report, none of them are citing where the quote specifically came from.
This means we have to do a Ctrl-F search of the document. I looked for “48%”, which returned two results.
First you get the same thought as the press conference, in more reporty and less clickbaity language, from the “Executive Summary” of Chapters 3+4:
the Inquiry accepts the consensus of the evidence before it that the mandatory lockdown should have been imposed one week earlier. Had a mandatory lockdown been imposed on or immediately after 16 March 2020, modelling has established that the number of deaths in England in the first wave up until 1 July 2020 would have been reduced by 48% – equating to approximately 23,000 fewer deaths.
I added that emphasis to highlight two things.
- The language usage: “The consensus of the evidence before it”, makes it sound like there’s multiple evidences when only one is cited.
- The nature of “evidence”: It’s a modelling study. A model should not be cited with language as strong as “would have been”, “may have been” is more correct.
Anyway, this is informative about the nature of “the evidence”, but still doesn’t actually say what it is.
For that we must move down to the second search result – Chapter 4, paragraph 129 (because I believe in proper sourcing, even if the British government doesn’t):
Professor Ferguson told the Inquiry that in later work which analysed the impact of restrictions in England:
“we explicitly modelled the counterfactual scenario of moving the lockdown of 23rd March back to 16th March, and estimated mortality … would have been reduced by 48%“
That’s from Professor Neil Ferguson, who you all doubtless remember. Also note the very important words “modelled” and “estimated”, which we’ll come back to later.
So, now we know what “the evidence” is — it’s an estimation based on a computer model produced by a man who is famously wrong about pretty much everything and who thought lockdown was so important he broke it to visit his married girlfriend.
But that doesn’t mean we should dismiss it without reading it. So how do we do that?
Well, first we must make a mental note of the footnote “484”, because this is only a governmental report years in the making and costing 190 million pounds, so they obviously haven’t got the resources necessary to hyperlink their footnotes.
Then you have to manually scroll down to the end of chapter 4, click the “show footnotes” button, then manually scroll down to footnote 484, where we finally get some links. Yay!
One, to this very long (and very dull) witness statement from good old Neil, and a second to this paper:
This paper is ALL of the “evidence” which “establishes” that an earlier lockdown “would have saved 23,000 lives”.
Literally, the entirety of it.
And it’s…rubbish. It’s only eight pages long (not including footnotes), and the word “estimate” appears 83 times. That’s ten times per page.
It’s also a computer model and, as I wrote last year:
Modelling studies involve feeding data into a computer programme, then asking it to form conclusions…they are only as reliable and useful as the data you use. In fact, you can very easily make them produce any result you want by feeding in the “right” (bad) data.
Or, as Seth Brundel more succinctly puts it in The Fly: “Computers are dumb. They only know what you tell them.”
In this instance, the crew at Imperial College told their computer:
- “Covid is a dangerous, deadly disease” (which isn’t true)
2. “Lockdowns are an effective method of disease prevention” (equally untrue).
Then these clever little experts asked, “Computer, given these assumptions, what would happen if we had locked down sooner?”
At which point the computer spat out the only answer it could.
You see, by curating the available data, the authors of the study made it logically impossible for the machine to do anything but support their pre-ordained conclusion.
Now, let’s return to the original question: Would an earlier lockdown have saved 23,000 lives?
Absolutely, definitely, 100% no.
But, we can also ask, was Baroness Hallett lying when she said “the consensus of the evidence” before the inquiry “suggests” it?
Technically, no.
The “consensus” of the (so-called) “evidence” placed before the inquiry was crafted to “suggest” exactly that.
By curating the available data, the authors of the report have made it logically impossible for the machine to do anything but support their pre-ordained conclusion.
Because government inquiries are just like computers – they’re dumb, and they only know what you tell them.
You can read all our previous Covid fact-checks here.
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several petitions have gone to number 10
to remove all churchill statues
approx 21 million signatures
they still say NO
There is no COVAIDS, Rebranded seasonal flu plus normally circulating coronavirus. For this, they only needed to rename a simple lab test in the digital database. And the fake PCR test & even worse quicktest, which was positive for cola, even.
Who was David Crossley ?
One of the great unsung heros of ww 2
David was one of few Englishmen awarded the iron cross, and by Adolf Hitler himself
Jews wanted to avoid the call up for war, so Winston Churchill gave special dispensation
jews did not have to fight
This meant london was choc full of them
most police had been drafted so the jews had a field day
With her man away in the army pay cheques to the families were often weeks late, the jewish loan sharks preyed on the women back home, and if the soldier was lucky enough to come home, he found the jewish loan shark now owned the house. This happened to my family, and it also happened to David Crossley.
So in 1942 he beat up the jewish loan shark who had tried to force his mother into prostitution, as they did my own mother
David while in prison shared a cell with a well known safe cracker, and David came out with a new skill
He got a flat across london and changed his name to David Crossley
He would hang about near the synagogue and watch, often dressed as a jew
he would go out in the black out in an ARP uniform and David began burgling wealthy jewish houses, but in the safes he found paperwork of more interest, he saw that the jews of london pushed the UK into going to war for the jews of Russia.
They had been murdering millions of Christians, Hitler wanted to join with the UK as a combined force to stop the jewish killing coming to europe.
The would be whistle blower Rudolf Hess wanted to warn the people of the UK
that Churchill was a traitor in the pay of the jew, but never got the chance
in Germany they could not believe the British would fight for the Rothschilds keeping them as monetary slaves.
David risked his life on a daily basis getting vital documents through to Germany
Hitler offered peace again and again to the UK, but Churchill refused talking only of total war
David sent plans for D day which was formed by Churchills astrologers, but Hitler could not accept this was true.
In speaking to his grandson and seeing the old wartime scrap book, the man who used the name David Crossley and dressed as the jew ” David Solomons ”
was actually a British hero who helped the English resistance to jewish oppression
and his grandson is so proud of the photos of him with his iron cross
No! They are lying again.
Confronted with a disease (if we take their word that it was a new disease) which was, to the ordinary, average subject, know early on to be not particularly lethal (about as lethal as mild flu) the correct approach should have been to promote the development of “herd immunity” i.e. to let freely spread amongst non vulnerable groups the disease to increasing numbers develop natural immunity. That natural immunity would eventually become so wide spread so that the disease could no longer find enough unprotected subjects to continue. As the experts would say the R rate would drop below 1 and the disease would become extinct
The people they should have protected (and didn’t) were the old folk for example in the care homes. These experts and quacks should be done for murder for the number of old folk they killed through this negligence.
I am so glad that I had a healthy distrust of these experts and never fell for the vaccine trick nor come to that did I ever don a face mask.
Baroness hallett, please spare us that have analytical thinking skills to question it all. hallett you are either playing along with the scam or too ignorant to use your brain cell to know by now that it was a planned scam directed by the likes of the BIS, World bank etc., WEF, WHO among other eugenic agencies with a big agenda of GREED, CONTROL, DEPOPULATION and carried out by DOD and agencies like the CDC, FDA etc. Please spare me with these lies, shame on you.
beauty queen Grace Richardson was bullied at school because of her sex perversion. now she has become the first openly lesbian Miss England winner.
The uni student, 20, was picked on by normal classmates and subjected to sexual slurs when she came out five years ago. She says it was mainly boys at her school who would target her over her sexuality and taunted her, saying she was a pervert
But the part-time model has had the last laugh after being crowned Miss England and she now hopes to inspire others in the LGTBQ pervert community and break down opinions surrounding lesbian women.
How wonderful it is to live with a clear conscience without any “title” setting you “above others” ready one day to appear naked before God.
People like this woman are slaves to evil. Material possessions and worldly reputation are not enough. She knows this. Her expression is one of guilt.
Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, a practicing physician and the head of a large medical constituency in Germany on about March 13, 2020 told us on this site that the actual morality and morbidity rates of the virus for anyone did not require lockdowns or any repressive measures. The rates he said were around 2017 Coronavirus levels. By that time most of the people who were interested in discerning the truth were comparing the exaggerations from China in December 2019 and January 2020 where people were shown in their very crude fake news to be dropping dead in the streets while a month later the effects in the South Koreas fake news were more subdued and sophisticate where the death numbers strangely only came from one city. Then we had a region in northern Italy with even more media hype and a strange relatively high number of deaths in old-age care homes where it was deduced later the infected and very vulnerable people were crowded together to ensure the vulnerable received large infected doses, and given inferior treatment. Such death protocols were followed faithfully by many of our governments mainly, and with large monetary inducements from agents of the international banking cartel, in order to hype the scare factor needed to get the plandemic off of the ground. By April and May of 2020 and after much show biz with hospital wards and ER’s being cleared out in expectation of being overwhelmed, it was clear to the authorities running the international scam that the US SARS-CoV-2 bioweapon virus was a bit of a dud. It had only been tested on small groups and not in the general public until late 2019 and they expected likely 2 or 3 times the death rates. In June and July of 2020 on this site especially there were many exposures of the government health agencies grossly exaggerating the mortality numbers in order to maintain the scare and the draconian lockdowns, shutdowns, and restrictive mandates. By August 13, 2020 the UK, the US, France, Spain, Italy and a few other Western nations led the way in exaggerating the death numbers. The US CDC became notorious for calling any death they could find “a Covid death”. These “leading” nations (the richest ones) created death numbers out of nothing, very much like the banks create which control credit create money out of nothing.
For dramatic effect, the health agencies in our nations posted the death numbers on a global “dashboard” which was featured openly and daily on the Google search engine. No one seemed to bother about comparing those numbers with the population numbers of all of the nations posting the numbers, except some insiders and a few of us paying attention but sitting at the back of the classroom. The figures one person posted in a comment or two in August of 2020 showed very clearly that based on the total global death numbers reported (which in any case was grossly exaggerated), the UK at the beginning of August 2020 posted 7 times the world average of alleged deaths, where at the same time the US, France, Spain, Italy and a few other Western nations posted 5 times the world average. Quebec in Canada posted numbers 8 times the world average.
Why was this? No one really seemed to care. The medical scientists did not care that death rates from such a virus were so irregular and had more to do with hype and politics than actual medicine. If fact, in August of 2020 the UK Covid team managing the psyop could clearly see the death numbers they were posting were completely out of wack in their faulty coordination the US postings, and it announced its numbers were being revised. By the end of that month, they brought the UK alleged death numbers down to 5 times the world average – on par with with the criminal postings in the US.
As for Quebec, apart from government exaggerations, most of the deaths were real. The province sinch it shucked off its Christian roots in the 1960’s went to the other extreme, and seems to have no moral limits since. Its government coffers also were very low, and the IMF money was very tempting. In a very large number of the care homes, the health-care totally workers abandoned their stricken patients. The infected had been crowded together such that any of those very vulnerable and elderly patients would receive a comparatively “large infectious dose” to anyone in the general public and their symptoms predictably be far worse. The sick were so deliberately abandoned in many of the facilities that Canadian-army personnel in the summer of 2020 had to go into the facilities to “help out” which was mainly to cart out the dead bodies.
Mr. Crowley will lead us–he has shown the white race the path to power & victory: Liber AL vel Legis
Every century or so our god sends us a chosen one or light bearer to illuminate the way to liberation..
93
Covid-19 does not exist, it is an illusion, a psyop , a lie , concocted to scare people into taking the MRNA kill shot in the worlds biggest depopulation plan by the WHO, the CDC, the WEF, UN Agenda 2030, etc., etc., all driven by the zionist plan to rid the world of Christians and Muslims by the zionist demons in control of the western regimes.
It just wouldn’t be a “Bwitish Govt. Official Enquiry” without some hatchet-faced hag like
Baroness Hallett here coming to EXACTLY THE WRONG CONCLUSIONS!!
😂🤣😆
They dont give a sh%$ about saving lives, they only want to end lives. Most of those deaths were simple flu deaths, which each year kills up to 300K. Are they gonna lockdown every year for flu?
absolute hogwash including a whitewash. A little digging would of shown the facts. those responsible for implementing this heinous decision should be charged. The point is if she had only done her due diligence in the correct places to establish the truth, would it have changed her narrative? No – it is to protect the establishment. the report does have its use as fuel to a fire.
@Ellis Taylor
Thank you for this extraordinary story of british hero David Crossley, obviously he was a man of principles willing to risk his own life because of love for justice, his country, and his people.
This is the kind of people who would make a difference if there were more of them around.
A thing that always stuns me is that so many people, some of which post here in TTS, believe that child murdering satanists of the Crowley school will somehow “save” them.
Perhaps they don’t believe that at all and only are trying to make a follower of Satan out of you, that is, Satan’s minions and servants “evangelizing” you…
The truth is, one has to be a first-class coward to hide in a secret dungeon abusing and sacrificing helpless children instead of openly engaging a perceived enemy at risk of the own life.
Cowards tiday there are aplenty, and satanists, these evil cowards, are just more of the same, we don’t need them.
Btw, in agreeing with the evil acts of criminal satanists, people that follow them prove themselves to be unworthy of any salvation.
You have to be willing to risk your own life in love for your fellow humans. Otherwise, you are only a fake with a golden lying tongue, contributing with the downfall of our people by means of robbing them the power and protection from high up that comes with practicing godly ways.
Remember: “the salary of sin is death”, valid even for entire nations, races, or the entire world.
no one died of covid flu by air . the dead are all
from covid vax infested by all other arteficial
incredences only DARPA + Pfitzer + Moderna
jews know . slaughtering all chickens today because
of bird flu is also crazy political decision + no scientific
because birdflu chickens can be eaten cooked or fried
without any problems . it is just a political decision to
diminish food production + keep the price high .
Contrary to the belief of the haughty and wicked who are gloating of their momentary success in corrupting mankind (“we corrupt in order to govern”), there is a storm brewing against them, the great “supper of God” of Revelation, of which there is no escape unless they repent NOW.
Isaiah 57:20-21
20 But the wicked are like the tossing sea, which cannot rest, whose waves cast up mire and mud.
21 “There is no peace,” says my God, “for the wicked.”
Jeremiah 23:19-20
19 See, the storm of the LORDwill burst out in wrath, a whirlwind swirling down on the heads of the wicked.
20 The anger of the LORD will not turn back until he fully accomplishes the purposes of his heart. In days to come you will understand it clearly.
The final fate of the wicked (complement and continuation)
https://gracefresno.com/sermons/the-great-supper-of-god-revelation-1911-21/
Dear readers of good will, here you have, for closing my comments, this beautiful old English hymn:
https://youtu.be/GRq83sZSreg?si=iTWc2yjZdfN-zpSj
Hope it’s a blessing for you
@J
salary of sin is death ? did animals sin ?
little children/babis sin ? STUPID !
David Crossley@
a real englishman who stood up against the jew who forced 2 world wars on us
actualy men came from 50 nations who stand beside Hitlers march for freedom
@Anti
Absolutely, deadly!
One, societal, example:
Jews can take hold only in an already sinful society.
So death comes to that society because of their sinful nature.
This is one societal example
As for babies (an individual example):
You are misrepresenting things, satanist-style.
We all have eventually to die, this is a natural process that will occur at any age.
But if you hold a pistol to your head and then pull the trigger, you will die.
Or if you kill somebody and get executed for that.
Or if you get immoral and get a deadly venereal infection.
Or, or, or…the list is endless.
All are deaths caused by sins, unnatural deaths that shouldn’t happen.
One can compare sin to an act of suicide, in fact.
As for animals, I will not bother to comment. Do your homework.