Willow Tohi – Natural News May 10, 2025
- Antarctica’s ice sheet gained mass (107.79 gigatons annually from 2021–2023), offsetting sea-level rise, while Arctic sea ice decline slowed since 2000 — contradicting earlier predictions of rapid melting.
- The reversal in Antarctica (driven by snowfall) and Arctic’s “multi-decadal pause” highlight natural variability, challenging assumptions of linear warming impacts and simplistic climate models.
- Failed past predictions (e.g., Senator Kerry’s 2009 claim of ice-free Arctic by 2013) underscore risks of politicized narratives, which can erode public trust in climate science.
- Researchers urge adaptive, pragmatic strategies (e.g., nuclear energy, coal phaseouts) over rigid targets like “net zero by 2030,” emphasizing resilience and data-driven decisions amid uncertainty.
- The findings stress climate’s unpredictability, advocating for policies that balance mitigation with flexibility to address regional variability and emerging surprises.
In a dramatic shift from decades of decline, Antarctica’s ice sheet recorded a record-breaking mass gain from 2021 to 2023, while the Arctic’s sea ice loss slowed sharply over the past two decades — a dual phenomenon spotlighting the complexity of Earth’s climate system. Two new studies, led by Chinese and U.S.-U.K. researchers, reveal that ice trends at both poles have defied expectations, complicating alarmist predictions and underscoring the risks of framing climate policy around simplistic models. The findings, published in Science China Earth Sciences and a preprint under peer review, add urgency to debates over how policy should balance uncertainty with actionable, pragmatic measures.
Antarctica’s surprising turn — from meltdown to mass gain
A collaboration between scientists at China’s Tongji University and NASA’s GRACE satellite program discovered that Antarctica’s ice mass, which had declined steadily since 2002, reversed course in 2021. Precipitation-driven snowfall enriched regions like Wilkes Land – Queen Mary Land, reversing losses in major glacier basins, including Totten and Denman. The 2021-2023 gain—averaging 107.79 gigatons annually—offset sea-level rise by 0.30 mm/year, a small but statistically significant shift.
“We’ve seen destabilizing trends in East Antarctica for decades, so this reversal is paradoxical yet critical to track,” said lead author Dr. Wei Wang. “But whether it persists remains open.” The study noted that while West Antarctica continues to lose mass, East Antarctica’s ice dynamics now show “significant instability,” complicating projections of sea-level rise.
Arctic’s ice loss “pause” sparks new questions
Meanwhile, a U.S.-U.K. team identified a puzzling deceleration in Arctic sea ice decline across all months since 2000, with a “multi-decadal pause” that could last decades. Using satellite data, researchers found the annual September sea ice minimum — once projected to vanish by 2013 — retreating slower than early models foresaw. Co-author Matthew England stated, “This challenges assumptions that warming translates directly to linear ice loss. The Arctic system is far more variable.”
The pause arrives amid a 1.2°C temperature rise since pre-industrial times. While the study stresses that decadal variability doesn’t invalidate climate change, it warns against “overconfidence in predictive timelines,” noting that Arctic ice “faces both heat and natural cycles.”
When predictions collide
The research amplifies critiques of past overreach, notably Sen. John Kerry’s 2009 claim that polar ice would vanish by 2013, a projection that failed spectacularly. As climate scientist Roger Pielke Jr., a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, observed in his analysis, “Catastrophizing based on extreme scenarios erodes credibility.” Pielke, a frequent critic of climate politicization, argues that such “wolf cries” — like Kerry’s — fuel public skepticism when predictions miss.
Historical parallels reveal similar swings: the 1870s saw climate swings thought to kill 4% of humanity, sparking early monitoring. More recently, 1970s “global cooling” fears prefigured NOAA’s creation. Yet each era also saw flawed projections guiding policy, underscoring the need to separate signal from noise.
A climate policy for a messy world
The studies’ takeaway? Climate isn’t a “one-way ratchet,” Pielke stressed. While combustion-driven warming is real, regional effects remain riddled with variables — including precipitation shifts, ocean currents and land management choices. “The Arctic slowdown and Antarctic gain teach us to treat climate not as a linear threat but as a multi-faceted system demanding adaptive, flexible solutions.”
Pragmatic policies must prioritize resilience, energy access and data — not ideological mantras like “net zero by 2030.” Pielke advocates expanding nuclear energy while phasing out coal, strategies that lower costs and emissions without destabilizing economies. “We need to manage risk, not cling to scare tactics,” he said, warning Congress against cuts to climate data budgets. “Ignoring these surprises could be our greatest peril.”
Dancing with chaos
The polar ice surprises remind us that climate science thrives on humility. Whether the rebounds reflect temporary aberrations or systemic shifts remains unclear, but their timing — amid escalating climate rhetoric — is telling. As history shows, our planet’s rhythms defy prediction, demanding policies that honor complexity over certainty. The path ahead lies not in chasing an “inevitable” catastrophe but in equipping societies to adapt to a climate that, like the stars above us, refuses to play favorites.
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“Climate change”, like “covid”, “terrorism”, immigrant invasion and all the rest, is turned on and off like a faucet by the dictators. In the jew-k, the purpose of “climate change” is to allow the dictators to force the poor, who are the overwhelming majority in shit dump jew-k, to hand over 10% of their income every year to pay for “wind farms” that the jew will own and control, built on land that the jew already owns and controls, under 30 year contracts that the jew made up. It’s a “tax”. Everyone in the jew-k is so ineffectual that they’ll never do a thing about it, or anything else. “Oh, the ice has ‘recovered’ has it? Well, what a ‘surprise’. No sea level rises either? Never mind.” Almost everyone in the jew-k believes all this shit, just as they believe africa is full of starving people (that never die), putin wants to take over the world (despite only taking over what he said he was going to), trump is the devil himself (he’s just another jew), and that palestine is constantly on the very edge of annihilation (not that they’ll, ever lift a finger to do anything either way).
Antarctica is perimeter land mass and ice wall encircling and containing the salt water pond commonly referred to as oceans, it’s not a continent on the bottom of a ball.
Molten magnetic core is another bullshit claim of globe/heliocentric wizardry. Magnetic elements lose their magnetism when heated to their Curie point, which occurs at temperatures well below their melting point. It’s impossible for the earth’s core to be molten and magnetic. No one has ever drilled more than 8 miles below earth’s surface. Russia’s Kola borehole project encountered an impenetrable barrier at that depth. Ergo, claiming knowledge of what exists below earth’s surface at a depth of 4k miles is pure fantasy/science fiction.
…in other words…the Climate Liars lied, once again…
@ Markie…
Science is just another ‘church’ with its priests and of course its heretics…the common imbecile can’t discern between engineering which supplies their shiny distractions and scientism which is a dogma you must believe in used for polytickal purchase by an Evil system driven by ideology…
Science as a noun doesn’t exist, the scientific method is simply PROOF of concept… a verb.. not verbiage..
futhermore engineering is a natural constant, some of the best engineers are actually rodents and insects…
and so are some of my best friends…
@Markie
earlier in the week I posted comment on the page that Knows everything.
My comment was published, then surprisingly removed!
To be replaced by a comment from the organ grinders monkey,
{he usual straw man nonsense having eff all to do directly with what I posted}
which was about jews and their involvement with the origins of nasa
and the replacement comment?
wittering’s about GPS and lines of longitude..
I have been challenging them and others for years, not in an attempt to convert them but to show forth their cowardice and hypocrisy
I shut them down by mentioning the fact that contained liquid water is always perfectly and easily proved to be flat on the surface,
and they invariably don’t dare enter into discussion.
the mention of sea water it seems is pure kryptonite !!
keep on keeping on!
markie–I do not see where the article said the Earth’s core is molten and magnetic
@ Lewis Jones
. LMAO — You got me there, you’re really on your toes. I commented on a related topic but it was outside the parameters of the article. Thanks for enlightening us regarding such an egregious error.
@ chesterton
Yes., ‘scientism’ — good term. I usually refer to politically motivated pseudo-science as PSYence.
@Toto
Keep pounding the natural properties of water.issue, it’s the Waterloo [pun intended] of the globe model. Don’t worry about the invisible man and his sidekick – ‘no thinks’, they’re obviously gate keeping helio-humper apparatchiks
So can they tell Lockheed-Martin/Raytheon they can stop spraying the skies with Nano Polymers, Aluminum, Strontium, Barium, Surfactant, Graphene???
60-100 million tons a year for over 80+ years!
It may surprise climate change dupes that humans are not changing the weather. The earth goes through huge changes in ice volume long before human civilization, for instance when the last glacial maximum ended, oceans levels went up 300 feet! Here is the chart from scientific measurements:
https://assets.coursehero.com/study-guides/lumen/images/physicalgeology/17-4-sea-level-change/Eustatic-sea-level-curve-for-the-past-24-ka1.png
That huge change happens on a regular basis, we are still in the ice age and it will happen again. Some day the earth will cool and the ice sheets will expand, then the Milankovitch cycle (orbital variations) will cause another big melt.
https://www.pinterest.com/nomfu/the-milankovitch-cycles/
https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FFg8JwhBXoAEck1F.jpg&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=a529b35d400ad57872ff5b39a2a273472b484f2e71deef54277946d57246f93f
In our current interglacial, called the Holocene, temperatures peaked 8,000 years ago. Earth has been cooling since which is why the Thames froze over during the Little Ice Age. The Thames will freeze again when the shorter term cycles take temps lower.
https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fimgpile.com%2Fimages%2F1nrpnM.png&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=9c288589be5c57e17f49b13a2e49b91cce4bfbe860ae0bc527126870ac1fc43f
My Commie sister believed in Global Warming and did not let me finish asking her about the average temperature of the ice in Antarctica (a few years ago). My thought was that you can get a lot of warming before there is melting
They don’t have to worry about the public losing trust in climate ‘science’. The only members of the public who have any trust are the indoctrinated and the remarkably gullible, the rest know full well it is ALL BS! What I want to know is when are we going to start rounding up those bastards using the so called science to destroy our lives, and executing them? Every fucking one of them!