William Hunter – Daily Mail Feb 18,2025
The ‘city-destroying’ asteroid hurtling toward Earth is being carefully watched by hundreds of the world’s most powerful telescopes.
Now, NASA has quietly increased the chances that this deadly space rock will smash into the planet in 2032.
The space agency predicts that the asteroid 2024 YR4 has a one-in-38, or 2.6 per cent, chance of hitting.
Those are the same odds as having your number come up on a spin of a standard American roulette wheel.
When it was discovered in December last year, NASA estimated that the chances of 2024 YR4 hitting us were one in a thousand.
However, as more data has been gathered about its orbit, the impact probability has rapidly increased.
Currently, the odds of 2024 YR4 hitting Earth on December 12, 2032, are double what they were at the end of January less than three weeks ago.
With an estimated diameter of 54 metres (177ft), or a little taller than Nelson’s Column in Trafalgar Square, that collision has the potential to cause enormous amounts of damage.
The asteroid was discovered on December 27 by the NASA-funded Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) telescope in Chile.
Early calculations of its orbit quickly showed that there was a slim chance of the near-Earth object (NEO) making a close pass of the planet in the next decade.
However, as astronomers made more observations and arrived at a better estimation of the asteroid’s orbit, the probability of a collision continued to rise.
On January 27, 2024 YR4 truly set alarm bells ringing when it became the only large asteroid with an impact probability greater than one per cent.
This prompted NASA to award the asteroid a score of three on the Torino Scale, a standard measure for the danger of NEOs.
This rating is extremely rare since it can only be given to an object over 20 metres (65ft) in diameter with an impact probability greater than one per cent.
The Torino scale describes this threat as: ‘A close encounter, meriting attention by astronomers. Current calculations give a 1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction.’
Were the asteroid to hit Earth, NASA estimates that the explosion would be equivalent to eight megatons of TNT.
That is more than 500 times the power of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima during World War II.
The resulting blast would be similar to that caused by the Tunguska Asteroid, which flattened 830 square miles (2,150 square km) of Siberian forest in 1908 – an area more than double the size of New York.
Based on current estimates of the asteroid’s orbit, astronomers have calculated a ‘risk corridor’ of locations that could be hit if it were to collide with Earth.
This path stretches from northern South America, across sub-Saharan and North Africa, and into South Asia.
Worryingly, the risk corridor passes over eight of the world’s most populated cities, including Bogota in Colombia, Lagos in Nigeria, as well as Mumbai and Chennai in India.
Those cities alone have a combined population of over 110 million people, who could be in serious danger from an asteroid impact.
In the history of astronomy, only one other asteroid has ever been given a Torino Scale rating of three or higher – that being the 185-metre (600ft) 99942 Apophis.
Apophis, nicknamed the ‘God of Chaos’ asteroid, was briefly escalated to a four on the Torino Scale in late 2004 before rapidly dropping back towards zero.
Astronomers around the world are currently holding out hope that 2024 YR4 will soon follow a similar pattern.
Most NEOs have a higher impact probability right after they are detected with the risk dropping off as scientists gather more data about their orbits.
At first, as lots of new data comes in, the probability tends to sharply increase creating the impression of a rapidly growing risk.
However, NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) currently predict that this should be followed by a drop in probability once the astronomers can be more certain about the asteroid’s orbital path.
NASA spokesperson Molly Wasser wrote in a blog post: ‘As more observations of the asteroid’s orbit are obtained, its impact probability will become better known.
‘It is possible that asteroid 2024 YR4 will be ruled out as an impact hazard, as has happened with many other objects that have previously appeared on NASA’s.’
She adds: ‘It is also possible its impact probability will continue to rise.’
Both NASA and ESA will continue to make observations of the asteroid until April at which point it will become too faint to observe until it returns around June 2028.
In a rare emergency decision, ESA has also been granted access to the James Webb Space Telescope in March to better assess the risk posed by 2024 YR4.
The JWST will record the heat emitted by the asteroid using its infrared sensors which will give a more accurate estimate for its size.
Those measurements will be key to making a decision on whether action needs to be taken to divert the asteroid from its course.
If the decision is made to push the asteroid off its current course, the most likely option would be using a ‘kinetic impactor’ to push it aside by ramming a satellite into the asteroid as fast as possible.
In 2022, NASA’s DART mission showed that it was possible to significantly alter the trajectory of a large asteroid with a satellite collision.
However, with only eight years until the asteroid arrives, some scientists have cast doubt on the plan to deflect the killer asteroid.
In a post on X, Dr Robin George Andrews, a volcanologist and author based in London, points out that we ‘have less than eight years to potentially deal with it’.
‘You need 10 years or more to build, plan and execute an asteroid deflection mission,’ he said.
Outer space and the space program as portrayed by NASA and Hollywood are a hoax, all cartoons,CGI, and poor quality artwork. No need to worry about asteroids hitting the earth, they don’t exist. The sun, moon and stars are within the firmament and move in cycles around a flat, stationary plane. Heliocentric model is a satanic inversion like so many other concepts presented to us.
NASA are a bunch of lying barstewards. Why anybody would care what they say is puzzling.
Erm, will I be the only one hoping it lands on the jews?
This is handy fear porn for the establishments. It keeps many amongst the masses burning up adrenaline and in a constant state of wobbly. It can’t be disproven, it couldn’t be stopped and it all comes for free.
December 12 is my birthday. What a birthday present!!!🤢
LOL..
NotASpaceAgency.. but a theatrical one…
…let’s hope they don’t lose the Telemetry data for this asteroid, I mean, after all, nowadays, they’ll follow you around the internet using trackers just to determine what shit roll you prefer and whether they can sell you a funeral plan for your daughters pet gerbil..to feed into a chump bot..
.but somehow nasty NASa taped over all the records of lol, ‘mans greatest achievement’… surely the Artificial imbeciles have been starved of such important DATA… poor things..
Did you know…that when they broadcast the moonlanding most of those impressive terminals manned by sharp dressed men in chinos and buzzcuts and designed by brain black females with hidden figures were actually dummies..empty vessels…just like the idiots that believed it…
Yes that right!..and just like IBM’s so called quantum computer..
they were a prop..
and what do you use props for..yes that’s right..movies…enter-tain-ment..
Not too long ago, the Heavenly Holy Father diverted a comet’s path from the Pacific to Antarctica saving millions of lives, I gave a full explanation of this event before it occurred and after on Facebook. A testament to Jesus is the spirit of prophecy Revelation, Chapter 19.
Oh yeh ? So how much money does nasa want now to study this matter ? These are the same guys that spent a lot of money on pretending to land a person on the moon, then lost the films and paperwork. Fraud. The fact is nasa and the others do not have a clue on where the asteroids are nor how to prevent one hitting us. They do like to scare you and say some city is gonna get slammed. So a 10 year plan to plan, execute, build sounds like a 100 year plan to drain out some more ready cash. Wait till Musk/trump raid nasa as they seem to be on other federal agencies.
Fear Fear Fear, be afraid, be afraid, be afraid!!!!!!
government in action through its numerous agencies of lies!!!!
If one looks into history, That is real history, then one will find that Earth civilisations have been destroyed on numerous occasions. They won’t tell you that though. The Earth is an unstable planet that’s why so many other species are studying the place/being
And as for the yids, what self-respecting species would ally with those lying, murdering, paranoid psychopaths NON. No chance of the scum “winning” anything.
Just so you know. (to paraphrase nico, Ha Ha Ha)
Nice if it would hit Israel. Or maybe Sacramento. Or London. Or NYC.
LOL
‘Drek Rutter’ up above and much closer to the creator than myself, me, who unfortunately is slowly sliding slipperily southwards* .. explicates God’s eternal plan for us..
he reveals it all…
On Facebook…
* celestial alliteration..
Yawn News…
NASA is a complete masonic joke.
On the other hand, maybe NASA is out there steering the comet towards us. Maybe it tells Ukraine, “Do as we say or we’ll land it on you!” and then tells the same to other countries. If everybody bends the knee, NASA could wait till it was hidden from us behind the moon and blow it up, telling us it hit and disintegrated back there. Or better, put it in earth orbit to keep the threat alive.
One does wonder what relationship Musk will have with NASA. Owner?
Hebrew ‘nasa’
nâshâʼ, naw-shaw’; a primitive root; to lead astray, i.e. (mentally) to delude, or (morally) to seduce:—beguile, deceive, × greatly, × utterly.
When it hits the earth’s atmosphere how much of it will be burnt up.
Life without nasa- the Truth shall set you free.
@ markie,
LOL! You sound like a total loon, pal. Stay off that ‘Mecca of Incels’, aka Bitchute. Why don’t you pick up a healthy hobby like working out, bettering yourself, etc., rather than scrapping the bottom of the barrel, so to speak, of 4Chan threads written by teenage groypers and incels?
A few years back, I remember my 11yr old nephew saying the same nonsense he had read on 4Chan. Luckily, he’s an intelligent and common-sensical young man who grew out of that phase by the time he was 12. It seems some of us never grow out of that pre-pubescent period, and sink into ‘regressive infantalism’ well into our 20’s, 30’s, and beyond.
@ Mike D
Typical ad hominem and strawman bullshit from a helio humper and Copernican cultist who can’t argue the evidence. Your inept trolling skills are so apparent. As I’ve mentioned numerous times in the past,you need to work on your game. Maybe you can take some remedial courses at the Masonic lodge.
I have two questions for you, so try to stay on point. I know that’s difficult for someone with ADD like you.
1–As bodies of water, how can the surface of the oceans be anything other than flat?
2– As bodies of water, how can the oceans exist without containment? Give me an example in nature where this is possible e.g. Can you have a swimming pool without walls and just run a hose out in the backyard and build up a water cube to swim in?
You need 10 years to plan a deflection mission?
Bruce Willis sorted it out in a few hours, and he was drunk.
Just more scare mongering.
To JH
No.
2032? Too long. It can’t slam into this shit bucket soon enough at this point. Too bad they’re (and by they, I mean the gin-soaked shit salesmen at NASA) talking about it hitting south of the equator rather than northern hives of demons and degenerates such as Washingstein District of Criminals or Jew Yawk or Hell Aviv or Lost Anjewles or Jew-rue-slum or Davos or Basel. Though as far as souh of the equator, the criminal infested chimp refuge of Lagos Nigeria would be a great spot to obliterate.
@ markie,
LOL! So you want me to teach high school science? I’m not your personal fkn tutor, pal. Sounds like you’re a bible thumping christ-tard more than a 4Chan incel, although the two categories are not necessarily exclusionary.
What are you going on about water not being contained in oceans? Of course they’re contained. You have land masses, i.e. dry land, and then deep trenches … literally trenches on a giant scale filled with water: i.e. Pacific, Atlantic, etc. If you dug a deep hole in your backyard and filled it up with water, it would be a tiny (very tiny) ocean of sorts. What’s your IQ, pal? Honest question. You’re giving off sub-70 vibes.
@ Mike D
“If you dug a deep hole in your backyard and filled it up with water, it would be a tiny (very tiny) ocean of sorts”
Appropriate analogy, because that’s what you’re doing with your comical responses, digging a deeper and deeper hole for yourself. Yes, the water would remain in the hole because the hole has walls. Once the hole is filled beyond the top, the water will no longer be contained and spread out laterally. Does this really need to be explained? Who’s demonstrating a sub-70 IQ here?
In order to avoid further embarrassment, please stop now with your amateur disinfo trolling, your handlers are not going to be happy with your performance.