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Moon of Alabama – April 18, 2023

Peace is breaking out in the Middle East and the U.S. is pushed aside by more friendly actors.

On March 10 the world was surprised with a China mediated deal that restored ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran:

There are winners and losers in this.

The winners are:

    • Iran, which will now be even more able to break through the sanctions wall the U.S. has put up around it.
    • Saudi Arabia, which now will likely be able to end its disastrous and costly war on Yemen.
    • China, for outplaying the U.S. State Department by achieving this.
    • Iraq, Syria, Yemen as they will become more peaceful as the two middle powers influencing policies on their grounds end their rivalry.

The losers are:

    • Israel, because the chances for its attempts to get the U.S. into a war with Iran are now diminished. Its hoped for coalition with the Saudis will not come into being.
    • The U.S. for having been outplayed on its traditional ‘home grounds’ in the Middle East.
    • Anti-Iran hawks everywhere.
    • The Emirates for losing at least some of the sanction busting trade with Iran to Saudi Arabia.

…
Reviving relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran will make a lot of new things possible.

That Iran and Saudi Arabia accepted China’s mediation is a recognition of Beijing’s new standing in world policies. That alone is enough reason for the White House to hate the deal.

I predicted that the U.S. and Israel would do their best to sabotage the deal or at least make its implementation difficult.

The U.S. sent CIA director Bill Burns to warn the Saudis off. However the deal has held so far and the Saudis are repairing their relations with countries against which they previously waged wars. Yesterday a senior Saudi official visited Sanaa and shook hands with Yemeni Houthi officials:

Cont. reading: China Brings Peace To Yemen, Syria And … Palestine?