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Christmas under full lockdown? Michael Gove reveals four-week November shutdown could be EXTENDED if it fails to tackle Covid second wave – and warns that without Boris Johnson’s move the NHS would be ‘full’ by next month

  • Covid Quad committee, which has taken all the key strategic decisions, met in the Cabinet Office on Friday amid doomsday predictions from the Government’s SAGE committee of scientific advisers 
  • PM fought ‘valiant battle’ to keep the country open, ‘arguing with himself’ and endorsing many of his Chancellor’s hawkish warnings about the economic carnage it would entail
  • Scientists, Matt Hancock and Michael Gove warned that the Covid-19 death rate will be worse than in April
  • Quad heard that at the current rate of infections, hospitals would soon be overrun in every part of England, with the death toll hitting between 3,000 and 4,000 a day by Christmas

David Wilcock, Glen Owen and Anna Mikhailova – Daily Mail Nov 1, 2020

England could spend Christmas under a full lockdown if the four-week November shutdown fails to tackle the second wave of coronavirus sweeping the nation, Michael Gove suggested today.

The Cabinet Office Minister raised the spectre of a gloomy December with pubs, restaurants and non-essential shops closed if the R rate does not fall enough, despite the closure being designed to help save the festive period.

Appearing on television this morning he defended Boris Johnson’s decision last night to plunge England into a full lockdown, despite previously calling it the ‘nuclear option’.

He said that expert information showed that without it, the NHS nationally would be ‘full’ by the first week of December, affecting not only Covid patients but all critically ill cases.

Appearing on Sophy Ridge on Sunday on Sky News he said that over November the Government would review the data, adding that he hoped the reinfection rate would be ‘significantly reduced’ by December 2.

But asked if the national lockdown could be extended, he replied: ‘Yes.’

He said: ‘We want to be in a position where we can – and I believe that this is likely to be the case – have an approach where if we bring down the rate of infection sufficiently we can reduce measures nationally and also reduce measures regionally.

‘Because the regional approach is one that, wherever possible, we want to take because again we recognise it may be the case in the future that having reduced R below 1, having reduced national restrictions, we may see a specific upsurge in specific areas which will require specific regional measures.’

But he added: ‘We are going to review it on December 2 but we will always be driven by what the data shows.’

Mr Gove said it would be ‘foolish’ to predict what would happen with the pandemic over the next four weeks.

A reminder that the first lockdown in England and Wales probably took more lives than it allegedly ‘saved’. Click to enlarge

‘With a virus this malignant, and with its capacity to move so quickly, it would be foolish to predict with absolute certainty what will happen in four weeks’ time, when over the course of the last two weeks its rate, its infectiousness and its malignancy have grown,’ he said.

‘And so therefore of course we will review what requires to be done but we have a clear plan over the next four-week (period) to support the economy and to protect the NHS.’

Mr Give defended Mr Johnson’s U-turn from resisting a lockdown to ordering it, saying that is was based on data from the past two weeks.

And he said that without it, ‘by the first week in December the NHS will be full’, including to non-Covid patients.

Appearing on the same programme, CBI chief Dame Carolyn Fairbairn said that the new lockdown was a ‘body blow’ for firms and demanded they be allowed to open as much as possible.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer this morning said Labour would back the lockdown restrictions in a vote on Wednesday. But he blasted the delay in introducing it.

He told the BBC’s Andrew Marr Show: ‘On the day that Sage recommended a circuit-break, the daily death rate was 11, yesterday it was 326, so there’s a very human cost to this, but the measures are necessary.’

He said that unless test and trace was drastically improved, December 2 would be ‘a review date, not an end date’.

Last night Mr Johnson was forced to unveil the new lockdown  at a hurriedly-arranged press conference yesterday, after sources told the Daily Mail about the plans hours after the Quad committee meeting.

The measures come into force from midnight on Thursday morning until December 2, and close all but essential shops, restaurants, pubs, hairdressers and leisure centres.

The furlough scheme that pays workers 80% of their wages will be extended for a month, and travel outside the UK will be allowed only for ‘work’.

Mr Johnson said it was the the only way to avert bleak Sage predictions of 85,000 deaths this winter, which would force doctors to choose between saving Covid sufferers and those with other illnesses.

‘No responsible PM can ignore the message of those figures. We’ve got to be humble in the face of nature,’ he said.

As England braces for a second national lockdown:

  • Some furious Tory MPs threatened to shoot down the PM’s new shutdown in a crunch vote in the Commons;
  • Backbenchers accused Boris Johnson of being ‘bounced’ into lockdown and compared Covid to ‘Suez’; 
  • Keir Starmer called for an immediate national lockdown as he said delaying until Thursday would cost lives;
  • Stunned hospitality chiefs warned that new Covid-19 restrictions would spell doom for dying industry;  
  • Johnson will bring in the Army to help roll out ‘rapid tests’ which will see ‘whole cities’ tested within days 
  • Graphs that show how all models of the coronavirus second wave predict the number of deaths will exceed SAGE’s ‘worst cases scenario’ were shown by government advisers at the press conference 
  • The UK recorded 326 deaths within 28 days of testing positive for Covid-19 and 21,915 lab-confirmed cases; 
  • The National Education Union called for schools and colleges to be shut as part of the lockdown; 
  • Health Minister said government could only have predicted need for a second lockdown with ‘crystal ball’; 
  • Number of virus patients in hospital has doubled in the past fortnight, with 10,708 patients being treated; 

Continues …