“Mounting Evidence” Suggests COVID Not As Deadly as Thought. Did the Experts Fail Again?

John Miltimore – Foundation for Economic Education June 12, 2020

In April 2005, Charles Duelfer, the CIA’s top weapons inspector in Iraq, admitted in the CIA’s final report that after an extensive search, no weapons of mass destruction could be found.

“After more than 18 months, the WMD investigation and debriefing of the WMD-related detainees has been exhausted,” wrote Duelfer, the leader of the Iraq Survey Group. “As matters now stand, the WMD investigation has gone as far as feasible.”

Today it’s generally accepted that the presence of WMD was the primary basis for the Iraq War. Naturally, the absence of such weapons shook the world. The media blamed the politicians, the politicians blamed US intel, and the intelligence actors involved mostly defended their work.

The official word, chronicled in the Robb-Silberman report, concluded that “the Intelligence Community didn’t adequately explain just how little good intelligence it had—or how much its assessments were driven by assumptions and inferences rather than concrete evidence.”

The Iraq War WMD debacle is arguably the greatest expert “fail” in generations. The holy triumvirate—lawmakers, bureaucrats, and media—all failed to sniff out the truth. If any of them had, a war that cost trillions of dollars and claimed the lives of 100,000-200,000 people likely could have been avoided.

It would be difficult to surpass the Iraq blunder, but emerging evidence on COVID-19 suggests the experts—again: lawmakers, bureaucrats, and media—may have subjected us to a blunder of equally disastrous proportions.

A new NPR report suggests the global response to COVID-19 may have been reached on a flawed premise.

Mounting evidence suggests the coronavirus is more common and less deadly than it first appeared.

The evidence comes from tests that detect antibodies to the coronavirus in a person’s blood rather than the virus itself.

The tests are finding large numbers of people in the US who were infected but never became seriously ill. And when these mild infections are included in coronavirus statistics, the virus appears less dangerous.

“The current best estimates for the infection fatality risk are between 0.5% and 1%,” says Caitlin Rivers, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.

That’s in contrast with death rates of 5% or more based on calculations that included only people who got sick enough to be diagnosed with tests that detect the presence of virus in a person’s body.

Many people will recall the fatality risk debate that took place prior to and in the early stages of the lockdowns. There was much discussion over how deadly the virus was and what the collective response to the virus should be.

Some voices exercised caution.

“The public is behaving as if this epidemic is the next Spanish flu, which is frankly understandable given that initial reports have staked COVID-19 mortality at about 2–3 percent, quite similar to the 1918 pandemic that killed tens of millions of people,” Jeremy Samuel Faust an emergency medicine physician and an instructor at Harvard Medical School, wrote in Slate. “Allow me to be the bearer of good news. These frightening numbers are unlikely to hold.”

Similarly, on March 5 vaccine expert Paul A. Offit, who holds the Maurice R. Hilleman Chair of Vaccinology at the University of Pennsylvania, told Factcheck.org that he believed that the World Health Organization’s 3.4 percent fatality rate figure was too high, suggesting it was well below 1 percent.

“We’re more the victim of fear than the virus,” Offit said, adding that the world was witnessing a “wild overreaction” to the disease.

Professor Neil Ferguson. Click to enlarge

Voices like those of Faust and Offit were quickly drowned out, however. The 24-hour news cycle fanned collective fear and outrage that more was not being done. Runs on toilet paper and masks ensued. Neil Ferguson, professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College London, predicted millions would die in the “best-case scenario.”

Following the example of China, one of the most authoritarian regimes in the world, most of the developed world was placed in indefinite lockdown by their own governments.

The social and economic costs of the lockdowns soon became apparent. The US alone has seen 40 million jobs lost, many of which aren’t coming back. Recession looms. Hundreds of thousands of businesses have already been wiped away. The federal debt has surged to $26 trillion.

Unfortunately, the COVID disaster and the aforementioned Iraq War fit a familiar pattern. As the historian Paul Johnson has observed, most of the worst events of the 20th century were perpetrated by experts who used collective power to shape world events in a direction they believed was beneficial.

“One of the principal lessons of our tragic century, which has seen so many millions of innocent lives sacrificed in schemes to improve the lot of humanity, is—beware intellectuals,” Johnson wrote in The Intellectuals. “Not merely should they be kept away from the levers of power, they should also be objects of particular suspicion when they seek to offer collective advice.”

Nobody denies the immense cost of the lockdowns, but what was gained by them remains a subject of contention.

A May report from JP Morgan, as well as other evidence, suggests the lockdowns had little to no impact on the spread of COVID-19.

Marko Kolanovic, a physicist and strategist for JP Morgan, pointed out that a majority of nations saw declines in infection rates after the lockdowns were lifted.

“Unlike rigorous testing of new drugs, lockdowns were administered with little consideration that they might not only cause economic devastation but potentially more deaths than Covid-19 itself,” Kolanoviche said.

Similarly, a Bloomberg analysis in May found “little correlation between the severity of a nation’s restrictions and whether it managed to curb excess fatalities.” Meanwhile, Norway’s top health official recently stated that lockdowns were not a necessary step to tame the virus.

On the other hand, the Washington Post this week cited studies claiming the lockdown orders prevented hundreds of millions of COVID-19 infections and saved millions of lives.

These findings come with caveats, however. First, one of the studies was submitted on March 22—well before the vast majority of COVID cases had even occurred. The other study was conducted by researchers at the Imperial College of London, the same school from which Ferguson hailed. (He has since resigned after it was discovered that he broke the lockdown protocol he helped design by allowing his married lover to come to his home.)

Ferguson, who in 2005 said up to 200 million might die from bird flu (about 100 did), was asked by The New York Times in March what the best-case scenario was for the US during the COVID pandemic.

“About 1.1 million deaths,” he responded.

As of June 10, Ferguson is off by about a factor of ten. Why we should continue to listen to schools that have already proven to be so disastrously wrong is anyone’s guess. The “chicken little” story comes to mind.

In 2003, state actors led the world into a bloody, years-long struggle in Iraq to protect the world from nuclear weapons that didn’t exist—only to eventually learn how little US intel experts actually knew about Iraq’s nuclear capabilities.

In 2020, central planners from around the world decided to shut down the global economy to protect people from an invisible, highly contagious virus that will result in no or mild symptoms for up to 90 percent of its carriers.

Some lessons, it seems, are hard to learn.

 

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6 responses to ““Mounting Evidence” Suggests COVID Not As Deadly as Thought. Did the Experts Fail Again?”

  1. I’m surprised (and disappointed) this piece of sheeple drivel was published by Truthseeker. As any awakened soul knows, the “WMD” was furthest from an intel “failure” — the whole fraud (the pretext for invasion) was purposely mapped, engineered and launched by Israel and their Sayan-infested US political apparatus. This ridiculous article — written by a sheep for sheep (it’s too ignorant to be a psyop) — makes it all look like it a mistake based on flawed intel.

  2. Perhaps, as those in charge of the Darkmoon site seemed to do on occasion, Truthseeker included this post as a test of our perspicacity, of our ability to debate, debunk, and deride! One can hope the article does not herald a decline like that of ZeroHedge, where links to mainstream media quickly overtook rebellious, independent takes on socioeconomic topis.

    Now that the COVID-19 “live exercise” has nearly run its course, its sequelae milked like the last cow on Earth for all it’s worth, I think it instructive how spoke-persons (spooks?) for Power$ That Be (P$TB) “walk back” some of the strongest — and most untenable! — assumptions on which the [massive, admittedly highly successful] psy-op depended.

    For example, it’s now LOW lethality, not HIGH rates of death. Then there’s the now admittedly nonspecific and otherwise unreliable testing, hence false positives (even if you don’t get a test, you’ll find yourself “positive”). Doubling down, the perpetrators launched a debate over the infectiousness of NON-symptomatic persons!! And, of course, as did the pleasant, warm, and caring William Gates, Jr., we got and still get ominous warnings about a “second wave”. If the first one didn’t floor you, the SECOND ONE will!

    The P$TB will not quit until and unless we withdraw our support, refuse to participate, and find ways to teach others and communicate the “way out” to our fellow hue-mankind (all peoples, all colors).

  3. Ditto what Vivamus said.

    The bankster cartel carefully planned all these evils such as the Covid Scam, the riots, transgender madness, immigrant invasions, WMD propaganda, wars and coups against Afghanistan, Iraq, Egypt, Libya, Sudan, etc.

    This evil is intentional. There is nothing accidental about it. The banksters documented their devilish plans for all this evil in the Protocols of Zion, POZ, prior to 1900.

    As plan after plan in the POZ became reality after reality over the last 120 years it proved beyond any honest doubt that the POZ are genuine –

    Protocols of the Learned Elders of Zion –
    http://www.whale.to/b/protocols.html

  4. Well said Vivamus

  5. I agree totally with Vivamus. There was never any evidence based on the initial “official” stats from China and South Korea for the draconian government measures all over the world, and the independent experts and those of us who assessed that evidence last March knew and said it was another complete psyop, with similarities to 9/11. All of these lying dissembling establishment authorities in this article knew everything from the beginning and they are now having to disclose their findings because of the growing critical mass of truth-seeking people.

    Clearly, it IS a plandemic and it remains a plandemic. The NWO, UN and bankster reasons for it are absolutely clear to anyone who has a shred of honesty and an ounce of common sense. What is despicable about the article and virtually every outlet represented in it is that they also have played key roles in supporting the psyop and now in order to get all of the “authority” perps off of the hook, they are pretending it was all just a mistake, just like they were so “mistaken” about WMD’s when they went about murdering about 200,000 Iraqis and maimed and ruined the lives of millions more, all for oil and the petrodollar. They are all capital liars and I agree with Max all of them deserve capital punishment.

    The only positive thing about the article is that our illustrious “authorities” seem to be willing to relax things a little, as we wait for their next little gem they are about to start spreading this September – something a bit more enhanced giving better and more reliable morbidity and fatality numbers to actually fill those empty hospital wards and morgues.

    Any of you who read this think I am too harsh and far fetched about the likelihood of a September restart of the psyop? If so you then are part of the problem and have to wake up. You were probably one of those sheeple last March plugged into the MSM, or faithful to your lying governments or some establishment chain of command, and could not listen to or understand the facts from independents like Dr. Wodarg, Dr. Ioannidis, and others saying that our emperors had no clothes. Have you researched the planning for this psyop going back to before even the 2010 Rockerfeller Foundation disclosures? You think that this is all “conspiracy theory” and people like me are wingnuts and not clued into reality. Look out your window and see what is going on – the biggest fraud in human history and it has been planned for years, only the virus which your illustrious authorities know was deliberately released beginning last October was not as lethal as they expected and planned on. They had to improvise with a lot of hype and BS with the stats. Do you realize the magnitude of the globalist NWO – OWG resets taking place right now under your very nose? Have you listened very carefully to all of the World Economic Forums presentations on Youtube and especially the June 3 one of this year, where they say they are launching the “Great Reset”, as well as the one before where it is clear that they needed our “systems” to have a “rest” for the resets? Have you done that, or are you simply choosing your facts to suit and assert your anointed vision of reality? If so then your are part of the problem and totally a product of the MSM and our corrupt government-run educational system.

    No doubt if you agree with the the NWO aims you will agree with their measures and find some way in your little pragmatic mind to cast a blind eye to what all your lying and killing government authorities have been perpetuating, and you will continue to do so with the release of their next release of a more lethal virus to save their hallowed NWO resets, their precious credibility, and their bloody hides.

  6. ‘COVID”s unintended consequence is exposing HIV scams killing untold numbers of uninformed masses all over the world. many HIV survivors are those who reject the toxic medicine sold by big pharma. now they are experts in virus scams without university title.