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Introduction – March 20, 2020

Death rates from Coronavirus differ dramatically from country to country. In Italy it’s 8.3%, in Iran it’s 6.9% while in China it is 4% and Germany 0.3%. These figures are not necessarily comparable. For example the UK’s rate is inflated because it only tests people in hospital, who are more likely to die, so the ratio of confirmed cases to deaths may be smaller.
Moreover as Jon Rappoport has pointed out, there good reason to suspect that these figures are being manipulated to create the impression we have an epidemic.
So don’t be surprised if the estimated number of deaths is revised at a later date to a much lower figure. Ed.

Death rates of coronavirus may be HALF initial estimates by world health chiefs, promising study finds

  • International researchers compiled data on COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China
  • They found that overall, the proportion of patients that died was 1.4 per cent 
  • World Health Organization said in early March the death rate was 3.4 per cent
  • The preliminary findings come as the global death toll nears 10,000 
  • The scientists suggested focusing on how to reduce the severity of the illness 
  • Coronavirus symptoms: what are they and should you see a doctor?

Vanessa Chalmers – Daily Mail March 19, 2020

The death rate of coronavirus may be half of what world health chiefs expected it to be, according to a study.

International researchers compiled data on coronavirus cases in Wuhan, the Chinese city of 11million people where the deadly disease emerged in December 2019.

They found that, overall, the number of people who died after getting sick with the coronavirus was 1.4 per cent.

In comparison, estimations by the World Health Organization in early March said 3.4 per cent of diagnosed patients had died.

And the true figure is likely to be even lower because so many people are believed to be going undiagnosed.

By comparison the death rate of flu is around 0.1 per cent.

Coronavirus patients often don’t know they’re infected – as many as eight out of 10 could have no symptoms in the early stages of an outbreak, according to one study –because they get such mild signs that they don’t think anything of it.

The study, which has not yet been reviewed by scientists, comes as more than 9,300 people around the world have died and more than 224,000 have been confirmed to be ill.

The study, led by Professor Joseph Wu of the University of Hong Kong, was focused on the city of Wuhan, where the first cases of COVID-19 were reported.

Professor Wu and colleagues from Harvard University used published data on 425 early confirmed cases and 41 fatalities in Wuhan.

But they wanted to get a bigger picture of how many people in the city, which is in the Hubei province, had the disease but showed no symptoms.

Hospitals had been overwhelmed in Wuhan and milder cases were unlikely to have been tested.

The team used a range of global data sources to estimate the full number of cases within Wuhan by taking into account the location and timing of cases outside of the area to work out how many people could be expected to have had it.

By studying real-life patients they found the average time from the start of symptoms – a fever or a cough – to death was 19 days, on average. It ranged between 16 and 24 days.

They worked out that the proportion of patients who died was 1.4 per cent, with a possible range from 0.8 per cent to two per cent.

 

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