{"id":79841,"date":"2013-09-15T08:18:45","date_gmt":"2013-09-15T08:18:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=79841"},"modified":"2013-09-17T08:06:40","modified_gmt":"2013-09-17T08:06:40","slug":"yom-kippur-war-and-the-power-of-deterrence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=79841","title":{"rendered":"Yom Kippur, War and the Power of Deterrence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal<\/w:View> <w:Zoom>0<\/w:Zoom> <w:DoNotOptimizeForBrowser \/> <\/w:WordDocument> <\/xml><![endif]--><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"text-align: center;\">Gilad Aztmon &#8212; gilad.co.uk Sept 14, 2013<\/h1>\n<h5><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/scuds.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-79844\" title=\"Scud. Click to enlarge\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/scuds-300x168.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/scuds-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/scuds.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Today is Yom Kippur and the 40th\u00a0anniversary of the 1973 Arab\u2013Israeli (Yom Kippur) War. That war caught Israel totally on the hop. In the first days of the conflict, both the IDF and the IAF were defeated and humiliated. Moshe Dayan, the legendary Israeli defence minister, contemplated out loud the \u2018destruction of the 3rd\u00a0Temple\u2019 and, according to different intelligence sources, Israel was close to using its \u2018Samson option\u2019 &#8211; a nuclear strike against Egypt.<\/h5>\n<h5>Interestingly, neither the Egyptians nor the Syrians had any plans to \u2018throw the Jews to the sea.\u2019 In fact, their military objectives were rather limited \u2013 liberating land occupied by Israel in 1967.\u00a0 The Egyptians attempted to secure a narrow bridge-head over the Suez Canal and the Syrians hoped to free the Golan Heights or at least part of it.<\/h5>\n<h5>But driven by pre-Traumatic Stress (Pre-TSD), Israeli army generals and the government managed to recast this joint Arab operation as nothing less than an emerging Shoa. Consequently, at least for the first days of the war, they panicked and unnecessarily and critically exhausted Israeli military assets and force.<\/h5>\n<h5>I believe that when judging Israeli contemporary politics, we need to bear in mind that the current Israeli political and military leadership were low and medium ranking front-line military commanders in that war 40 years ago. In 1973 Benjamin Netanyahu led special forces operations in Syria and Egypt. Ehud Barak, then a Lieutenant-Colonel, led an Israeli tank battalion through some of the toughest battles in the war. Israel\u2019s defence minister Moshe &#8220;Bogie&#8221; Ya&#8217;alon fought the war as a reservist commando soldier while former Israeli Chief of Staff Gabi Ashkenazi was an infantry soldier at the time of the war and fought in the Sinai Peninsula.<\/h5>\n<h5>Nor does it take a genius to realise that these Israeli leaders\u2019 decisions would have been shaped by their 1973 experience. In that war they mistakenly saw themselves as the last defenders of the newly founded Jews-only state. Like all Israeli front-line combatants in that war, they interpreted the powerful but limited Syrian\/Egyptian attack as a serious attempt at genocide. As any pop-psychologist will tell you, they projected their own symptoms onto their Arab adversaries. Clearly Netanyahu and his government still fall into the same trap. Time after time, they assume that the Iranians, Syrians and Palestinians are driven by murderous inclinations and are led by people who are as murderous as they are.<\/h5>\n<h5>In the last week the Israeli papers have been saturated with articles and commentaries on Yom Kippur and the trauma that never fades away. Ynet and Haaretz both reflect on that event that shook Israel\u2019s confidence and, for the first time, challenged its image of military omnipotence.<\/h5>\n<h5>Two days ago I came across a very interesting story on Ynet (Hebrew edition). Apparently, just before hostilities began on October 6th\u00a01973, Israel became aware of a vast Soviet delivery of long range Scud missiles to the Egyptian army.\u00a0 Seemingly, this piece of intelligence deterred Israel from its intention to raid Egyptian governmental and civilian infrastructure in Egyptian cities.<\/h5>\n<h5><a href=\"http:\/\/kipur.ynet.co.il\/#%21:\/ResourceContent.aspx?link=http%3a%2f%2fwww.ynet.co.il%2farticles%2f0%2c7340%2cL-4429371%2c00.html\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #386eff;\"><span style=\"color: #ffff00;\">Ynet <\/span><span style=\"color: #ffff00;\">Writes<\/span><\/span><\/a>:<\/h5>\n<h5 style=\"margin-right: 36.0pt; margin-left: 36.0pt;\">\u201cThree days later, on 9 October, the [Israeli] Air Force (IAF) launched a series of deep raids on Damascus military headquarters in an attempt to put pressure on the Syrian government and leadership. One would expect the IAF to launch similar air raids on Egypt\u2019s capital. Yet despite the Egyptian initial assault, and despite the tremendous pressure exerted by Egyptian armies on the Israeli forces in the Suez Canal, Israel was careful. It was fearful. Policy makers in Israel, headed by Defense Minister Moshe Dayan, repeatedly rejected IDF\u2019s suggestions to conduct deep raids against Egypt. It was the Soviet Scud missiles in Egypt that deterred Israel from conducting such aerial bombardments.\u201d<\/h5>\n<h5>I guess the meaning of this paragraph is simple yet crucial for the understanding of Israel and its politics. Israel restrained itself from pounding Egypt only because it was aware that the Egyptians had the means to retaliate. In other words, Israeli leaders knew all along that Egypt possessed the capacity to inflict pain to Israel\u2019s cities. They must have realised that Egyptian objectives were not genocidal \u2013 but it also means that Israel\u2019s enemies: Arab countries, as well as Iran, must pursue every possible means to posses the kind of weaponry that deters Israel.<\/h5>\n<h5>It seems this is the only way to bring Israeli aggression to an end.<\/h5>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gilad.co.uk\/writings\/yom-kippur-war-and-the-power-of-deterrence.html  \">Source <\/a><span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\"> <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gilad Atzmon reflects on the anniversary of the 1973 Yom Kippur War and what it means today <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":109,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-79841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-Israel_Anti-Semitism_Zionism_and_US-UK_allies"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79841","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/109"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=79841"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79841\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80016,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79841\/revisions\/80016"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=79841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=79841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=79841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}