{"id":329064,"date":"2026-07-18T05:38:15","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T05:38:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=329064"},"modified":"2026-07-20T06:54:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T06:54:18","slug":"the-global-food-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=329064","title":{"rendered":"The Global Food Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ruben Bauer Naveira \u2013 The Unz Review June 20, 2026<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/h1>\n

This article is a warning. A global food crisis is likely approaching \u2014 driven by the collapse of supply chains feeding the agri-food system, a consequence of the war against Iran and the resulting blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The prospect has gone largely unnoticed by most political and economic actors.<\/p>\n

Supply crises, as a rule, are resolved through the Law of Supply and Demand. When supply falls, prices rise; those who can afford to pay grumble but pay, while those who cannot find a cheaper substitute. Or do without.<\/p>\n

But we are talking about food \u2014 and food is indispensable to life.<\/p>\n

To those who believe that \u201cthe market self-regulates\u201d and that this supply crisis will therefore be absorbed through higher prices \u2014 costlier food, but food nonetheless \u2014 I would say: there is a threshold. Below a certain level of supply, the problem is no longer that food becomes expensive; the problem is that there is not enough food for everyone, regardless of how much money people have to spend. This article<\/a> explains the dynamic well. If the Law of Supply and Demand is the global economy\u2019s homeostatic mechanism \u2014 its way of restoring equilibrium after a shock \u2014 then supply chains are its Achilles\u2019 heel.<\/p>\n

Supply chain disruptions and extreme weather events periodically afflict one country or another and are offset through global trade. But never before has there been a situation like the present one, in which farmers across every corner of the world are simultaneously grappling with shrinking supply and rising input costs \u2014 fertilizers, pesticides, diesel, lubricants, transport. And one thing is certain: anywhere in the world, a farmer pays closer attention to news about the Super El Ni\u00f1o than the average person does.<\/p>\n

Agriculture has always been a business of thin margins and constant uncertainty, where disincentives weigh heavily. Whether to skip this planting season \u2014 or to plant less \u2014 is a decision each farmer makes individually. Agriculture is a fragmented activity, loosely coordinated at best. There is simply no way to know how many producers have chosen not to plant. But since February 28th, millions across the world have made that choice.<\/p>\n

Food planted today will take several months to be harvested, processed, transported, distributed, and finally consumed. What we eat today was planted months ago \u2014 perhaps more than a year ago. This includes animal products, since livestock are fattened on plant-based feed. The implication is that the world is locking in a crisis that will not erupt tomorrow, but months from now \u2014 possibly next year.<\/p>\n

Governments track harvests \u2014 food after it has been collected \u2014 but not plantings, and certainly not what was never planted at all. Only when the (smaller) harvests arrive will the true scale of the problem become apparent.<\/p>\n

Has the world already crossed the threshold between expensive food and genuinely scarce food? There is no way to know. Every day that Hormuz remained closed made the situation worse.<\/p>\n

Mass hunger means social upheaval. What is incubating in the aftermath of the war against Iran is advancing quietly toward what could become the greatest economic and social crisis in recorded history.<\/p>\n

The Supply Chain Breakdown<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Let me be clear from the outset: this is not only a global food crisis. It is a crisis running through virtually every global supply chain, because petroleum derivatives are embedded in virtually all of them:<\/p>\n