{"id":328983,"date":"2026-07-15T07:28:06","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T07:28:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=328983"},"modified":"2026-07-17T06:59:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T06:59:13","slug":"europe-is-teetering-on-the-brink","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=328983","title":{"rendered":"Europe is Teetering on the Brink"},"content":{"rendered":"

Peter Haenseler<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 SONAR21 July 14, 2026<\/a><\/strong><\/h1>\n

The NATO summit sent a message that no one wants to hear. Europe is openly declaring war on Russia\u2014and it\u2019s doing so with President Trump\u2019s full support.<\/p>\n

Two Fires That Could Escalate Into a Storm<\/h2>\n

World War I began on July 28, 1914\u2014112 years later, the scene looks much the same, because it wouldn\u2019t take much for the situation to escalate fully. Today, there are two centers of conflict that have the potential to plunge the entire world into a global conflict.<\/p>\n

When it comes to Iran, \u201cpeacemaker\u201d Trump is breaking the MOU, just\u00a0as we expected<\/a>, and is attacking Iran once again\u2014nota bene<\/em>\u2014during the largest funeral the world has ever seen. Iran has responded militarily, but with restraint. Some link this to the funeral ceremonies. More likely, however, is the implementation of a strategy to bring the West to its knees economically by blockading the Strait of Hormuz. The Middle East and Europe are in a state of limbo\u2014but for how much longer?<\/p>\n

The Collective West claims that it wants to\u2014and is capable of\u2014forcing Russia to make peace through war. To the surprise of many observers\u2014including those in Russia\u2014the Russian army has not (yet) struck back against Europe.<\/p>\n

In this article, we discuss the situation in Europe.<\/p>\n

Trump Is More Aggressive Than Biden<\/strong><\/h2>\n

President Biden was considered a warmonger and a puppet of the\u00a0deep state.\u00a0<\/em>Consequently, the US and Europe have been supplying Ukraine with weapons since the start of Russia\u2019s special military operation, even though Joe Biden himself initially expressed concerns that this behavior by the West could lead to World War III.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe idea that we\u2019re going to send in offensive equipment and have planes and tanks and trains going in with American pilots and American crews\u2026 that\u2019s called \u2018World War III.’\u201d
\nPresident Joe Biden, 11 March 2022<\/a><\/p>\n

This led many commentators\u2014including us\u2014to favor Donald Trump: a man who promised peace and pledged not to start any new wars, and who boasted he would end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours. Yet now, at the NATO summit in Ankara, Trump has endorsed Ukrainian attacks deep inside Russia.<\/p>\n

\u201cTrump said he supported Ukraine striking targets deep inside Russian territory, calling it an escalation that could help end the war.\u201d
\nThe Wallstreet Journal, 8 July 2026<\/a><\/p>\n

Europe and the US in Open War Against Russia<\/h2>\n

Almost all of the weapons used by Ukraine in this war are supplied by Europe and the US. However, many of them cannot be deployed without NATO personnel in Ukraine or at one of NATO\u2019s bases, and cannot find their targets in Russia without satellite support from the US. It is therefore misleading to speak of a conflict between Ukraine and Russia here: Europe, with the active support of the US, is waging war against Russia. While this took place covertly until recently, the aggressors are now proudly flaunting their direct involvement.<\/p>\n

So far, Russia has not responded militarily to Europe and, until recently, had relied on diplomacy. But times have changed, even though Russia continues to emphasize that it is not opposed to a diplomatic solution that takes all sides into account. Roger K\u00f6ppel, publisher, editor-in-chief, and owner of the Swiss magazine Weltwoche<\/em>, learned this firsthand. During an interview with Margarita Simonyan, editor-in-chief of RT, he tried not once, not twice, but three times to elicit a statement from the influential journalist to the effect that Russia also bears responsibility for the situation in Ukraine. Each time, she rejected this request in no uncertain terms, but K\u00f6ppel refused to understand. Finally, Simonjan diplomatically but unequivocally put the Swiss journalist in his place with the following words: \u201cI feel like a blind man is talking to a deaf man here<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n

Far-Reaching Statements by Russian Diplomats<\/h2>\n

Dimitry Peskov, President Putin\u2019s spokesperson, made a statement that will certainly not be understood by the West, but which has far-reaching implications:<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is a war going on, this is a real war. It all started as a special military operation. It continues like a war, because Berlin, Paris, The Hague, Oslo, and, unfortunately, Washington are behind Kyiv. [\u2026] They are being helped to aim through their satellites, they are being helped to aim foreign weapons at our targets through their entire infrastructure.\u201d
\nDimitry Peskov, 5 July 2026<\/a><\/p>\n

Ren\u00e9 Zittlau will discuss how to interpret the statement by Peskov\u2014who speaks on behalf of President Putin\u2014in a separate article to be published shortly.<\/p>\n

On July 9, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov made the following statement:<\/p>\n

Russia \u201cwill no longer believe the West that it wants negotiated solutions\u201d because \u201cthis reserve of goodwill and hope has been exhausted entirely.\u201d
\nSergey Lavrov, July 9, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n

Friedrich Merz is Pushing for War<\/h2>\n

As a German, Friedrich Merz apparently feels compelled to stir up painful memories among the Russians and reopen old wounds that, over the past 80 years, have been steadily healing thanks to considerable effort on both sides. Using forceful and blunt language, he is trying to talk his way into a German victory before the Russians have even responded militarily.<\/p>\n

\u201cRussia has no chance of winning this war. They will not achieve their war aims. The sooner we end this war, the better it will be for Europe, the better it will be for Russia, and the better it will be for world peace.\u201d
\nFriedrich Merz, July 8, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n

At some point, this war will come to an end. One thing is certain: a German delegation will travel to Moscow to apologize on behalf of Merz & Co.<\/p>\n

The German people are divided on the issue of Russia. A large portion of East Germans are opposed to this potential war out of conviction. The reasons for this are obvious. West Germans may have a negative attitude toward Russia, but they certainly do not want to go to war against that country either.<\/p>\n

Recently,\u00a0the Bundeswehr sent letters to 298,200 people<\/a>\u00a0who will soon reach the age of conscription\u2014that is, turn 18. Only 530 people\u2014not even 0.18 percent\u2014subsequently volunteered for military service. Another approximately 20 percent can imagine serving in the Bundeswehr. These are certainly not the kind of numbers that would allow a chancellor to plan a war with \u201cconfidence.\u201d See our comments on this in \u201cThe Truth Is Reasonable to Expect!<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cI doubt that the Russians will be forgiving again after 1914 and 1941\u2014even an angel\u2019s patience has its limits.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Russian leadership and the people of Russia deserve great credit for continuing to distinguish between Germany\u2019s political leadership and ordinary Germans, even though the betrayal of the forgiveness that Russia showed and practiced toward Germany runs very deep. It was a magnanimity without historical precedent with which the Soviet Union embarked on the path of forgiveness and reconciliation toward the Germans after World War II. Over the past thirty years, I have never heard anti-German remarks in Russia, not even from war veterans. I doubt that the Russians will be forgiving again after 1914 and 1941\u2014even an angel\u2019s patience has its limits.<\/p>\n

\u201cGerman madness is back\u2014officially confirmed.\u201d<\/p>\n

Germany\u2019s defense spending is skyrocketing. In 2030, Germany will spend\u00a029%<\/strong>\u00a0of its total national budget on the military. You have to go back to World War II to find figures like that. By comparison, the US spent\u00a013.1% of its national budget on defense in 2025.<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 German madness is back \u2013 officially confirmed.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n

Bundeshaushalt 2027 und Finanzplan 2026 bis 2030<\/a>, page 47<\/p>\n

It takes a lot of contortions and far-fetched interpretations to claim that we are on the brink of war but not yet at war. So far, President Putin\u2019s stoic patience seems to be holding. He is counting on a military victory in Ukraine and on a collapse of the energy and financial markets in the West. Militarily, Russia is making good progress in Ukraine, and the time will come when the Western media will have to put an end to their fairy tales about Ukrainian successes. It\u2019s like 1944, when Nazi Germany was still dreaming of and propagating its \u201cfinal victory\u201d; reality caught up with them\u2014this time will be no different.<\/p>\n

European Attacks on Oil Infrastructure<\/h2>\n

Every day, European weapons systems are attacking oil infrastructure deep inside Russia. The consequences are significant. There are shortages of gasoline and diesel in some areas, and even in Moscow, lines are forming at gas stations. In an interview with Pavel Zarubin on\u00a0June 28, 2026,<\/strong>\u00a0President Putin commented on the damage to the oil infrastructure and its consequences as follows:<\/p>\n

\u201cAs for the attacks on critical infrastructure in general, and energy infrastructure in particular, they are, of course, causing certain problems. This is obvious. However, I believe these problems are not critical. We simply need to increase the production of the corresponding equipment, including air defense systems, and improve the performance of the units engaged in this work.\u201d
\nKremlin.ru<\/a><\/p>\n

Many Russians expect and demand a military strike against Europe. Putin is under pressure to do so. However, it is important to consider whether such a strike would bring Russia any closer to its goal. The goal is to defeat Ukraine and secure the western border of the vast empire\u2014once and for all. At best, Europe can field 50,000 combat troops. This number poses no threat to Russia. As long as the drone and missile attacks do not become critical after all, President Putin does not need to respond to Europe. The Europeans, however, are seeking to provoke a Russian strike so they can then portray themselves as victims and start a war in which they cannot and do not want to participate\u2014certainly not with their own soldiers. Furthermore, the Europeans could blame Russia for their own financial collapse\u2014which is likely coming soon and is entirely of their own making. I doubt that the strategists in the Kremlin will allow themselves to be provoked, despite calls from the people to strike back.<\/p>\n

A Pretextual Fear of Russia<\/h2>\n

A few days ago, I had a very interesting conversation in Ankara. My counterpart explained that all the talk about Russia is nothing more than a diversionary tactic from a completely different strategy: NATO will be history in two years, and the Europeans are striving to establish a system independent of the US. However, the Europeans would not want to purchase US weapons in a new system, because the enormous profits from arms production are supposed to stay in Europe. The Americans had already caught on to this and, a few days ago, sent a dozen U.S. defense experts\u2014or rather, arms suppliers\u2014to Brussels to convince the Europeans to continue buying their weapons from the US. However, the Americans were unsuccessful in this endeavor. If this story is true, then the massive defense spending\u2014such as that by Germany\u2014makes sense: European countries need astronomical sums to build up a defense industry that will make them independent of the US. To get these budgets approved, they need the threat of war; the Russians come in handy here, because without the threat of war, the public would not tolerate higher taxes and cuts to education and social services.<\/p>\n

The State of Limbo Could Last Longer<\/h2>\n

The quotes from Russian officials discussed in this article indicate that Russia no longer believes in a diplomatic solution (Lavrov) and that the change in the designation of the conflict from \u201cspecial military operation\u201d to \u201cwar\u201d signals a tougher stance by Russia in Ukraine. President Putin\u2019s statements suggest that, despite the clear and direct involvement of Europe and the US in the war, he will (for now) avoid a direct strike against Europe and thus continue to keep the conflict in a state of limbo. A direct strike against Europe would not bring Russia any closer to its goal of neutralizing Ukraine as a platform for Western aggression against Russia.<\/p>\n

The West, which is trying with all its might to provoke a war against Russia, will likely remain true to this strategy and push for an escalation. The Russians will have to find ways to defend themselves more effectively against Western attacks on their infrastructure. This process is already underway. Legally, Russia is free to take military action against Europe. President Putin is keeping this option open, but is primarily trying to focus his offensive forces in Ukraine and is biding his time. He can pursue this strategy because, unlike Europe, Russia has already completed the migration to a war economy, the people stand behind him, and no sword of Damocles in the form of a financial collapse hangs over him. The West\u2019s aggressive stance suggests that it is running out of trump cards.<\/p>\n

After this article went to the editor, news broke of the death of Lindsey Graham, one of the greatest warmongers and Russia-haters of our time. The death of any human being is to be mourned. However, his delight at the fact that\u00a0Russians are dying<\/em>\u2014and his claim that this is the\u00a0best investment<\/em>\u2014significantly diminishes our grief.<\/p>\n