{"id":321742,"date":"2026-01-17T06:56:55","date_gmt":"2026-01-17T06:56:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=321742"},"modified":"2026-01-19T08:08:12","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T08:08:12","slug":"was-iran-war-averted-or-just-postponed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=321742","title":{"rendered":"Was Iran war averted or just postponed?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leo Hohmann \u2013 Leo\u2019s Newsletter Jan 16, 2025<\/strong><\/h1>\n

President Donald Trump reportedly called off the planned invasion of Iran Wednesday when, during a meeting of his National Security Council, his advisers could not guarantee him a quick and decisive victory over Iran\u2019s Islamic regime.<\/p>\n

But we see no evidence that the U.S. has pulled back assets from the region and an attack could still take place at some point.<\/p>\n

You would have thought Trump would have met with his advisers and got their military assessment before he publicly told the Iran protesters to keep protesting because \u201chelp is on the way,\u201d but that\u2019s just Donald Trump. He can\u2019t control his mouth and in this case it likely got people killed. They thought help was going to arrive in their hour of need, when they were most vulnerable, and it didn\u2019t. Trump changed his mind.<\/p>\n

Countries had called home their international staff in Tehran and the region. Military assets were moved into place. The propaganda war was in full swing, whipping up support for the war here at home through social media and various news outlets on the right, left and center.<\/p>\n

Reports were that the U.S. attack on Iran was \u201cimminent,\u201d likely to come within 24 hours.<\/p>\n

But the perceived momentum hit a brick wall sometime Wednesday afternoon when Trump made a comment that it appears the regime had stopped shooting protesters. Trump made another post today, Friday, saying he respects the fact that the Iranian regime has canceled all scheduled hangings.<\/p>\n

A strong warning from the Russians may also have triggered second thoughts in Trump. After Trump promised the Iran protesters \u201chelp is on the way,\u201d the Russian foreign ministry said any U.S. military intervention in Iran would bring \u201cdisastrous consequences.\u201d That\u2019s code for World War III.<\/p>\n

Again, this doesn\u2019t mean the war won\u2019t happen. In fact, I\u2019d be surprised if it didn\u2019t. The U.S. simply wasn\u2019t prepared for a full-scale invasion and the likely onset of World War III, so it postponed doing anything for right now.<\/p>\n

The Trump administration has been forced to come up with a new battle plan if they really want a regime change in Iran, and I believe they do. Trump and Netanyahu know their window of opportunity might soon close. In fact, it may have already closed and any new attack plan could result in horrific bloodshed, drawing Russia and perhaps China and others into the war.<\/p>\n

But if there\u2019s one thing we\u2019ve learned about Trump, he likes to score wins and the more dramatic the better. Easy in-and-out wins. Even if the wins are more perception than reality, he will claim total credit and run a victory lap. Iran offered him no opportunity to come out as the clear winner so he backed off until a more attractive deal can be placed in front of him. Eventually, his ego will not allow him to back down. He will attack Iran. And Iran will be a much stiffer challenge than what Americans encountered in the Iraq war in 2003.<\/p>\n

The June 2025 12-Day War was only a partial win, severely degrading Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities but not achieving much else. It failed to knock out the regime, or even to weaken it substantially. I believe Trump and Netanyahu missed their opportunity back in June to deal a knockout blow to Iran.<\/p>\n

The Americans and Israelis continually underestimate the Iranian regime\u2019s grip on power.<\/p>\n

The last three weeks of protests in Iran were meant to weaken the regime to the point where the U.S. could bring in its military to essentially conduct a mop-up operation.<\/p>\n

But the protests were brought under control and the Trump administration saw that if they sent U.S. military personnel into Tehran, they would have met heavy resistance. The regime was still solidly intact, despite all of the fake news about it crumbling.<\/p>\n

You simply cannot believe anything you read in most media when it comes to Ukraine, Venezuela or Iran. It\u2019s not actual news based on facts on the ground. It\u2019s all narrative put forth by CIA disinformation and, unfortunately, way too many otherwise solide conservative news outlets take the bait and run with the false narratives. With regard to their coverage of international relations, the conservative media is, by and large with few exceptions, no better than the liberal mainstream media.<\/p>\n

The most dangerous neocons are the ones who begin to believe their own propaganda.<\/p>\n

In this case, the narrative being spun was that the Islamic Republic of Iran was teetering on the brink of collapse and that a few weeks of people out in the streets could weaken them sufficiently, soften them up for a U.S.-led military coup.<\/p>\n

University of Chicago Political Science Professor John Mearsheimer discussed Iran in a Jan. 14 interview<\/a> <\/strong>with Lt. Col. Daniel Davis. He called it a classic CIA-instigated four-stage color revolution. Fast-forward to the 25-minute mark and listen to him explain how these psy ops work.<\/p>\n