{"id":301602,"date":"2025-01-09T07:05:33","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T07:05:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=301602"},"modified":"2025-01-11T06:38:02","modified_gmt":"2025-01-11T06:38:02","slug":"predicting-2025-bye-bye-bibi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=301602","title":{"rendered":"Predicting 2025: Bye-bye Bibi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Kit Knightly \u2013 Off-Guardian Jan 7, 2025<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p class=\"dropcap\">In my article predicting \u201cThe Next Pandemic\u201d, published last April, I wrote that it would not begin until a lot of the leadership of the world had changed:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 36.0pt; margin-left: 36.0pt;\">[The next pandemic] won\u2019t be launched until after the major elections this year, because they want new political faces untarnished by Covid<\/p>\n<p>2024 then saw elections installing new leaders in Mexico, Iran, the UK, the US, Indonesia, Japan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Iceland, Georgia, Ireland, Finland and probably some others I don\u2019t remember.<\/p>\n<p>Just yesterday, Justin Trudeau <a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/canadas-prime-minister-justin-trudeau-resigns-13284474\">joined the procession<\/a>. And, as of the time of writing, the Sword of Damocles is still dangling over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/news\/world\/french-government-collapses-in-no-confidence-vote\/ar-AA1vhBVn?apiversion=v2&amp;noservercache=1&amp;domshim=1&amp;renderwebcomponents=1&amp;wcseo=1&amp;batchservertelemetry=1&amp;noservertelemetry=1\">Emmanuel Macron<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2024\/nov\/06\/german-government-on-brink-of-collapse-after-olaf-scholz-sacks-finance-minister\">Olaf Scholz<\/a> too.<\/p>\n<p>One name not mentioned is Benjamin Netanyahu, but could 2025 see that change?<\/p>\n<p>In my last radio interview of 2024 with Paul Brennan of Reality Check Radio, I suggested the writing may be on the wall for <em>Bibi<\/em>, one of the modern era\u2019s great political survivors.<\/p>\n<p>If he does go, it will have been a long time coming. From 2018-2022 Israel was in <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2018%E2%80%932022_Israeli_political_crisis#:~:text=The%202018%E2%80%932022%20Israeli%20political,March%202021%20and%20November%202022.\">a sustained \u201cpolitical crisis\u201d<\/a> that saw five snap elections in four years. Crowds took to the streets chanting <em>Rak Lo Bibi<\/em> \u2013 <em>Anyone but Bibi<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Covid only exacerbated this issue, with numerous<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-middle-east-53378442\"> protests against lockdowns<\/a> and their economic impact to the point the government was forced to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2020\/sep\/30\/anti-democratic-law-israel-bans-mass-protest-lockdown-tightens-netanyahu\">pass a new law banning public demonstrations.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>His plans for judicial reform were so unpopular that 2023 saw <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2023_Israeli_judicial_reform_protests#:~:text=From%20January%20to%20October%202023,a%20wide%2Dranging%20judicial%20reform.\">10 months of continuous protest in the streets<\/a> which drove him tantalizingly close to resignation, before Hamas (totally accidentally) pulled his iron out of the fire by launching their October 7th attack. Yet another \u201cterrorist attack\u201d that only seems to benefit the alleged target.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a sign that he might not be long for the world that the New Yorker was pointing this out<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/q-and-a\/how-widening-israels-war-saved-benjamin-netanyahu\"> only 5 days ago<\/a>: <em>How Widening Israel\u2019s War Saved Benjamin Netanyahu<\/em><\/p>\n<p>He was near political death in July of 2024, with opinion polls <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/article\/2024\/jul\/26\/israelis-want-netanyahu-to-resign-why-did-congress-invite-him-to-speak\">massively in favour of his resignation<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Even Nancy Pelosi has been calling for his resignation since at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/world\/americas\/us-politics\/nancy-pelosi-israel-resign-netanyahu-b2534207.html\">least last April<\/a>, claiming he <em>\u201cnever believed in peace\u201d<\/em>. The American Enterprise institute <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aei.org\/op-eds\/yahya-sinwar-is-dead-now-bibi-netanyahu-should-resign\/\">recommended he resign in October<\/a>. When Bibi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cqj07jdzzgno\">fired Defense Minister Yoav Gallant in November<\/a>, there were fresh protests and fresh calls for his resignation.<\/p>\n<p>He has somehow survived all that. But how much longer can he go on?<\/p>\n<p>The surprising negative responses Israel is getting over its \u00a0\u201cwar\u201d in Gaza is a sign the writing could be on the wall. After all, the Western press has shown itself more than capable of airbrushing Israeli atrocities and war crimes for decades, there must be a reason they are letting headlines like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/c5yg57wrgl7o\">this<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/im-so-scared-please-come-heartbreaking-final-moments-of-girl-5-killed-in-gaza-13229813\">this<\/a> slip through the net now.<\/p>\n<p>Late last year the ICC issued an arrest warrant for Netanyahu. A first for any politician in a Western-aligned nation in the entire <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/List_of_people_indicted_in_the_International_Criminal_Court\">history of the court\u2019s existence<\/a>. Another sign the clock is ticking.<\/p>\n<p>Netanyahu is being blamed for extending the war to maintain his position and \u201cthwarting\u201d hostage deals in the process. Earlier today, <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/TaHIw#selection-1371.0-1375.265\">Haaretz reported<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">By now, it is clear to almost anybody following the conduct of Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu that, whenever a breakthrough is achieved, he levies a new demand, to make things more difficult, thus nullifying any chance of making a deal. Netanyahu and his \u201cmoderate\u201d ministers surrender again and again to the demands of the extremists in his government, headed by Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, along with some Likud ministers. Netanyahu is acting out of personal and political considerations in order to sustain his coalition and remain in power, while pretending that he shares the fears about the hostages\u2019 fate and is making every effort to release them.<\/p>\n<p>Then there\u2019s Netanyahu\u2019s reported ill health <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/netanyahu-released-from-hospital-four-days-after-prostate-removal-surgery\/\">and prostate surgery<\/a>. It\u2019s not unheard of for stories about illness to be made up \u2013 see Boris Johnson during \u201cCovid\u201d \u2013 but real or not, the existence of the story suggests Bibi is about to be let out to pasture.<\/p>\n<p>The evidence is stacking up. The remaining questions are how, why and who replaces him.<\/p>\n<p>I already predicted the incoming Trump admin will be trying to score \u201cpeacemaker\u201d points with a deal in Ukraine, that could extend to Israel-Gaza too. A negotiated release of all hostages is also possible.<\/p>\n<p>That situation could see Netanyahu booted out as an \u201cold fashioned warmonger\u201d or allowed to sail into the sunset as a victorious general, but either way you\u2019d expect him to go.<\/p>\n<p>If the \u201cwar\u201d doesn\u2019t come to an end, his removal can come from the other direction \u2013 his inability to end the war by force and charges of incompetence in letting the October 7th attack happen at all.<\/p>\n<p>Or maybe his poor health can \u201cforce\u201d him to retire prematurely.<\/p>\n<p>There are plenty of exit strategies available, but however it happens I wouldn\u2019t expect him to close out the year.<\/p>\n<p><strong>WILDCARD PREDICTION:<\/strong> A \u201chip\u201d young Israeli politician will storm to prominence this year, fresh off a career in the financial sector and\/or an endorsement from the World Economic Forum\u2019s Young Global Leaders program \u2013 think an Israeli Trudeau or Ardern. They will post \u201ccandid\u201d TikToks referencing \u201cyoung-person things\u201d that are about four years out of date. They\u2019ll have a \u201ccool\u201d hobby, and there will be videos of them playing the guitar or windsurfing or something so the press will laud their \u201crelatable\u201d and \u201cprogressive\u201d vibe.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe someone like <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Stav_Shaffir\">Stav Shaffir<\/a>, who I genuinely had never heard of before writing the above paragraph, but is the perfect example. It not might be her, but it will probably be someone like her.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>Support Off-Guardian:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ko-fi.com\/offguardian\">Ko-fi<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.subscribestar.com\/offguardian\">Subscribestar<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/donate\/?hosted_button_id=CKFB3MH8CGB9U\">Paypal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2025\/01\/07\/predicting-2025-bye-bye-bibi\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kit Knightly asks, is the end of the road in sight for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":298176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-301602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-Predictions_from_the_past_or_for_the_future"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=301602"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301602\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":301605,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301602\/revisions\/301605"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/298176"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=301602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=301602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=301602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}