{"id":298020,"date":"2024-11-05T08:08:45","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T08:08:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=298020"},"modified":"2024-11-07T07:34:51","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T07:34:51","slug":"why-israels-attack-on-iran-was-a-bust","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=298020","title":{"rendered":"Why Israel’s Attack on Iran Was a Bust"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mike Whitney \u2013 The Unz Review Nov 3, 2024<\/strong><\/h1>\n

We make threats, but what exactly are we going to do? We\u2019re the guys who couldn\u2019t stop the Houthis from shutting down the Red Sea. Okay? So, we need to stop thinking of ourselves as this undefeated heavyweight champion that no one can lay a glove on. We may have been that in our prime, but we\u2019re past our prime. We\u2019re overweight, we\u2019re out of shape, we have really expensive systems that are really undermanned, and then, all of a sudden, we have to extend our logistics and communication lines to attack Iran? Good luck with that. Larry Johnson: Iran\u2019s new Strategy to teach Israel a Harsh lesson,<\/a> You Tube<\/p>\n

Israel\u2019s failed aerial assault on Iran on October 26 augurs a major shift in the regional balance of power. <\/strong>Iran\u2019s technologically advanced air defense system coupled with its state-of-the-art, long-range hypersonic ballistic missile stockpile make it the most powerful state in the Middle East portending a peaceful era of cooperation and economic integration ahead. In contrast, Israel will be forced to accept its modest role in the emerging order by abandoning its expansionist ambitions and working collaboratively with its neighbors. (If that\u2019s possible.) The prospects for regional peace have been greatly enhanced by the steady erosion of US global power due in large part to the looming financial crisis that will unavoidably curtail Washington\u2019s relentless foreign interventions. With US and Israeli meddling in check, the China-led multipolar world order will quickly replace the threadbare \u201crules-based\u201d system. Even so, the proximate cause of these remarkable events can be traced back to Israel\u2019s misguided attack on Iran which proved beyond a doubt that Tehran\u2019s multi-layered air defense system along with its prodigious cache of cutting-edge ballistic missiles made it the preeminent power in the region. <\/strong>Here\u2019s a brief summary from former British intel officer Alastair Crooke of how Israel\u2019s attack unfolded:<\/p>\n

Judge Andrew Napolitano\u2014Did Israel cause any meaningful damage to Iran in its attack on October 26?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Alastair Crooke\u2014No, but something significant did happen,<\/strong> because the attack was supposed to lead off with the destruction of the air defense systems\u2026. what they call SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) The aircraft was supposed to destroy the air defenses in Iraq, Syria and Iran so the second and third waves would come in with conventional weapons to destroy the targets that had been selected for them<\/strong>. But the second and third wave could only enter Iranian airspace if it was safe for them to do that. (if the air defenses had been properly suppressed) Now what happened (although we don\u2019t know precisely) is that those second and third waves never happened. We got into the first wave and the Israelis said \u201cThat\u2019s it, we\u2019re finished. <\/strong>It\u2019s over. We won and it\u2019s a great success.\u201d<\/p>\n

What seems to have happened is that the Israeli aircraft with their long-range missiles to destroy the air defense systems never got closer than 70 kms to Iran, too far for their missiles to lock on to the air defenses because they needed the signals to lock onto. <\/strong>\u2026The key thing they said\u2014and this is from Israeli sources\u2014\u201cWe\u2019ve discovered an unknown air defense system over Tehran province.\u201d So what seems to have happened is that they (the Israeli aircraft) were being locked onto by another air defense system so they were frightened to go ahead and they scrapped the attack. They then simply released their long-range missiles (Most of these missiles are guided by GPS and the Russians are highly adept at jamming GPS.) But \u2026this unexplained air defense system, was possibly a Russian air defense system that can attack stealth fighters like the F-35s. \u2026 If you have a missile that has a radar capacity that is able to identify a stealth fighter, then the whole idea of the attack on Iran seems to have collapsed\u2026.<\/strong><\/p>\n

All the conventional bombers carrying conventional weapons wouldn\u2019t go into the area because it was too dangerous, it was not a secure area. The airspace was dominated by air defense that threatened the stealth fighters themselves. <\/strong><\/p>\n

This has huge geostrategic implications<\/strong> if this is what in fact happened\u2026.<\/p>\n

You see, there was a three-phased plan; and when the plan was scuppered, they just announced the plan as if it had happened. \u201cWe\u2019ve succeeded. We flew over Tehran; we suppressed their air defenses, we bombed targets and we destroyed their missile capacity.\u201d<\/p>\n

It\u2019s just hype. It\u2019s not true. Judging Freedom, Alastair Crooke,<\/a> You Tube<\/p>\n

So, now Israel has decided to cover up what actually transpired because the strategic implications are just too catastrophic to face. As Crooke points out, if America\u2019s stealth fighters cannot enter enemy space without fear of being detected, then the \u201cwhole western defense concept\u201d lies in ruins. So, what Israel\u2019s failed operation did was to expose the vulnerability of critical military assets that have been rendered obsolete by technologically advanced air defense systems that can not only intercept enemy missiles mid-flight but can also destroy the warplanes that launch them.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n

Let\u2019s summarize:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Iran has developed an advanced multi-layered air defense system that can counter any potential Israeli attack on the homeland.<\/li>\n
  2. Iran has produced a sizable stockpile of state-of-the-art, long-range hypersonic ballistic missiles that can elude Israeli air defense systems and strike military or civilian targets anywhere in Israel.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    The combination of these offensive\/defensive capabilities ensures that Iran will continue to emerge as the regional leader.<\/p>\n

    Game. Set. Match.<\/p>\n

    For a more detailed account of the Israeli attack see interview with Colonel Jacques Baud <\/a>or Col Larry Wilkerson & Scott Ritter<\/a> or this piece in the Unz Review<\/em> by former CIA officer and intelligence analyst Larry Johnson<\/a> who says the following:<\/p>\n

    The Zionists used more than 100 aircraft to send an estimated 200 air-launched ballistic missiles into Iran. Israeli aircraft did not dare to fly inside Iran. And what happened? Iran, with Russian help, shot down the majority of the Israeli missiles. <\/strong>Iran showed no signs of panic or anger in the aftermath of the attack \u2014 not what one would expect if Israel\u2019s assault had been a smashing success. Israel and Ukraine Gaslighting to Cover Up Failures,<\/a> Larry Johnson, Unz Review<\/em><\/p>\n

    Repeat: Israeli aircraft never crossed into Iran\u2019s sovereign airspace. They fired their missiles outside Iran\u2019s borders and split.<\/p>\n

    The point is that many of the more reliable foreign policy analysts corroborate Crooke\u2019s basic analysis. Yes, a few radar units were apparently destroyed in Iran\u2019s western province of Ilam and in southwestern Khuzestan. And, yes, 4 Iranians were killed in the offensive. But Israel\u2019s greatly anticipated and meticulously engineered aerial operation was largely a bust that achieved nothing and simply reinforced speculation that Iran has achieved a considerable technological edge on the Jewish state.<\/p>\n

    As far as deterrents, that is a matter that can only be settled by convincing Israel that serial retaliation is going to cost far-more in terms of blood and treasure than what is gained. So far, Israel has not been persuaded on this matter mainly because it foolishly believes that Washington \u2018has its back\u2019. But even the US is not thickheaded enough to engage in a conflict that will inevitably lead to the destruction of its military bases and oil fields across the region sending the US economy into an empire-ending nosedive. So, while the sudden deployment of B-52 bombers and warships to West Asia suggests that Uncle Sam is preparing to join the fray in a Battle Royale against Tehran; it\u2019s all a bluff. The Pentagon has gamed out this very scenario many times before and the outcome has always been the same: The United States is defeated.<\/p>\n

    In the comments section of Larry Johnson\u2019s recent article at the Unz Review<\/em>, editor Ron Unz had this to say:<\/p>\n

    (If Crooke\u2019s analysis of Israel\u2019s attack is) what really happened, I think the implications are potentially gigantic.<\/strong><\/p>\n

    As I\u2019d said some time ago, we might be soon seeing the first real-life test between America\u2019s top-line F-35s and the Russian defensive systems. If the latter were clearly successful and the Americans can\u2019t quickly get around this problem, why would other countries buy F-35s?<\/strong> They\u2019re extremely expensive and supposedly have all sorts of maintenance problems, and if they can\u2019t defeat much less costly Russian defensive systems, what good are they?<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Also, how likely would it now be that America could actually destroy Iran in a direct war?<\/strong> Obviously, America has far more top-line aircraft than Israel and could deploy them from closer positions, not requiring as much refueling, but why would our F-35s fare any better than Israel\u2019s?<\/strong> Meanwhile, our carriers and bases would probably be very vulnerable to Iranian retaliatory missile strikes.<\/p>\n

    I\u2019m still not absolutely sure that the Israeli attack was totally unsuccessful, but if that\u2019s the case, the global strategic landscape may have dramatically shifted. Ron Unz,<\/a> comment 305<\/p>\n

    All good points, and they fit with our overall theory that US foreign policy elites know that the US cannot prevail in a conventional war with Iran and that, thus, Washington will not follow Israel \u201clike a dumb mule\u201d into battle.<\/p>\n

    If Israel decides to go to war with Iran, they\u2019ll have to \u2018go it alone\u2019, which might just \u2018bring them to their senses.<\/p>\n

    \n

    60000 U.S. troop, around Iran, 6600 miles away from U.S. pic.twitter.com\/DLhYAN2Zxb<\/a><\/p>\n

    \u2014 maryam (@Msrh13fh) September 23, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n