{"id":295735,"date":"2024-09-29T07:27:47","date_gmt":"2024-09-29T07:27:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=295735"},"modified":"2024-10-01T06:32:39","modified_gmt":"2024-10-01T06:32:39","slug":"israel-eyes-lebanon-offensive-with-lessons-from-past-invasions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=295735","title":{"rendered":"Israel eyes Lebanon offensive with lessons from past invasions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\">IDF on the Israel Lebanon border.<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"mol-para-with-font\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Loveday Morris \u2013 Washington Post Sept 28, 2024<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">When Israeli forces invaded Lebanon in 2006, they struggled from the start.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">For weeks, troops were bogged down in clashes with Hezbollah fighters, less than a mile into Lebanese territory. Tanks hit explosives or were set ablaze by shoulder-fired missiles: 121 soldiers died.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The 34-day conflict, which started July 12, 2006, when Hezbollah staged a cross-border raid and captured two soldiers, ended with both sides claiming victory, despite the stinging losses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cThe Israeli army was unprepared for a comprehensive ground operation,\u201d former Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert, who was in office at the time, said in an interview with The Washington Post.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">In a searing assessment of Israel\u2019s military campaign, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/archive\/national\/2008\/01\/31\/2006-war-called-a-failure-for-israel\/b904f70e-b22d-4bd7-9b0c-339878617726\/?itid=lk_inline_manual_8\">government-appointed Winograd Commission <\/a>said the decision to go to war was hasty and the operation poorly planned. There were gaps in intelligence, the commission said, and a \u201cserious, missed opportunity\u201d to deal Hezbollah a much heavier blow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Now, as Israel prepares for another potential ground invasion, its military and security establishment appear to have absorbed the lessons of the past. Over the past 10 days, Israel has targeted and crippled Hezbollah\u2019s logistics and communications infrastructure, taken out key weapons stores and eliminated its senior commanders, including the movement\u2019s longtime leader, Hasan Nasrallah.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The brazen attacks have stunned Hezbollah, humiliating a group whose raison d\u2019\u00eatre is to fight Israel. But they are also evidence of Israel\u2019s years of preparation, including intelligence collection, military exercises, fine-tuned battle plans and a multilayered air defense system.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Hezbollah had assembled its own arsenal of an estimated 150,000 rockets and missiles over the years, but it is unclear now how effectively the group can use them, with its leadership wiped out and thousands of operatives either killed or injured.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Despite the blows, however, Israel is still haunted by its past missteps in Lebanon. Olmert said that a ground offensive in the current conflict wasn\u2019t necessary, with Hezbollah so crippled that it would probably capitulate and agree to a cease-fire deal that\u2019s favorable to Israel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\"><b>\u201c<\/b>It will be tough, it will be difficult, and it will be bloody for all sides,\u201d Olmert said of any ground operation. The Post interviewed Olmert before Nasrallah was killed. \u201cThey have more weapons, they have more missiles. We have the capacity and the weapons that can match it,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Adding to the risk, however, is the regionwide coordination between Iran-backed militias in countries such as Iraq, Syria and Yemen, an alliance that has strengthened since 2006.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The conflict could \u201crapidly expand\u201d into an all-out regional war with more precise and even heavier missiles fired at Israeli cities, Olmert said.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/Netanyahu-I-will-bomb-Damascus.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wpa-warning wpa-image-missing-alt alignright wp-image-157556\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/Netanyahu-I-will-bomb-Damascus.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"390\" height=\"219\" data-warning=\"Missing alt text\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/Netanyahu-I-will-bomb-Damascus.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/Netanyahu-I-will-bomb-Damascus-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 390px) 100vw, 390px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">But Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to carry on striking Hezbollah with \u201cfull force,\u201d as part of Israel\u2019s mission to quiet the rockets Hezbollah has already fired in solidarity with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/israel-hamas-war\/?itid=lk_inline_manual_20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hamas<\/a> in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2023\/10\/09\/gaza-strip-israel-hamas-explained\/?itid=lk_inline_manual_20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gaza Strip<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cWe are witnessing what appears to be a historical turning point. We are winning. We are determinant to strike our enemies,\u201d Netanyahu said Saturday in an address to the nation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">He was defiant despite a desperate push by the United States and other allies for a 21-day cease-fire. Israeli attacks have killed more than 1,000 people in Lebanon over the past two weeks, Lebanon\u2019s Ministry of Public Health said on Saturday. Hundreds of thousands of people have been displaced, including in Beirut, where residents fleeing airstrikes are sleeping on the streets.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>A history of invasions<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">If Israeli ground troops enter Lebanon, it would be the fourth Israeli invasion there over the past 50 years. Each time, Israel has sought to push hostile militants away from its border.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The first, in 1978, was meant to drive back Palestinian fighters and seize a narrow strip of land along the frontier. At that time, Lebanon had become refuge for some 100,000 Palestinians who were forced to flee their homes in Israel\u2019s war of independence in 1948, a period the refugees refer to as the \u201cNakba,\u201d or catastrophe. Later, the Palestine Liberation Organization used southern Lebanon as a base of operations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">But when Israel embarked on a full-scale invasion in 1982, troops didn\u2019t leave for nearly two decades. The occupation helped birth Hezbollah, which was founded with the stated goal of ejecting Israeli forces. The military was eventually forced out in 2000, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/archive\/politics\/2000\/05\/22\/israel-begins-lebanon-pullout\/3063ee1e-756f-44df-99e0-9d7c0879518d\/?itid=lk_inline_manual_31\">Hezbollah firing a ferocious barrage<\/a> of mortars and missiles as the soldiers withdrew.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cAll Israelis hate the idea of a ground operation in Lebanon,\u201d said Sarit Zehavi, the founder of the Alma Research and Education Center, a foundation focused on the security threat on Israel\u2019s northern border. \u201cNot only because 2006, because of all these years we spent in Lebanon, from \u201982,\u201d she said. \u201cBut if there\u2019s no other choice, we have to do it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Over years since 2006, Israel has adapted its military doctrine in a way that it hopes will bring more clear shifts to the status quo. There have been questions over the practice known as \u201cmowing the grass,\u201d a strategy of attrition that involves repeated conflicts with enemy forces to restore temporary deterrence. In 2020, Lt. Gen. Aviv Kohavi, then Israel\u2019s chief of staff, turned instead to a strategy he called \u201cdecisive victory.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Last week, the current chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, told troops operating in the north that they should prepare for a ground maneuver in southern Lebanon, where they would \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2024\/09\/25\/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza\/?itid=lk_inline_manual_36\">decisively destroy<\/a>\u201d the enemy there.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The war in 2006 was \u201ca totally different ballgame\u201d from the well-rehearsed battle plans being rolled out today, said Oded Eilam, a former senior officer in Israel\u2019s Mossad intelligence agency. He said he was not authorized to disclose his exact role in the 2006 conflict.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The first Israeli tank crossed the border just hours after Hezbollah kidnapped two soldiers and killed three others on the patrol. It ran into a land mine, which killed another four soldiers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">In the opening air blitz, Eilam said, Israeli jets managed to bomb 75 long-range missile launchers in an operation that lasted just 34 minutes. Those launchers made up around two-thirds of Hezbollah\u2019s long-range missiles capabilities, Eilam said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">But the prepared list of strategic targets, crucial to keeping up the pressure, was expended within days. \u201cWe suffered from a lack of intelligence,\u201d he said. \u201cIt means you are running blind.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">It wasn\u2019t until Israel staged a punishing attack on Beirut\u2019s southern suburbs, a Hezbollah stronghold, that the war started to turn around. \u201cThat changed the course of the engagement,\u201d said Eilam. \u201cWe started to actually wipe out buildings \u2014 20 to 30 floors. It was a shock wave to Hezbollah.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Since then, Israel has dramatically improved its intelligence, building up a bank of thousands of targets to hit in any war, he said. By 2011, Israeli intelligence had already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.documentcloud.org\/documents\/75575-israeli-military-information-on-hezbollah\">mapped out 1,000 targets in the south<\/a>, The Post reported at the time.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<div id=\"attachment_295505\" style=\"width: 390px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Israeli-air-strike-on-Beirut.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-295505\" class=\"wpa-warning wpa-image-missing-alt wp-image-295505\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Israeli-air-strike-on-Beirut.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"380\" height=\"213\" data-warning=\"Missing alt text\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-295505\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The aftermath of an Israeli airstrike on Beirut last week. Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The military said last week that Israeli warplanes hit 1,500 targets in just 36 hours. In the first six hours of the air campaign alone, the Israel Defense Forces caused more damage to Hezbollah than it did during the 34 days of the 2006 war, said Maj. Doron Spielman, a military spokesman.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cWhat you are seeing right now, what you\u2019ve been seeing over the last two weeks, is a direct outcome of a very carefully researched intelligence plan of locations where Hezbollah is planning to target Israel,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Israeli intelligence has penetrated the \u201cmost intimate parts of Hezbollah,\u201d Eilam said. \u201cWe see it with the precise targeting of Hezbollah members, even though they got rid of their phones, they got rid of their pagers,\u201d he added. \u201cThey have no idea how Israel manages to do it.\u201d<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Hezbollah reels<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Hezbollah had also learned lessons from 2006, said Paul Salem, a Beirut-based expert with the Middle East Institute. Nasrallah admitted missteps after the war\u2019s end, saying he would not have approved the cross-border ambush if he had known the level of devastation that would follow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cOver the ensuing 18 years, obviously with massive support from Iran, they have hugely increased their missile and their drone capacity, their tunneling and defenses,\u201d Salem said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">In 2006, Hezbollah was estimated to have a stockpile of about 15,000 rockets and missiles. The group used them with ferocity during the conflict, with the constant barrage of Katyusha rockets helping turn Israeli public opinion against the war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">One of Hezbollah\u2019s goals since then was to try to build up deterrence against Israel, he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cBut all of that has cascaded,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Beyond Nasrallah, Israel has also killed senior and mid-level commanders, hobbling Hezbollah\u2019s ability to strike back with rockets and missiles, according to assessments by Israeli military officials.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Even before Friday\u2019s strike Hezbollah had lost \u201cmost of its command leadership,\u201d Salem said. \u201cIt has decimated them. They are definitely on the back foot. They are losing. Everybody is waiting to see what that means in terms of decision-making.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Without their leaders, Hezbollah\u2019s rank-and-file might struggle to fend off a ground invasion. But while Israel has vastly superior air power, experts say Hezbollah fighters stand a better chance against Israeli troops on the ground.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The group has years of fighting experience in Syria, where its fighters allied with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad against an array of rebels. Its forces also have intimate knowledge of the terrain in southern Lebanon, giving them an advantage over the well-equipped Israeli military.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">But Israeli forces have also learned recent lessons in Gaza, said Zehavi, a vocal advocate of a ground operation. \u201cWe learned a lot from the warfare in Gaza in the tunnels,\u201d she said. \u201cMany of the lessons could be applied to the Lebanese arena as well.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">The attack from Gaza on Oct. 7 surprised Israel. But Nasrallah, she said, had spoken openly for years about his plans to attack and seize communities in Israel\u2019s disputed Galilee region in the country\u2019s north. And the military has consistently trained for combat in the area.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cWe were not prepared enough the previous war, today we are,\u201d said Zehavi.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u2018You never know when it ends\u2019<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Despite the criticism Olmert has faced, he says he has no regrets, even about a much maligned blitz in the last 48 hours, during which 33 Israeli soldiers died.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cFor 17 years, they weren\u2019t shooting,\u201d he said, but conceded that he\u2019s not unbiased when it comes to evaluating the effects of the war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Olmert said that as he scrambled in Israel\u2019s response to the Hezbollah ambush, the history of Israeli forays into Lebanon weighed on him.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cI was full aware of the complications from the year 1982 to the year 2000,\u201d he said. \u201cFrom day one, I made a very clear order: \u2018We are not going to get stuck inside Lebanon as we were in the past for 18 years,\u2019\u201d he said. \u201cNo more.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Like Netanyahu now, Olmert had also vowed to \u201cchange the equation\u201d in the tit-for-tat raids and exchanges of fire across the border. But Olmert believes Netanyahu is bound by the right-wing extremists who are part of his government, and is too focused on his political survival to make sure that any ground troops were withdrawn in a timely manner.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">Netanyahu\u2019s national security minister, Itamar Ben Gvir, has already threatened to leave the government if the prime minister agrees to a cease-fire with Hezbollah. He made similar demands over Netanyahu reaching a deal with Hamas, and Israeli troops are still in Gaza nearly a year after they launched their offensive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\">\u201cA ground operation is the beginning,\u201d Olmert said. \u201cYou never know when it ends.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-hefnvfwpds-c-hefnvf-ipjlv-cssoverridestylesfont-copy\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2024\/09\/28\/israel-lebanon-history\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2006 Israel suffered a humiliating defeat when it invaded Lebanon. Having taken out large sections of Hezbollah\u2019s command and gathered extensive intelligence, the IDF thinks that time will be different. Will it? Note at the end of this report the Washington Post mentions that in the past 48 hours alone, the IDF has lost 33 men  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":274554,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[118,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-295735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-7-10-gaza-war","category-Israel_Anti-Semitism_Zionism_and_US-UK_allies"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=295735"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295735\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":295740,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295735\/revisions\/295740"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/274554"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=295735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=295735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=295735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}