{"id":293747,"date":"2024-08-26T06:12:19","date_gmt":"2024-08-26T06:12:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=293747"},"modified":"2024-08-28T07:27:55","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T07:27:55","slug":"the-end-of-israels-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=293747","title":{"rendered":"The end of Israel\u2019s economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Shir Hever \u2013 Mondoweiss July 19, 2024<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p>It is unheard of when the headlines of Israel\u2019s mainstream newspapers and the slogans of the BDS movement are almost identical. No state on Earth has been able to inflict so much damage to the Israeli economy as the State of Israel itself, and the result is growing indications that the Israeli economy has reached an impasse, with no path forward as long as the state remains an apartheid Zionist state rejected by the whole world <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2024\/04\/05\/israel-arms-embargo-us-germany\/\">except<\/a> the U.S and Germany.<\/p>\n<p>When Israeli protestors against the government carried a huge <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.timesofisrael.com\/the-unsustainable-path-of-the-start-up-nation\/\">sign<\/a> with the BDS <a href=\"https:\/\/bdsmovement.net\/it\/file\/5874\">slogan<\/a> \u201cFrom startup nation to shutdown nation\u201d it was nothing short of a copyright violation. But this was in February 2023. After October 7 everything changed.<\/p>\n<p>Israel\u2019s genocidal attack on the Gaza Strip, which has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newarab.com\/news\/gaza-least-40000-palestinians-killed-injured-israel#:~:text=Gaza%20war%3A%20At%20least%2040%2C000,killed%20or%20injured%20by%20Israel&amp;text=At%20least%2040%2C000%20people%20have,media%20office%20said%20on%20Tues \">killed<\/a> more than 40,000 Palestinians, more than 15,000 children and may well have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(24)01169-3\/fulltext#:~:text=to%20the%2037%20396%20deaths,this%20would%20translate%20to%207&amp;text=9%25%20of%20the%20total%20population%20in%20the%20Gaza%20Strip.\">doomed<\/a> over 146,000 additional Palestinians from Gaza to die in the upcoming months from health complications due to injury, starvation and disease. The war has ruined the lives of 2.3 million people in the Gaza Strip, and of thousands in the occupied West Bank. Estimates by the UN are that 70% of the houses were <a href=\"https:\/\/truthout.org\/articles\/with-70-percent-of-gaza-homes-destroyed-biden-approves-147m-israel-arms-sale\/\">destroyed<\/a>, and that the rubble will take 15 years to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.middleeasteye.net\/news\/un-says-it-will-take-15-years-clear-rubble-israels-bombardment-gaza\">clear<\/a>. Nevertheless, there is little doubt that the Palestinian survivors of the genocide, though traumatized, impoverished and mourning their lost family members and friends, will eventually rebuild and recover, however long it may take.<\/p>\n<p>The physical destruction in Israel inflicted by the war is minimal in comparison, and yet one thing has been destroyed: the country\u2019s future.<\/p>\n<p>The economic indicators speak of nothing less than an economic catastrophe. Over 46,000 businesses have gone <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newarab.com\/news\/war-gaza-forces-46000-israeli-businesses-close\">bankrupt<\/a>, tourism has <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/war-in-gaza-has-plunged-israels-tourism-industry-into-a-crisis-it-will-struggle-to-recover-from-229151\">stopped<\/a>, Israel\u2019s credit rating was <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/israel-credit-rating-iran-1995147ef6734a3059fd552756470b04\">lowered<\/a>, Israeli bonds are sold at the prices of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.globes.co.il\/en\/article-bond-yields-make-danger-to-israels-economy-plain-1001481936\">almost<\/a> \u201cjunk bonds\u201d levels, and the foreign investments that have already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/originals\/2023\/09\/israels-foreign-investments-drop-60-first-quarter-2023\">dropped<\/a> by 60% in the first quarter of 2023 (as a result of the policies of Israel\u2019s far-right government before October 7) show no prospects of recovery. The majority of the money invested in Israeli <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globes.co.il\/news\/article.aspx?did=1001480738\">investment funds<\/a> was diverted to investments abroad because Israelis do not want their own pension funds and insurance funds or their own savings to be tied to the fate of the State of Israel. This has caused a surprising <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/israels-economy-seems-to-be-doing-okay-but-is-everything-as-it-seems\/\">stability<\/a> in the Israeli stock market because funds invested in foreign stocks and bonds generated profit in foreign currency, which was multiplied by the rise in the exchange rate between foreign currencies and the Israeli Shekel. But then Intel <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/intel-halting-25-billion-factory-expansion-israel-israeli-media-report-2024-06-10\/\">scuttled<\/a> a $25 billion investment plan in Israel, the biggest BDS victory ever.<\/p>\n<p>These are all financial indicators. But the crisis strikes deeper at the means of production of the Israeli economy. Israel\u2019s power grid, which has largely switched to natural gas, still depends on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oecd-ilibrary.org\/sites\/5a3efe65-en\/1\/3\/27\/index.html?itemId=\/content\/publication\/5a3efe65-en&amp;_csp_=2ffa7a733148fec42dccf926d7619e1c&amp;itemIGO=oecd&amp;itemContentType=book\">coal<\/a> to supply demand. The biggest supplier of coal to Israel is Colombia, which <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/colombia-israel-coal-exports-467a61fed8c0779f27a3179629717436\">announced<\/a> that it would suspend coal shipments to Israel as long as the genocide was ongoing. After Colombia, the next two biggest suppliers are South Africa and Russia. Without reliable and continuous electricity, Israel will no longer be able to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/as-war-with-hezbollah-looms-concerns-over-vulnerability-of-power-grid-generate-unease\/\">pretend<\/a> to be a developed economy. Server farms do not work without 24-hour power, and no one knows how many blackouts the Israeli high-tech sector could potentially survive. International tech companies have already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newarab.com\/news\/samsung-next-leaves-israel-economy-suffers-gaza-war\">started<\/a> closing their branches in Israel.<\/p>\n<p>Israel\u2019s reputation as a \u201cstartup nation\u201d depends on its tech sector, which in turn depends on highly educated employees. Israeli academics report that joint research with universities abroad has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.co.il\/magazine\/2024-04-11\/ty-article-magazine\/.highlight\/0000018e-c768-dfe9-a19f-f76d8bea0000\">declined<\/a> sharply thanks to the efforts of student <a href=\"https:\/\/tribunemag.co.uk\/2024\/07\/the-student-encampments-were-only-the-start\">encampments<\/a>. Israeli newspapers are full of articles about the exodus of educated Israelis. Prof. Dan Ben David, a famous economist, argued that the Israeli economy is held together by 300,000 people (the senior staff in universities, tech companies, and hospitals). Once a significant portion of these people leaves, he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.themarker.com\/weekend\/2024-07-12\/ty-article-magazine\/.highlight\/00000190-9b85-d3c0-a7b0-fbc5bc8f0000\">says<\/a>, \u201cWe won\u2019t become a third world country, we just won\u2019t be anymore.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Data on the actual numbers of Israelis leaving the country is confusing and self-contradictory. In a time of great uncertainty, when Israeli newspapers are pumping disinformation about a global wave of antisemitism as if Jews would be more at risk in Europe or North America than they are in Israel, many Israelis are still opting for emigration \u2014 families are taking extended vacations, and other Israelis explore options for work and study abroad. Still, the estimates of the number of Israelis who have already left vary <a href=\"https:\/\/en.globes.co.il\/en\/article-leavers-1001483724\">wildly<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The two sectors of the Israeli economy that do not report a crash are the arms companies, which are reporting high sales (although most of them are domestic, arming the genocide), and the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/carrierubinstein\/2024\/05\/09\/can-israels-tech-titans-weather-the-storm-a-key-investors-insights\/\">exits<\/a>\u201d \u2014 as international corporations scavenge the carcasses of Israel\u2019s tech sector looking for bargains. Even Google expressed interest in buying the Israeli cyber security company <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e519abad-3839-494a-8231-1ccb4f363629\">Wiz<\/a>, founded by Israeli intelligence officers who are eager to sell their company to Google in order to be able to leave Israel.<\/p>\n<p>Israeli economists are expecting the Israeli government to take urgent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/warning-of-crisis-300-economists-urge-government-to-halt-non-war-spending\/\">action<\/a> to deal with the crisis, end the war, cut public spending, raise taxes, restore public trust in Israel\u2019s public institutions, and repair Israel\u2019s foreign relations, especially with the countries that it depends upon for trade \u2014 the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/my-europe\/2024\/02\/14\/spain-and-ireland-call-for-urgent-review-of-eu-israel-agreement-over-war-in-gaza\">EU<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/israel-says-turkeys-erdogan-is-breaking-agreements-by-blocking-ports-trade-2024-05-02\/\">Turkey<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/colombia-israel-coal-exports-467a61fed8c0779f27a3179629717436\">Colombia<\/a>. The Israeli government is instead implementing plans to destroy the Palestinian economy not only of Gaza but also of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/smotrich-threatens-to-stop-funds-to-palestinians-over-their-international-posturing\/\">Palestinian Authority<\/a> in the West Bank. It adopts a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/breaking-news\/article-802526\">belligerent<\/a> approach towards any state that criticizes its policies and has passed a last-minute and unrealistic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/israel-news\/2024-01-15\/ty-article\/israeli-government-approves-updated-2024-state-budget-five-ministers-vote-against\/0000018d-0e0e-d71c-ad9f-4f8ef8e10000\">budget<\/a> for 2024.<\/p>\n<p>In the age of the information economy, the economic prospects of states are neither determined by raw materials nor the quality of the workforce. Instead, we live in an era of an \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/pubs\/bulletin\/1997\/199704lead.pdf\">economy of expectations<\/a>.\u201d The hype of Israel\u2019s \u201cstartup nation\u201d has turned into a #Shutdownnation. Two senior Israeli economists, Jugene Kendel and Ron Tzur, published a secret report in which they predict that Israel will not survive to its 100<sup>th<\/sup> year. The report is kept secret because they do not want it to become a self-fulfilling prophecy, but they gave <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/israel-news\/2024-05-19\/ty-article-magazine\/.premium\/at-this-rate-israel-wont-make-it-to-its-100th-birthday\/0000018f-90cf-d065-a7ef-baff65310000\">interviews<\/a> about it. On Israel\u2019s 76<sup>th<\/sup> Independence Day, <em>Haaretz<\/em> published an editorial on both its English and Hebrew editions, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/opinion\/editorial\/2024-05-13\/ty-article-opinion\/.premium\/will-israel-survive-to-celebrate-100-years-only-if-netanyahu-resigns\/0000018f-6e42-d7ad-abdf-fe5e1e6e0000\">headline<\/a>, \u201cWill Israel survive to celebrate 100 years? Only if Netanyahu resigns.\u201d The Hebrew edition was published <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.co.il\/opinions\/editorial-articles\/2024-05-13\/ty-article-opinion\/0000018f-6d6e-d70d-a78f-7dee22d50000\">without<\/a> the qualification. Almost four months have passed and Netanyahu shows no signs of relinquishing power and is sabotaging negotiations for a ceasefire in order to prevent elections.<\/p>\n<p>Three Israeli historians, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/israel-news\/2023-12-29\/ty-article-magazine\/.highlight\/the-hamas-pogrom-demonstrates-that-zionism-has-failed-says-historian-moshe-zimmermann\/0000018c-b225-d45c-a98e-bb6d24480000\">two<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/2024\/05\/13\/israel-independence-day-zionism-future\/\">Zionists<\/a> and one <a href=\"https:\/\/newleftreview.org\/sidecar\/posts\/the-collapse-of-zionism?pc=1610\">anti-Zionist<\/a>, have declared that the Zionist project has come to an end. When a critical mass of Israelis, regardless of their political opinions, become convinced that Israeli apartheid has become unsustainable, they will no longer agree to invest energy and money and risk their lives and their families for the sake of the Zionist project. They will seek out a better future for themselves, as every sane person would, either by leaving Israel, or better yet, by working towards a new and democratic political system in Palestine. One person, one vote, and a future in which everyone of every religion and ethnicity can have a stake.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">&#8212;<\/p>\n<p><em>Mondoweiss<\/em> is reader-funded and independent. We never hide our articles, podcasts, or videos behind a paywall because we believe everyone should have access to high-quality journalism about Palestine.<\/p>\n<p><strong>We need you!\u00a0<\/strong>We know you value our reporting and analysis of the events and politics surrounding Palestine\u2019s struggle for liberation. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/act.mondoweiss.net\/a\/donate?source=website-top-bar\">Please donate today to sustain our work<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/mondoweiss.net\/2024\/07\/the-end-of-israels-economy\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While conducting its genocidal campaign in Gaza, over 46,000 Israeli businesses have gone bankrupt, tourism has stopped, its credit rating was lowered and Israeli bonds are sold at the prices of almost \u201cjunk bonds\u201d levels. Will Israel\u2019s economy ever recover?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[118,61,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-293747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-7-10-gaza-war","category-Commentary","category-Israel_Anti-Semitism_Zionism_and_US-UK_allies"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/293747","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=293747"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/293747\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":293760,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/293747\/revisions\/293760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=293747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=293747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=293747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}