{"id":282164,"date":"2024-02-21T09:20:33","date_gmt":"2024-02-21T09:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=282164"},"modified":"2024-02-23T08:37:57","modified_gmt":"2024-02-23T08:37:57","slug":"screw-the-facts-europe-commits-itself-to-further-escalation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=282164","title":{"rendered":"Screw The Facts – Europe Commits Itself To Further Escalation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Moon of Alabama \u2013 Feb 20, 2024<\/strong><\/h1>\n

International relations professor Andrew Latham opined in a recent piece that the idea of total Ukrainian victory is delusional<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Unfortunately some people, predominantly in Europe, still stick to the delusional idea:<\/p>\n

In professional journals<\/a>, on influential websites<\/a> and across the full spectrum of media outlets<\/a>, observers, analysts and pundits alike continue to inform us that, yes, there is a way for Ukraine to prevail over Russia, expelling the latter from all of its territory, including Crimea.
\n…
\n[That’s nonsense.]
\n…
\nIn short, Russia is winning the war and there is little to suggest that any foreseeable political, economic, tactical or technological developments are likely to alter that fundamental reality. So why are we seeing arguments about an ultimate Ukrainian battlefield triumph, in the face of all the devastatingly contradictory evidence?<\/p>\n

Well, applying Occam\u2019s razor \u2014 the principle that \u201cother things being equal, simpler explanations are generally better than more complex ones\u201d \u2014 I would suggest that the delusional belief that there is a pathway to total victory for Ukraine is based less on evolving military or geopolitical realities than on a simple psychological dynamic, one best summed up in the concept of \u201ccommitment escalation<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n

According to this concept, individuals or groups sometimes exhibit a tendency to persist with a failing argument, even as that argument becomes increasingly untenable in light of the facts. This behavior is marked above all by an adherence to prior commitments \u2014 sunk costs, as the economists might put it \u2014 regardless of their present plausibility or rationality. It is a psychological dysfunction.<\/p>\n

The German government under chancellor Scholz is one group which has stuck to the fallen argument. There is no way the Ukraine can win or that Russia could lose that war and any additional price paid for attempts to invalidate that is just wasted.<\/p>\n

Since the start of the war the EU’s and Germany’s reaction to it have been on the wrong path.<\/p>\n

As I wrote on February 28 2022<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Cont. reading: Screw The Facts – Europe Commits Itself To Further Escalation<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrainian forces are disintegrating with the fall of Avdiivka. So why are European countries pushing for an escalation of the conflict when Ukrainian forces seems on the verge of defeat? Is a wider war with Russia on the agenda? Is NATO trying to ignite a conflict that will spread beyond Ukraine\u2019s borders? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":145,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[91,116],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-282164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-russia","category-ukraine"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282164","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/145"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=282164"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282164\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":282165,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282164\/revisions\/282165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=282164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=282164"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=282164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}