{"id":255948,"date":"2022-07-12T06:57:41","date_gmt":"2022-07-12T06:57:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=255948"},"modified":"2022-07-14T06:33:46","modified_gmt":"2022-07-14T06:33:46","slug":"professor-norman-fenton-bbc-claims-8-of-the-uk-population-is-unvaccinated-it-is-a-lie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=255948","title":{"rendered":"Professor Norman Fenton: BBC Claims 8% of the UK Population Is Unvaccinated \u2013 It Is a Lie"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Rhoda Wilson \u2013 The Expose July 11, 2022<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p><strong>BBC\u2019s Prof Hannah Fry claims 8% of the UK\u2019s population is unvaccinated.\u00a0 But this is a lie.\u00a0 UK Health Security Agency\u2019s (\u201cUKHSA\u2019s\u201d) latest report shows that almost 30% of the population, of all ages, has not had even one dose of Covid injections, with 20% of the population over the age of 18 being vaccine free.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Why is this important? Because accurate estimates of the proportion of people who are unvaccinated is critical in determining both vaccine efficacy and vaccine safety. BBC\u2019s lie clearly has a major impact in exaggerating claims about \u201cvaccine\u201d safety and efficacy.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWithin 2 hours of me posting this article and tweeting it, the BBC updated the article (see below) so it\u2019s just as well I grabbed a screenshot of the original,\u201d wrote Professor Norman Fenton.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>By <a href=\"https:\/\/www.normanfenton.com\/\">Professor Norman Fenton<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/mediacentre\/2022\/unvaccinated-professor-hannah-fry\">new BBC documentary<\/a> (hosted by mathematician Prof Hannah Fry) \u201cseeks to understand why eight per cent of the population remain unvaccinated against Covid-19.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-53-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-255949\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-53-1-933x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"702\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-53-1-933x1024.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-53-1-480x527.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 640px, 100vw\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But, as <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClareCraigPath\/status\/1545059907015102464?s=20&amp;t=F3iRtjFPReKsv2S5SsoL6w\">pointed out by Clare Craig<\/a>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mi4qHyglhZ\">latest UKHSA Covid-19 surveillance report<\/a> (dated 7 July 2022) reports something very different: almost 30% of the population of England eligible for the vaccine <em><strong>has not had a single dose of the vaccine<\/strong><\/em>. Even if we ignore those aged under 18 it is almost 20% without a single dose and almost 40% who have not had 3 doses.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_255950\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-54.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-255950\" class=\"wp-image-255950\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-54.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"386\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-54.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-54-480x290.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 640px, 100vw\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-255950\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n<p>As we have shown in several of our own research articles, (see for example <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.13140\/RG.2.2.28055.09124\">HERE<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.13140\/RG.2.2.12472.42248\">HERE<\/a>) accurate estimates of the proportion of people who are unvaccinated is critical in determining both vaccine efficacy and vaccine safety. To see why suppose, for illustration, we know that in a given period there were one million people in a specific age group of whom one thousand died. Then the overall all-cause mortality rate is 1 in 1000. Suppose we know that 800 of those who died were vaccinated while 200 were not. Then:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If the true proportion of unvaccinated is 10% that means 200 out of 100,000 unvaccinated died (that\u2019s a mortality rate of 1 in 500), while 800 out of 900,000 vaccinated died (that\u2019s a mortality rate of 1 in 1,125). <em>So, the mortality rate in the unvaccinated is <\/em><strong><em>much higher<\/em><\/strong><em> than that of the vaccinated<\/em>.<\/li>\n<li>If the true proportion of unvaccinated is 30%, that means 200 out of 300,000 unvaccinated died (that\u2019s a mortality rate of 1 in 1,150), while 800 out of 700,000 vaccinated died (that\u2019s a mortality rate of 1 in 875). <em>So the mortality rate in the unvaccinated is <\/em><strong><em>much lower<\/em><\/strong><em> than that of the vaccinated<\/em>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Our reports showed clearly that many of the claims by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) about vaccine efficacy and safety are based on flawed data, which includes not just misclassifying some of those who die shortly after vaccinated as \u2018unvaccinated\u2019, but also underestimating the true proportion of unvaccinated.<\/p>\n<p>The 8% unvaccinated claim by the BBC is clearly wrong and it clearly has a major impact in exaggerating any claims about vaccine safety and efficacy. Having <a href=\"https:\/\/probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com\/2015\/02\/the-statistics-of-climate-change.html\">previously co-presented a BBC documentary with Hannah Fry<\/a>, I am well aware of the extent to which what presenters say is scripted by others. So I\u2019d be interested to know if Hannah is comfortable presenting such obviously inaccurate statistics.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update<\/strong>: <em>within 2 hours of me posting this article and tweeting it the BBC updated the article. It now says Hannah Fry \u201cseeks to understand why a portion of the population remain unvaccinated against Covid-19.\u201d So, a small success of sorts, but how about an apology by the BBC for misleading the public again and also an explanation for how they came to get it so wrong. Who are the \u2018experts\u2019 they relied on for the data and are they the same \u2018experts\u2019 who will be scripting the programme with a biased narrative?<\/em><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_255951\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-55.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-255951\" class=\"wp-image-255951\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-55-830x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"790\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-55-830x1024.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-55-480x592.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 640px, 100vw\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-255951\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The above is the article <em>BBC wants \u201cto understand why 8% of the population remains unvaccinated against Covid\u201d<\/em> republished from Prof. Norman\u2019s website <a href=\"https:\/\/www.normanfenton.com\/post\/bbc-wants-to-understand-why-8-of-the-population-remains-unvaccinated-against-covid\">HERE<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>About the Author<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.normanfenton.com\/about\">Norman Fenton<\/a> is a Professor of Risk Information Management at the Queen Mary University of London and a Director of Agena, a company specialising in critical systems risk management. He is a mathematician by training whose current focus is on critical decision-making and, in particular, on quantifying uncertainty using causal, probabilistic models that combine data and knowledge (Bayesian networks).\u00a0 The approach can be summarised as \u201csmart data\u201d rather than \u201cbig data.\u201d\u00a0 Applications include law and forensics (he has been an expert witness in major criminal and civil cases), health, security, software reliability, transport safety and reliability, finance, and football prediction.<\/p>\n<p><em>Featured image: Source for the image at the top of the page, <a href=\"https:\/\/biasedbbc.org\/blog\/2017\/02\/18\/weekend-open-thread-136\/comment-page-2\/\">Exposing the Broadcasting Bias of the BBC<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/expose-news.com\/2022\/07\/08\/july-fundraising-campaign-keep-expose-online\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-175417 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2002\/10\/donate-pp.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"225\" height=\"80\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/expose-news.com\/2022\/07\/11\/bbc-lies-8-of-the-uk-population-is-unvaccinated\/?cmid=ee0c4c60-ec69-4d70-be58-ec2dac297e0d\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Once again the publicly funded broadcaster has been distorting the truth. Now it claims that 8% of the UK population is \u201cunvaccinated\u201d, when the real figure is closer to 30% <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":255953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[105,25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-255948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","category-The_Media"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255948","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=255948"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255948\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":255952,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255948\/revisions\/255952"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/255953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=255948"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=255948"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=255948"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}