{"id":245211,"date":"2021-11-07T08:42:22","date_gmt":"2021-11-07T08:42:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=245211"},"modified":"2021-11-08T07:56:00","modified_gmt":"2021-11-08T07:56:00","slug":"pfizer-vaccine-kill-200-to-save-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=245211","title":{"rendered":"Pfizer \u201cvaccine\u201d: kill 200 to \u2018save\u2019 one?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Kit Knightly \u2013 Off-Guardian Nov 6, 2021<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p>In the early days of the \u201cvaccine\u201d rollout, we ran several articles discussing the risk-reward of the new mRNA jabs. <a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2021\/02\/22\/synthetic-mrna-covid-vaccines-a-risk-benefit-analysis\/\">Dr Sadaf Gilani<\/a>, in particular, did good <a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2021\/06\/01\/covid-vaccines-a-faltering-framework\/\">detailed write-ups <\/a>on \u201cabsolute risk reduction\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>To explain <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/books\/NBK63647\/\">\u201cabsolute risk reduction\u201d<\/a> (ARR) in simple terms: if an unvaccinated person has 10% of getting the disease, and a vaccinated person has a 1% chance, then the ARR for the vaccine is 9%.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, that\u2019s just an example, the actual ARR for the Covid \u201cvaccines\u201d is nowhere near 9%:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">This is the absolute risk reduction for Pfizer\/BioNtech (each group had over 18,000 people):<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Injection Group: 8\/18,198 = 0.04%<br \/>\nPlacebo Group: 162\/18,325 = 0.88%<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Absolute risk reduction = 0.84%<\/p>\n<p>From the \u201cabsolute risk reduction\u201d, you can then calculate the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/books\/NBK63647\/\">\u201cnumber needed to vaccinate\u201d<\/a> (NNTV). This is the rough number of people you need to inject in order to definitely prevent one case\/death.<\/p>\n<p>To continue the example above, if your vaccine reduces the odds of infection from 10% to 1% (an ARR of 9%), you need to vaccinate eleven people to prevent one infection, giving you an NNTV of 11.<\/p>\n<p>Again, the NNTV of the Covid vaccines are much, much, MUCH higher than 11. Estimates range from<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mdpi.com\/1648-9144\/57\/3\/199\/htm\"> between 88 <\/a>and 700 to prevent a single case, and <a href=\"https:\/\/cf5e727d-d02d-4d71-89ff-9fe2d3ad957f.filesusr.com\/ugd\/adf864_8c97b2396c2842b3b05975bfbd8254cb.pdf\">anything up to 100,000<\/a> to prevent one solitary death.<\/p>\n<p>And remember, all this data was for adults. Children are at a far lower risk from Covid \u2013 both in terms of hospitalisation and death. In the US, children aged 5-11 have a <a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2021\/10\/30\/theres-no-case-for-vaccinating-children-the-fda-meeting-proves-it\/\">99.992% chance of surviving \u201cCovid\u201d<\/a> \u2013 so it naturally follows the NNTV for this group will be far, far higher than for adults.<\/p>\n<p>But, now that the FDA has approved Pfizer\u2019s \u201cvaccine\u201d for emergency use on children aged 5-11, \u201cfar, far higher\u201d is not good enough. We need to calculate an actual figure for the \u201cnumber needed to vaccinate\u201d in order to hypothetically protect one child from dying \u201cwith Covid\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately for us, someone else has already done it.<\/p>\n<p>Writing on his Substack, economist Toby Rodgers PhD has collated the numbers from Pfizer\u2019s own trials, the FDA and the CDC and done a very thorough write up. You can read the whole thing <a href=\"https:\/\/tobyrogers.substack.com\/p\/what-is-the-number-needed-to-vaccinate\">here<\/a>, we\u2019ll just present you with some of the highlights:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">As of October 30, 2021, the CDC stated that <a href=\"https:\/\/covid.cdc.gov\/covid-data-tracker\/#demographics\">170 children ages 5 to 11<\/a> have died of COVID-19-related illness since the start of the pandemic. (That represents less than 0.1% of all coronavirus-related deaths nationwide even though children that age make up 8.7% of the U.S. population).<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">The Pfizer mRNA shot only \u201cworks\u201d for about 6 months (it increases risk in the first month, provides moderate protection in months 2 through 4 and then effectiveness begins to wane, which is why all of the FDA modeling only used a 6 month time-frame). So any modeling would have to be based on vaccine effectiveness in connection with the 57 (170\/3) children who might otherwise have died of COVID-related illness during a 6-month period.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">At best, the Pfizer mRNA shot might be 80% effective against hospitalizations and death. That number comes directly from the FDA modeling (p. 32). I am bending over backwards to give Pfizer the benefit of considerable doubt because again, the Pfizer clinical trial showed NO reduction in hospitalizations or death in this age group.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">So injecting <a href=\"https:\/\/datacenter.kidscount.org\/data\/tables\/101-child-population-by-age-group#detailed\/1\/any\/false\/574,1729,37,871,870,573,869,36,868,867\/62,63,64,6,4693\/419,420\">all 28,384,878 children ages 5 to 11<\/a> with two doses of Pfizer (which is what the Biden administration wants to do) would save, at most, 45 lives (0.8 effectiveness x 57 fatalities that otherwise would have occurred during that time period = 45).<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">So then the NNTV to prevent a single fatality in this age group is 630,775 (28,384,878 \/ 45). But it\u2019s a two dose regimen so if one wants to calculate the NNTV per injection the number doubles to 1,261,550. It\u2019s literally the worst NNTV in the history of vaccination.<\/p>\n<p>630,000 children injected with 1.2 million doses to save one life. That\u2019s incredibly inefficient. However, it could be even worse than that.<\/p>\n<p>As we covered last week, according to statistics <a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2021\/10\/30\/theres-no-case-for-vaccinating-children-the-fda-meeting-proves-it\/\">cited at the VRBPAC meeting<\/a>, only <em>94 children<\/em> from the 5-11 age group have died. If this lower figure is correct, the NNTV to prevent a single death jumps up to<strong> 915,641<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, in order to hypothetically prevent a single child from dying over a six month period, you would have to<strong> inject nearly one million children<\/strong> with <strong>almost two million doses<\/strong> of the Pfizer vaccine.<\/p>\n<p>What kind of risk are those 915,641 children facing from their two doses of Pfizer mRNA soup?<\/p>\n<p>Well, early studies found around <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/mmwr\/volumes\/70\/wr\/mm7002e1.htm\">11.1 cases of severe anaphylaxis per million doses of the Pfizer shot<\/a>, so already any \u201cfully vaccinated\u201d child is almost 22x more likely to have an allergic reaction than to actually be protected from Covid.<\/p>\n<p>Other severe reactions are harder to calculate.<\/p>\n<p>It is known, for example, that Pfizer\u2019s own trial showed increased all-cause mortality in the vaccinated group vs the placebo group, to the point the trial was abandoned after six months and all remaining placebo members were given the vaccine, effectively destroying the control group. To quote Rodgers again:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">As Bobby Kennedy explains, Pfizer\u2019s clinical trial in adults showed alarming increases in all cause mortality in the vaccinated:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em>\u201cIn Pfizer\u2019s 6 month clinical trial in adults \u2014 there was 1 covid death out of 22,000 in the vaccine (\u201ctreatment\u201d) group and 2 Covid deaths out of 22,000 in the placebo group (see Table s4). So NNTV = 22,000. The catch is there were 5 heart attack deaths in the vaccine group and only 1 in placebo group. So for every 1 life saved from Covid, the Pfizer vaccine kills 4 from heart attacks. All cause mortality in the 6 month study was 20 in vaccine group and 14 in placebo group.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em>So a 42% all cause mortality increase among the vaccinated. The vaccine loses practically all efficacy after 6 months so they had to curtail the study. They unblinded and offered the vaccine to the placebo group. At that point the rising harm line had long ago intersected the sinking efficacy line.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Former NY Times investigative reporter Alex Berenson also wrote about the bad outcomes for the vaccinated in the Pfizer clinical trial in adults (<a href=\"https:\/\/alexberenson.substack.com\/p\/on-the-pfizer-study-that-caused-twitter\">here<\/a>). Berenson received a lifetime ban from Twitter for posting Pfizer\u2019s own clinical trial data.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not in Big Pharma\u2019s interest to have an accurate collation of severe vaccine reactions, combine this with the (<a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2021\/07\/29\/covid-vaccines-the-leaked-pfizer-contract\/\">acknowledged<\/a>) potential for totally unknown long-term side effects, and calculating the complete potential risk becomes very complicated.<\/p>\n<p>However, Rodgers \u2013 using the VAERS data as his basis \u2013 makes a very reasonable effort:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Because the Pfizer clinical trial has no useable data, I have to immuno-bridge from the nearest age group.<\/li>\n<li>31,761,099 people (so just about 10% more people than in the 5 to 11 age bracket) <a href=\"https:\/\/covid.cdc.gov\/covid-data-tracker\/?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fcoronavirus%2F2019-ncov%2Fcases-updates%2Fcases-in-us.html#vaccination-demographic\">ages 12 to 24<\/a> have gotten at least one coronavirus shot.<\/li>\n<li>The COVID-19 vaccine program has only existed for 10 months and younger people have only had access more recently (children 12 to 15 have had access for five months; since May 10) \u2014 so we\u2019re looking at roughly the same observational time period as modeled above.<\/li>\n<li>During that time, there are <a href=\"https:\/\/openvaers.com\/covid-data\/mortality\">128 reports <\/a>of fatal side effects following coronavirus mRNA injections in people 12 to 24. (That\u2019s through October 22, 2021. There is a reporting lag though so the actual number of reports that have been filed is surely higher).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>At this point, going purely off official data and VAERS reports, you can conclude that injecting every 5-11 year old in the US would theoretically save approximately 31 lives, but kill roughly 116 children.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s clearly already a very bad outcome. However, if the predictions for under-reporting of vaccine harms are accurate, it\u2019s potentially much worse than that:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Kirsch, Rose, and Crawford (2021) <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/document\/d\/1stq2nHFjAcMHhxJhWiXa33wl6x0Ga1qdIxodZnFixRw\/edit\">estimate that VAERS undercounts<\/a> fatal reactions by a factor of 41 which would put the total fatal side effects in this age-range at 5,248. (Kirsch et al. represents a conservative estimate because others have put the underreporting factor at <a href=\"https:\/\/digital.ahrq.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/docs\/publication\/r18hs017045-lazarus-final-report-2011.pdf\">100<\/a>.)<\/li>\n<li>With potentially deadly side effects including myo- and pericarditis<a href=\"https:\/\/openvaers.com\/covid-data\/mortality\"> disproportionately impacting youth<\/a> it is reasonable to think that over time the rate of fatal side effects from mRNA shots in children ages 5 to 11 might be similar to those in ages 12 to 24.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\u2026]Imagine that, at most half of American parents will be foolish enough to inject this toxic product into their kids. At a 50% uptake rate, the ACIP decision to approve the Pfizer shot will likely kill 2,624 children via adverse reactions in order to potentially save 12 from COVID-19-related illness.<\/p>\n<p>In conclusion, going purely off official data, vaccinating 5-11 year olds will create 22 allergic reactions per death prevented, and could very well result in four deaths per life saved.<\/p>\n<p>And, if Rodgers\u2019 calculations are correct, the Pfizer shot could kill over 200 children before it has saved a single one.<\/p>\n<p>As always, the point of this analysis is to illustrate that <em>even the establishment\u2019s own data<\/em> doesn\u2019t support their conclusions, it is NOT necessarily an endorsement of that data, or of the idea that \u201cCovid\u201d is indeed a \u201cpandemic\u201d that poses any kind of risk to anyone.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">&#8212;<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">Can you spare $1.00 a month to support independent media<\/h3>\n<p>Unlike the Guardian we are NOT funded by Bill &amp; Melinda Gates, or any other NGO or government. So a few coins in our jar to help us keep going are always appreciated.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/offguardian\">Patreon<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/donate\/?cmd=_s-xclick&amp;hosted_button_id=CKFB3MH8CGB9U\">Paypal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/off-guardian.org\/2021\/11\/06\/pfizer-vax-kill-200-to-save-one\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysis of official data shows the risks attached to Covid \u201cvaccine\u201d far outweighs any theoretical reward.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[105],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-245211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-coronavirus"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/245211","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=245211"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/245211\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":245214,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/245211\/revisions\/245214"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=245211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=245211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=245211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}