{"id":231042,"date":"2021-04-04T11:14:42","date_gmt":"2021-04-04T11:14:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=231042"},"modified":"2021-04-05T10:37:08","modified_gmt":"2021-04-05T10:37:08","slug":"this-crisis-has-the-potential-to-escalate-into-a-pan-european-or-world-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=231042","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;This crisis has the potential to escalate into a pan-European or world war&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Above: Russian marines<\/p>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Introduction \u2013 April 4, 2021<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p>We reserve judgement on the following and post it merely to provide background on the military situation. However, it is obvious that the West is using Ukraine as a means to undermine Russia.<\/p>\n<p>Putin realises this and like many in Russia he sees the West fuelling tensions between Kiev and Moscow. Like many Russians he also sees the steady build-up of western forces close to Russia\u2019s borders and in Ukraine itself as a growing threat.<\/p>\n<p>So we wouldn\u2019t dismiss the possibility that Russia may be preparing for a pre-emptive military strike to neutralise the threat. Ed.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_230914\" style=\"width: 644px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/41229454-9427633-Russia_has_used_trains_to_move_massive_military_vehicles_toward_-a-8_1617296966795.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-230914\" class=\"size-full wp-image-230914\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/41229454-9427633-Russia_has_used_trains_to_move_massive_military_vehicles_toward_-a-8_1617296966795.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"308\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/41229454-9427633-Russia_has_used_trains_to_move_massive_military_vehicles_toward_-a-8_1617296966795.jpg 634w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/41229454-9427633-Russia_has_used_trains_to_move_massive_military_vehicles_toward_-a-8_1617296966795-480x233.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 634px, 100vw\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-230914\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Russia has used trains to transport large numbers of military vehicles close to its border with Ukraine in recent weeks.<\/p><\/div>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>&#8216;This crisis has the potential to escalate into a pan-European or world war&#8217;: Russian military analyst claims Moscow&#8217;s build-up of troops and tanks on the Ukranian border could turn hot within as little as four weeks<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Will Stewart \u2013 Daily Mail April 3, 2021<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A European or even World War could be triggered in four weeks in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/ukraine\/index.html\"><strong>Ukraine<\/strong><\/a> after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/russia\/index.html\"><strong>Russia<\/strong><\/a> dispatched 4,000 to the disputed border with its neighbour, warns an independent Russian military analyst.<\/p>\n<p>It comes as social media footage footage shows suspected large scale Russian military movements in regions close to rebel-held eastern Ukraine and annexed Crimea.<\/p>\n<p>With tension sharply rising, analyst Pavel Felgenhauer, 69, said it now requires a &#8216;psychoanalyst&#8217; to determine Russia&#8217;s intentions in Ukraine but warned events could see &#8216;war in a month&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>The West has expressed alarm about Moscow&#8217;s movement of troops and forces, and Felgenhauer says they are right to be concerned as unverified new footage appears to show military movements in Russia&#8217;s Voronezh, Rostov and Krasnodar regions, along with key railway routes.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;The crisis has the potential to escalate into a pan-European war, if not even a world one,&#8217; Felgenhauer warned starkly in an interview with Rosbalt news outlet in Russia.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;But for now, potential. Will it happen or not? Let&#8217;s wait and see. In the West, they don&#8217;t know what to do about it.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_95617\" style=\"width: 269px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/Russian-troops.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-95617\" class=\"wp-image-95617 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/Russian-troops.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"259\" height=\"194\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-95617\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Russian troops pictured on manoeuvres in the West of the country during the 2014 crisis with Ukraine<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Russia yesterday vowed to &#8216;take extra measures&#8217; if Nato sends forces to Ukraine after the Kremlin dispatched 4,000 troops to the disputed border with its neighbour.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;No doubt such a scenario would lead to a further increase in tensions close to Russia&#8217;s borders. Of course, this would call for additional measures from the Russian side to ensure its security,&#8217; Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.<\/p>\n<p>He insisted, however, that Russia was &#8216;not threatening&#8217; Ukraine, despite an earlier statement which warned a war in Donbass would &#8216;destroy&#8217; its neighbour.<\/p>\n<p>Footage has emerged showing shows dozens of military helicopters close to the frontier, and the movement of tanks and other military vehicles by train.<\/p>\n<p>The United States pledged its &#8216;unwavering&#8217; support to Ukraine on Thursday as defense officials said they were aware of thousands of troops newly-deployed to the separatist Donbass territory, which is controlled by pro-Moscow factions.<\/p>\n<p>Asked why Russia may be pushing for a conflict now, Felgenhauer replied: &#8216;Address this question to a psychoanalyst. Do I need to explain?<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;The facts are there, everything is already happening.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He claimed all the conditions could be in place by early May when Russian will hold a major Red Square parade to mark the anniversary of victory in World War Two, and he suspected a &#8216;decision has been made already&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>Felgenhauer said factors pushing Russia towards seizing land from Ukraine were &#8216;the closure of pro-Russian TV channels in Ukraine, the threat of arrest and trial of Ukrainian politician Viktor Medvedchyuk, the arrest of Alexei Navalny, [and] President Biden calling Putin a murderer&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;The threats are growing, and rapidly. Much is not discussed in the media, but we are seeing very bad signs,&#8217; he added.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: 0;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/maps\/embed?pb=!1m18!1m12!1m3!1d2845898.939101816!2d30.18876019930388!3d45.847332817706445!2m3!1f0!2f0!3f0!3m2!1i1024!2i768!4f13.1!3m3!1m2!1s0x40eac2a37171b3f7%3A0x2a6f09e02affbaeb!2sCrimean%20Peninsula!5e0!3m2!1sen!2suk!4v1617533792554!5m2!1sen!2suk\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><br \/>\n&#8212;<\/div>\n<p>In the third week of March, three large Russian Baltic Fleet landing ships passed south through the English Channel, accompanied by a corvette, he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;There will be ten such combat units in total, plus small airborne troops,&#8217; he said. &#8216;You can collect up to two divisions, taking into account the air force.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Russia could be planning a &#8216;Normandy-style landing&#8217; between Odessa and Mykolaiv, he claimed.<\/p>\n<p>Putin has huge forces in occupied east Ukraine &#8211; which fell under his sway in 2014, and in Crimea which was occupied.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Obviously, a major operation is being prepared, and other forces will be brought in as well,&#8217; he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Everyone is talking about a possible tank invasion from Belgorod through Kharkiv in the direction of Zaporizhia in order to surround Ukrainian forces on the left bank of the Donbass.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Putin might &#8216;cut off Ukraine from the sea, create [a new rebel state of] Novorossiya, for example&#8217; or he could make a move then pause and start dictating terms to the West,\u00a0Felgenhauer added.<\/p>\n<p>Or Russia could seek to extend his control devouring Ukraine as far as Transnistria, a landlocked, Moscow-controlled no man&#8217;s land &#8216;unofficial state&#8217; with its own KGB secret service, he claimed.<\/p>\n<p>Felgenhauer predicted that the West&#8217;s expected reactions to such moves were &#8216;unclear&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Some [in the West] say that the Russians should not be provoked, and military intervention is too risky.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Others, on the contrary, are in favour of unification (of Russia and Ukraine) and open confrontation, because then it will be possible to bargain with Russia.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine alleges Russia has 32,700 troops in Crimea, and commands 28,000 separatist servicemen in rebel-held eastern Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Ukrainian-armor-600x267-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-230932\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Ukrainian-armor-600x267-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"360\" height=\"160\" \/><\/a>&#8216;Despite significant enemy forces, the Ukrainian army is prepared for all potential scenarios,&#8217; said Ruslan Khomchak, the Ukrainian commander-in-chief.<\/p>\n<p>Putin&#8217;s spokesman Dmitry Peskov defended the troop movement towards border areas.<\/p>\n<p>The Russian Federation moves troops within its own territory at its own discretion,&#8217; he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;This shouldn&#8217;t concern anyone, as such actions do not endanger anyone.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He claimed: &#8216;As you know, intense activity of the armies of NATO member states and other organisations, as well as particular states etc, is being observed on the perimeter of Russian borders.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;We need to stay on guard.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>A NATO official said that the Western allies have &#8216;concerns&#8217; over Russian &#8216;large scale military activities around Ukraine&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>An American expert on Russia, Michael Kofman said that while there was &#8216;no strong evidence that an attack is imminent&#8217; it was clear &#8216;something is up outside of regular exercises or normal troop rotation&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>He warned: &#8216;Russian intentions are unclear.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine, Western countries and NATO accuse Russia of sending troops and heavy weapons to prop up its proxies in Donbass who seized a swathe of eastern Ukraine in 2014.<\/p>\n<p>Russia says it only provides political and humanitarian support to separatist fighters in what it casts as an internal conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrainian military intelligence accused Russia of engineering provocations to create a pretext to send additional Russian military units to Donbass.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;In addition, an attempt to advance Russian occupation forces deep into Ukraine is not ruled out,&#8217; it said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-9433075\/Russian-military-analyst-warns-European-world-war-possible-month-tensions-rise-Ukraine.html\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Russian military build-up continues near Ukraine, with the deployment of large landing ships in the Black Sea. Prompting analysts to warn that Moscow maybe preparing to seize parts of Ukraine with Normandy-like landings <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":231045,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[58,91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-231042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-Current_Affairs","category-russia"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=231042"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231042\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":231048,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231042\/revisions\/231048"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/231045"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=231042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=231042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=231042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}