{"id":225785,"date":"2021-01-23T06:58:02","date_gmt":"2021-01-23T06:58:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=225785"},"modified":"2021-01-25T08:07:11","modified_gmt":"2021-01-25T08:07:11","slug":"duke-harvard-and-johns-hopkins-experts-covid-lockdowns-will-cause-one-million-excess-deaths","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=225785","title":{"rendered":"Duke, Harvard, and Johns Hopkins Experts: COVID Lockdowns Will Cause ONE MILLION Excess Deaths"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Steve Watson \u2013 SUMMIT News Jan 18, 2021<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p><strong>Academics from Duke, Harvard, and Johns Hopkins <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2021\/01\/06\/covid-pandemic-recession-unemployment-mortality-rate-increase\/\">have concluded<\/a> that there could be around a million excess deaths over the next two decades as a result of lockdowns.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A NBER working paper titled <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/working_papers\/w28304\/w28304.pdf\">The Long-Term Impact Of The Covid-19 Unemployment Shock On life Expectancy And Mortality Rates<\/a><\/em> suggests that \u201cFor the overall population, the increase in the death rate following the COVID-19 pandemic implies a staggering 0.89 and 1.37 million excess deaths over the next 15 and 20 years, respectively.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The paper was written by Francesco Bianchi, an economist at Duke University, Giada Bianchi, an MD in the Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women\u2019s Hospital Harvard Medical School, and Dongho Song, an economist at the Johns Hopkins University\u2019s Carey Business School.<\/p>\n<p>The study into how unemployment affects mortality and life expectancy was centred around 67 years of\u00a0data\u00a0about unemployment, life expectancy, and death rates\u00a0from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.<\/p>\n<p>The paper suggests that deaths caused by the economic and societal decline as a result of lockdowns may \u201cfar exceed those immediately related to the acute COVID-19 critical illness.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe recession caused by the pandemic can jeopardize population health for the next two decades,\u201d they add.<\/p>\n<p>The paper explains:<\/p>\n<h4 style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><strong>These numbers correspond to 0.24% and 0.37% of the projected US population at the 15- and 20-year horizons, respectively. For African- Americans, we estimate 180 thousand and 270 thousand excess deaths over the next 15 and 20 years, respectively. These numbers correspond to 0.34% and 0.49% of the projected African- American population at the 15- and 20-year horizons, respectively. For Whites, we estimate 0.82 and 1.21 million excess deaths over the next 15 and 20 years, respectively. These numbers correspond to 0.30% and 0.44% of the projected White population at the 15- and 20-year horizons, respectively. These numbers are roughly equally split between men and women.<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The authors also note that \u201cBased on emerging data, it is likely that the limited access to health care during the lockdown, temporary discontinuation of preventive care interventions, massive loss of employer-provided health insurance coverage, and the lingering concern of the population about seeking medical care out of fear of contracting COVID-19 will impact mortality rate and life expectancy even more severely.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>They add \u201cWe interpret these results as a strong indication that policymakers should take into consideration the severe, long-run implications of such a large economic recession on people\u2019s lives when deliberating on COVID-19 recovery and containment measures.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The findings add to the mountains of research that already exists suggesting that the \u2018cure is worse than the problem\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>In October, the World Health Organization\u2019s Regional Director for Europe Hans Kluge said governments should stop enforcing lockdowns, unless as a \u201clast resort,\u201d because the impact on other areas of health and mental well-being is more damaging.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">NEW: WHO Europe Director, Hans Kluge tells me, no government should enforce another national lockdown unless it is absolutely necessary, a last resort  <\/p>\n<p>He says damage to other health areas, mental health, domestic violence, schools and cancer treatment is too great <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jzbh9YbH7z\">pic.twitter.com\/jzbh9YbH7z<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Darren McCaffrey (@DarrenEuronews) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DarrenEuronews\/status\/1316028506560626688?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 13, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Kluge\u2019s warning matched that of the WHO\u2019s special envoy on COVID-19, Dr David Nabarro, who told the Spectator in an interview that world leaders should stop imposing lockdowns as a reflex reaction because they are making \u201cpoor people an awful lot poorer.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">WATCH: Dr David Nabarro, the WHO&#39;s Special Envoy on Covid-19, tells Andrew Neil: &#39;We really do appeal to all world leaders: stop using lockdown as your primary control method&#39;. Watch the full interview here: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XLdaedsKVS\">https:\/\/t.co\/XLdaedsKVS<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/SpectatorTV?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#SpectatorTV<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/afneil?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@afneil<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidnabarro?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@davidnabarro<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1M4xf3VnXQ\">pic.twitter.com\/1M4xf3VnXQ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The Spectator (@spectator) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/spectator\/status\/1314573157827858434?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 9, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The warnings resonate with numerous other experts who have desperately tried to warn governments that lockdowns will end up killing more people than the virus itself, but have been largely ignored.<\/p>\n<p>Germany\u2019s Minister of Economic Cooperation and Development, Gerd Muller, recently\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/09\/25\/german-minister-lockdown-will-kill-more-than-covid-19-does\/\">warned<\/a>\u00a0that COVID-19 lockdowns will result in \u201cone of the biggest\u201d hunger and poverty crises in history.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe expect an additional 400,000 deaths from malaria and HIV this year on the African continent alone,\u201d Muller said, adding that \u201chalf a million more will die from tuberculosis.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Muller\u2019s comments arrived months after a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/12\/leaked-study-from-inside-german-government-warns-lockdown-will-kill-more-people-than-coronavirus\/\">leaked study<\/a>\u00a0from inside the German Ministry of the Interior revealed that the impact of the country\u2019s lockdown could end up killing more people than the coronavirus due to victims of other serious illnesses not receiving treatment.<\/p>\n<p>Another\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/26\/study-lockdown-will-destroy-at-least-seven-times-more-years-of-human-life-than-it-saves\/\">study<\/a>\u00a0found that lockdowns will conservatively \u201cdestroy at least seven times more years of human life\u201d than they save.<\/p>\n<p>Professor Richard Sullivan also\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/04\/23\/professor-warns-cancer-deaths-due-to-covid-disruption-will-be-greater-than-deaths-from-coronavirus\/\">warned<\/a>\u00a0that there will be more excess cancer deaths in the UK than total coronavirus deaths due to people\u2019s access to screenings and treatment being restricted as a result of the lockdown.<\/p>\n<p>His comments were\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/07\/professor-economic-impact-of-lockdown-will-cause-more-deaths-than-coronavirus\/\">echoed<\/a>\u00a0by Peter Nilsson, a Swedish professor of internal medicine and epidemiology at Lund University, who said, \u201cIt\u2019s so important to understand that the deaths of COVID-19 will be far less than the deaths caused by societal lockdown when the economy is ruined.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/debate\/article-8247141\/If-goes-six-months-50-000-people-die-cancer.html\">Professor Karol Sikora<\/a>, an NHS consultant oncologist, there could be 50,000 excess deaths from cancer as a result of routine screenings being suspended during the lockdown in the UK.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/11\/thousands-of-people-are-dying-at-home-due-to-the-lockdown\/\">A Guardian analysis<\/a>\u00a0has found that there have been thousands of excess deaths of people at home in the UK due to the lockdown.<\/p>\n<p>Infectious diseases expert and University of Edinburgh professor Mark Woolhouse <a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/08\/24\/uk-government-scientist-admits-lockdown-was-a-monumental-mistake-on-a-global-scale\/\">acknowledged<\/a> that the decision to lockdown the UK last March was a \u201ccrude measure\u201d that was enacted because \u201cwe couldn\u2019t think of anything better to do.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Woolhouse said the lockdown was a \u201cpanic measure\u201d and a \u201cmonumental mistake on a global scale,\u201d adding \u201cI believe the harm lockdown is doing to our education, health care access, and broader aspects of our economy and society will turn out to be at least as great as the harm done by COVID-19.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As we further previously\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/05\/south-african-data-analysts-lockdown-will-lead-to-29-times-more-deaths-than-coronavirus\/\">highlighted<\/a>, a data analyst consortium in South Africa found that the economic consequences of the country\u2019s lockdown will lead to 29 times more people dying than the coronavirus itself.<\/p>\n<p>Experts have also\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/08\/1-4-million-people-to-die-from-untreated-tb-due-to-coronavirus-lockdown\/\">warned<\/a>\u00a0that there will be 1.4 million deaths globally from untreated TB infections due to the lockdown.<\/p>\n<p>In addition,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(20)31648-2\/fulltext#%20\">a study published in The Lancet<\/a>\u00a0that notes\u00a0\u201cphysical distancing, school closures, trade restrictions, and country lockdowns\u201d\u00a0are worsening global child malnutrition.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/05\/25\/500-doctors-write-to-trump-warning-lockdown-will-cause-more-deaths\/\">Thousands of doctors<\/a>\u00a0and <a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2020\/10\/07\/over-6000-scientists-doctors-sign-anti-lockdown-petition\/\">scientists<\/a> are also on record as opposing lockdown measures,\u00a0warning that they will cause more death than the coronavirus itself<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/summit.news\/2021\/01\/19\/duke-harvard-and-johns-hopkins-experts-covid-lockdowns-will-cause-one-million-excess-deaths\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Experts from Harvard, John Hopkins and the World Health Organisation warn that lockdown may ultimately cause more deaths than Covid-19<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[105,22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-225785","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-coronavirus","category-Health"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225785","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=225785"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225785\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":225786,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225785\/revisions\/225786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=225785"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=225785"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=225785"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}