{"id":205811,"date":"2020-04-17T07:00:02","date_gmt":"2020-04-17T07:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=205811"},"modified":"2020-04-20T07:02:16","modified_gmt":"2020-04-20T07:02:16","slug":"top-virus-expert-john-oxford-says-coronavirus-a-media-epidemic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=205811","title":{"rendered":"Top Virus expert John Oxford says Coronavirus a \u201cmedia epidemic\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Says there will be less UK deaths than normal flu – sub 8,000<\/h3>\n

Tom Winnifrith \u2013 tomwinnifrith.com March 31, 2020<\/strong><\/h1>\n

Professor John Oxford is one of the UK\u2019s foremost virus experts and runs the UK\u2019s only secure isolation ward for testing treatments for viruses on behalf of a company called Open Orphan (ORPH). He has today sent a letter lashing out at a \u201cmedia epidemic\u201d and saying that Covid 19 is in fact less bad than a normal flu season. He says there will be fewer than 8,000 UK deaths from Coronavirus.<\/span><\/p>\n

I should declare that I am a shareholder in Open Orphan and as a company it is a winner from Covid 19 hysteria which makes Professor Oxford\u2019s comments all the more remarkable .<\/span><\/p>\n

Profressor Oxford\u2019s letter does contain a warning for fatter, diabetic younger people but his overall conclusion goes to show that Coronavirus is, perhaps, the greatest exercise in GroupThink folly this country has ever witnessed<\/a><\/strong><\/span>. As such the policy response of this Government, hurtling us into recession without any hard data to justify its decisions, must be seen as, potentially, the most catastrophic misjudgement, albeit one whipped up by a media and political mob.<\/span><\/p>\n

The bolding is mine and Oxford writes:<\/span><\/p>\n

With Marie\u2019s help and encouragement from the scientific group and Cathal Friel, I am re starting \u201cMy\u00a0View\u201d Series which will be as before, a mixture of Science and with a personal view. Marie is very important, not least since she can read my writing after a 5-year absence. I am pleased to be back. I am Chairing the Scientific Advisory Group (SAG), and I am of drawing up a list of the good and famous!<\/span><\/p>\n

We (SAG) will meet once per year.\u00a0Actually during today so far there are two initiatives which pleased me. Firstly, I can see the initiative in the 2000 bed Nightingale Hospital in East London. In the Great Pandemic of 1918, which killed 250,000 young people in the UK a Prize possession was not a doctor but a nurse. Quiet nursing saved many lives at home where otherwise most people died. There were more beds in 1919 than today around 180,000 but most were occupied by wounded soldiers. There were no antibiotics, but oxygen and masks were used for intensive patients<\/span><\/p>\n

On my next round Robin, I will discuss antivirals\/vaccines. In 1918 a group of pathologists began to make a vaccine against the microbe pneumococcus which caused half the deaths by super infection, but the war ended suddenly, and the work stopped. There were plans for civilian versions, which did work but these were never used on a large scale. After the second wave in 1919 everyone began to forget Spanish Influenza and the interest was not restarted until 1933. That year a group of scientists at St Bart\u2019s Hospital isolated a true influenza virus. By 1948 workers in the Soviet Union and the USA made killed vaccines which more or less we have today! The Russians and Americans also started to work with live influenza vaccines which we have today.<\/span><\/p>\n

But a second piece of good news is that the Chinese are lifting their social distancing and the country\u00a0is slowly getting back to normal. At the same time, an Australian Mathematical model paper is published which clearly predicts that compliance with \u201csocial distancing\u201d must be 80 or 90% otherwise it will not work. My friend Peter Doherty in Australia has reminded everyone that the positive effects of this intervention similar to which we are trying to do here) will take 2 weeks to filter through to fewer deaths etc, so do not expect instant results! Incidentally Peter has \u2018form\u2019 because of his Nobel Prize! There must be 80-90% compliance.<\/span><\/p>\n

More young people are showing serious clinical problems during infections particularly if diabetic and\u00a0overweight. So, the problems are not confined to the grandparents who seem to be behaving themselves at least as regards social distancing! Incidentally we now have 10 grandchildren including Juliette\u2019s latest a couple of weeks ago. Some of you may remember that Juliette worked for a while with Anthony and the medical team at the hotel quarantine in East London probably 10 years ago.<\/span><\/p>\n

Personally, I would say the best advice is to spend less time watching TV news which is sensational\u00a0and not very good. Personally, I view this Covid outbreak as akin to a bad winter influenza epidemic. In this case we have had 8000 deaths this last year in the \u2018at risk\u2019 groups viz over 65% people with heart disease etc. I do not feel this current Covid will exceed this number. We are suffering from a media epidemic!\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Finally, I am pleased that hVivo\/Open Orphan is out there looking for good contracts with COVID, RSV\u00a0and Influenza. In the long term all 3 viruses are important and the quarantine and laboratory expertise\u00a0 is key to the future. COVID<\/strong> will probably settle down or as a yearly disease like flu<\/strong>. All regards from my sunny North London garden and Science museum on the top floor!<\/span><\/p>\n

Professor John Oxford<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Virus expert predicts fewer deaths than seasonal flu — i.e. less than 8,000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,105,22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-205811","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-coronavirus","category-Health"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205811","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=205811"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205811\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":205814,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205811\/revisions\/205814"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=205811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=205811"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=205811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}