{"id":200296,"date":"2020-01-04T07:32:26","date_gmt":"2020-01-04T07:32:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=200296"},"modified":"2020-01-07T07:58:02","modified_gmt":"2020-01-07T07:58:02","slug":"soleimani-murder-what-could-happen-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=200296","title":{"rendered":"Soleimani Murder: What Could Happen Next?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Saker \u2013 The Unz Review Jan 3, 2020<\/h1>\n

First, a quick recap of the situation<\/strong><\/h3>\n

We need to begin by quickly summarizing what just happened:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. General Soleimani was in Baghdad on an official visit to attend the funeral of the Iraqis murdered by the US on the 29th<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. The US has now officially claimed responsibility for this murder<\/span><\/li>\n
  3. The Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has officially declared<\/strong><\/span><\/a> that \u201cHowever, a severe retaliation awaits the criminals who painted their corrupt hands with his and his martyred companions\u2019 blood last night<\/em>\u201c<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    The US paints itself \u2013 and Iran \u2013 into a corner<\/strong><\/h2>\n

    The Iranians simply had no other choice than to declare that there will be a retaliation. There are a few core problems with what happens next. Let\u2019s look at them one by one:<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. First, it is quite obvious from the flagwaving claptrap in the US that Uncle Shmuel is \u201clocked and loaded\u201d for even more macho actions and reaction. In fact, Secretary Esper has basically painted the US into what I would call an \u201cover-reaction corner\u201d by declaring that<\/a> \u201c<\/strong>the game has changed<\/strong><\/em>\u201d and that the US will take \u201c<\/strong>preemptive action<\/strong><\/em>\u201d whenever it feels threatened<\/strong>. Thus, the Iranians have to assume that the US will over-react to anything even remotely looking like an Iranian retaliation.<\/span><\/li>\n
    2. No less alarming is that this creates the absolutely perfect conditions for a false flag \u00e0 la \u201cUSS Liberty<\/a>\u201c<\/strong>. Right now, the Israelis have become at least as big a danger for US servicemen and facilities in the entire Middle-East as are the Iranians themselves. How? Simple! Fire a missile\/torpedo\/mine at any USN ship and blame Iran. We all know that if that happens the US political elites will do what they did the last time around: let US servicemen die and protect Israel at all costs (read up on the USS Liberty if you don\u2019t know about it)<\/span><\/li>\n
    3. There is also a very real risk of \u201cspontaneous retaliations\u201d by <\/strong>other<\/strong><\/em> parties (not Iran or Iranian allies)<\/strong>. In fact, in his message, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has specifically declared that \u201cMartyr Suleimani is an international face to the Resistance and all lovers of the Resistance share a demand in retaliation for his blood. All friends \u2013 as well as all enemies \u2013 must know the path of Fighting and Resistance will continue with double the will and the final victory is decidedly waiting for those who fight in this path.<\/em>\u201d He is right, Soleimani was loved and revered by many people all over the globe, some of whom might decided to avenge his death. This means that we might well see some kind of retaliation which, of course, will be blamed on Iran but which might not be the result of any Iranian actions at all.<\/span><\/li>\n
    4. Finally, should the Iranians decide not to retaliate, then we can be absolutely sure that Uncle Shmuel will see that as a proof of his putative \u201cinvincibility\u201d and take that as a license to engage in even more provocative actions.<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
      \"\"<\/a>

      A spiritual father kisses his beloved son<\/p><\/div>\n

      If we look at these four factors together we would have to come to the conclusion that Iran HAS to retaliate and HAS to do so publicly<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

      Why?<\/span><\/p>\n

      Because whether the Iranian do retaliate or not, they are almost guaranteed another US attack in retaliation for anything looking like a retaliation, whether Iran is involved or not<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

      The dynamics of internal US politics<\/strong><\/h3>\n

      Next, let\u2019s look at the internal political dynamics in the US:<\/span><\/p>\n

      I have always claimed that Donald Trump is a \u201cdisposable President\u201d for the Neocons<\/strong>. What do I mean by that? I mean that the Neocons have used Trump to do all sorts of truly fantastically dumb things (pretty much ALL his policy decisions towards Israel and\/or Syria) for a very simple reason. If Trump does something extremely dumb and dangerous, he will either get away with it, in which case the Neocons will be happy, or he will either fail or the consequences of his decisions will be catastrophic, at which point the Neocons will jettison him and replace him by an even more subservient individual (say Pence or Pelosi). In other words, for the Neocons to have Trump do something both fantastically dangerous and fantastically stupid is a win-win situation<\/strong>!<\/span><\/p>\n

      Right now, the Dems (still the party favored by the Neocons) seem to be dead-set into committing political suicide with that ridiculous (and treacherous!) impeachment nonsense. Now think about this from the Neocon point of view. They might be able to get the US goyim to strike Iran AND get rid of Trump. I suppose that their thinking will go something like this:<\/span><\/p>\n

      Trump looks set to win 2020. We don\u2019t want that. However, we have been doing everything in our power to trigger a US attack on Iran since pretty much 1979. Let\u2019s have Trump do that. If he \u201cwins\u201d (by whatever definition \u2013 more about that further below), we win. If he loses, the Iranians will still be in a world of pain and we can always jettison him like a used condom (used to supposedly safely screw somebody with no risks to yourself). Furthermore, if the region explodes, this will help our beloved Bibi and unite US Jewry behind Israel. Finally, if Israel gets attacked, we will immediately demand (and, of course, obtain) a massive US attack on Iran, supported by the entire US political establishment and media. And, lastly, should Israel be hit hard, then we can always use our nukes and tell the goyim<\/em> that \u201cIran wants to gas 6 million Jews and wipe the only democracy in the Middle-East off the face of the earth\u201d or something equally insipid.<\/span><\/p>\n

      Ever since Trump made it into the White House, we saw him brown-nose the Israel Lobby with a delectation which is extreme even by US standards. I suppose that this calculation goes something along the lines of \u201cwith the Israel Lobby behind me, I am safe in the White House\u201d. He is obviously too stupidly narcissistic to realize that he has been used all along. To his (or one of his key advisor\u2019s) credit, he did NOT allow the Neocons to start a major war against Russia, China, the DPRK, Venezuela, Yemen, Syria, etc. However, Iran is a totally different case as it is the \u201cnumber one\u201d target the Neocons and Israel wanted strike and destroy. The Neocons even had this motto<\/a> \u201cboys go to Baghdad, real men go to Tehran<\/em>\u201c. Now that Uncle Shmuel has lost all this wars of choice, now that the US armed forces have no credibility left, now is the time to restore the \u201cmacho\u201d self-image of Uncle Shmuel and, indeed, \u201cgo to Tehran\u201d so to speak.<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n

      My statement on the killing of Qassem Soleimani. pic.twitter.com\/4Q9tlLAYFB<\/a><\/p>\n

      — Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) January 3, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n