{"id":197378,"date":"2019-11-04T11:58:26","date_gmt":"2019-11-04T11:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=197378"},"modified":"2019-11-08T07:48:37","modified_gmt":"2019-11-08T07:48:37","slug":"farages-high-risk-strategy-for-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=197378","title":{"rendered":"Farage\u2019s High Risk Strategy for Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">Tom Luongo \u2013 tomluongo.me Nov 2, 2019<\/h1>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Farage-brexit-march-14.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-197382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Farage-brexit-march-14.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"315\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Farage-brexit-march-14.jpg 789w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Farage-brexit-march-14-300x175.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Farage-brexit-march-14-768x448.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Nigel Farage has thrown down the gauntlet to Boris Johnson over the election strategy. Johnson has refused.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Of course he did. Farage made an offer Johnson couldn\u2019t accept, ditch the Withdrawal Treaty he just negotiated with the EU and truly campaign on a far harder Brexit than Johnson has ever advocated for.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">If he doesn\u2019t do that face Farage\u2019s Brexit Party standing candidates in more than 500 seats and potentially split the Leave vote.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Mike Shedlock thinks Farage\u2019s deal is \u201c<a style=\"color: #ccffff;\" href=\"https:\/\/moneymaven.io\/mishtalk\/economics\/farage-makes-preposterous-brexit-alliance-demand-9q2IV2VFxEqljl6eEqkSdg\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Preposterous<\/strong><\/span><\/a>.\u201d Mike is wrong. It is the only offer Farage could offer the Tories and stay in any way relevant in a time of electoral chaos and party fluidity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">It is the kind of \u2018big ask\u2019 that his friend Donald Trump would make. It may be an opening bid in a complex negotiation that ends with them making a pact towards the end of the campaign.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Frankly that only happens if the polls shift considerably from where they are.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Politics is not a game for the timid or the weak. If Farage is to be a big player in British politics he needs to act like he is a big player in British politics.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">And that means sticking to his core message, a real Brexit where the U.K. regains sovereignty over itself in a timely manner. 2022 is not timely for the U.K.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">It is, however, timely for the EU, given the realities of its continent-wide political uprisings against its rule.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Farage is smartly not just saying that Brexit is his party\u2019s raison d\u2019etre, he\u2019s using Brexit as the means to change <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a style=\"color: #ccffff; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/moneyandmarkets.com\/how-brexit-will-end\/\">the post-Brexit political environment, something the Tories are absolutely dead set against<\/a><\/strong><\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Farage has positioned the Brexit Party on a \u201cChange Politics for Good\u201d platform that <strong>proposes sweeping changes to the system from proportional representation to a written constitution and reforming the House of Lords.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">This is, as Monty Python would say, something completely different.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">The statement itself cuts to what\u2019s fundamentally wrong. It\u2019s aspirational and tells the voters they still have the real power after three years of parliamentary shenanigans designed to marginalize them while being insufferably condescending.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">We\u2019ll find out in the next couple of weeks as to whether Farage et.al. can make the case to British voters that these changes go hand in hand with Brexit. Are these people not only tired of the endless Brexit wrangling but now truly awake to the depth of the betrayal of their political representatives?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">If they are then Boris Johnson will have a real problem come December 12th.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Because that is a platform, beyond Brexit, that cuts across all party lines.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">The Tories are rallying around their common message now that they have an election. There are serious misgivings within in the party on Johnson\u2019s deal and the strategy. But fear of losing Brexit has motivated the strongest Brexiteers to cave to what Mike rightly points out has been the political reality.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">But that was before the election was secured.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Hard core Leavers like Marc Francois and Steven Baker, prominent members of the ERG \u2014 European Research Group \u2014 are on board with the deal and have called out Farage as lying about it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">But, arguing that these guys being on board with Boris\u2019 treaty means it\u2019s a good deal is simply appeal to authority while missing the much larger point.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">The Tories are the main mechanism by which the British Deep State and political elite maintain control over not only British policy, but also that of the U.S. and much of Europe. Don\u2019t for a second think that these ERG guys are any less compromised in the end than the outright Remainers like Ken Clarke, Dominik Grieve or Philip Hammond.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">They will always put party before country in the end. Most of them proved it during Theresa May\u2019s multiple rounds of blackmail last spring by eventually voting for that deal because, ultimately, they are spineless.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Fear of losing Brexit is what motivates them. Fear of Farage upsetting the apple cart in Westminster is also very real.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Farage may be overstating the threats within the political declaration to the U.K.\u2019s bargaining position during Free Trade Agreement talks, but he also knows the EU side of the ledger far better than any of the newly-promoted back-benchers in the ERG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">So, if I\u2019m going to resort to appealing to an authority on the subject I\u2019m going with the guy who put the world in this situation in the first place, Nigel Farage.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">That said, however, Farage\u2019s strategy is a risky one. There\u2019s no doubt about that. With the most recently published polls putting Johnson at his peak of popularity and the Brexit Party languishing around 10% Farage has a lot of ground to gain in six weeks.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">There are real worries that Farage\u2019s support in the Labour heartland of the Midlands and the Northeast isn\u2019t as strong as he thinks it is. But, given how fundamentally split the Remain vote is between the Liberal Democrats and Labour, I don\u2019t see how Farage hurts Johnson unless Farage\u2019s numbers rise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">And Johnson will absolutely try to duck any head-to-head meetings between them just like Theresa May did.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">But you don\u2019t change things by being timid. Farage doesn\u2019t win loyalty by going up to Boris Johnson, bowl in hand, and asking for another ladle of gruel. You act like the big dog and you challenge the alpha who, to this point, doesn\u2019t even know what he signed the U.K. up for.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">I maintain that Johnson is a fake Leaver and none of his behavior has contravened that, including duping the ERG into backing a now unnecessary Withdrawal Treaty which served its purpose to get a general election to get rid of a rotten Parliament.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Johnson and the ERG know this, and yet, they will persist in putting party first, betraying Northern Ireland, keeping the U.K. as close to the failing EU as possible and all the while calling it Brexit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Given those circumstances would you expect Nigel Farage to offer Boris Johnson anything more?<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\"><a style=\"color: #ccffff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.patreon.com\/goldgoatsnguns\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Join my Patreon<\/strong><\/span><\/a> if you want to get exclusive commentary on these matters as well as the Gold Goats \u2018n Guns Monthly Newsletter.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\"><a style=\"color: #ccffff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brave.com\/tom148\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Install the Brave Browser<\/strong><\/span><\/a> if you want to regain some of your privacy and support all the creators Google thinks you shouldn\u2019t<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/donate\/?token=XzyDWLowu3sEFi_7PvyhkGm56xmUroFEkGNrs55wns8jiC17ud-Cfe2Ulq9iSbdRJXF0gG&amp;country.x=US&amp;locale.x=US\"><input title=\"PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!\" alt=\"Donate with PayPal button\" name=\"submit\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypalobjects.com\/en_US\/i\/btn\/btn_donateCC_LG.gif\" type=\"image\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2019\/11\/02\/farages-high-risk-strategy-for-brexit\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nigel Farage has become a force to be reckoned with in British politics and he could provide a surprise in the forthcoming general election <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,58,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-197378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-Current_Affairs","category-Political_Intrigue"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=197378"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197378\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":197385,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197378\/revisions\/197385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=197378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=197378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=197378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}