{"id":195559,"date":"2019-09-30T07:32:44","date_gmt":"2019-09-30T07:32:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=195559"},"modified":"2019-10-03T06:21:15","modified_gmt":"2019-10-03T06:21:15","slug":"its-a-numbers-game-in-the-coup-to-stop-johnson-and-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=195559","title":{"rendered":"It&#8217;s a Numbers Game in the Coup to Stop Johnson and Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">Tom Luongo \u2013 Gold Goats and Guns Sept 27, 2019<\/h1>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2019\/09\/24\/coup-begun-empire-strikes-back-everywhere\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ccffff; text-decoration: underline;\">I told you the other day that there was a coup underway <\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">by the elites I call<em> The Davos Crowd<\/em>. It started with the British Supreme Court overturning centuries of the balance of powers and ended with the Democrats in Congress announcing impeachment proceedings against President Trump.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">When the decision came down from the Supreme Court I began my weekly article for Strategic Culture Foundation. <a style=\"color: #ccffff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.strategic-culture.org\/news\/2019\/09\/27\/stopping-brexit-is-about-saving-the-european-union\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>They published it today<\/strong><\/span>.<\/a> In that piece I outline what the dynamics are and what the options were for both sides of the Brexit conundrum.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">So, now with this ruling in place what\u2019s next and what\u2019s really going on tactically and strategically?<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Johnson, for his part, refuses to resign. He can\u2019t or won\u2019t get anything past this hostile Parliament. This Parliament will reconvene to push more legislation to attempt to tie his hands against negotiating with the EU from any position of strength.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Remember what made this ruling necessary. Parliament doesn\u2019t want any meaningful Brexit and refused to accept Johnson\u2019s offer of a General Election to allow the people to form a new government to break the deadlock.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Why? Because they know that a new Parliament would be decidedly more Leave than Remain. The polls are perfectly clear on this. Neither Jo Swinson of the Liberal Democrats nor Jeremy Corbyn of Labour have a prayer in hell of becoming Prime Minister.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">If they did, they would have accepted Johnson\u2019s offer. In fact, his offer was derided as a cheap political trick.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">If Johnson were to resign here, he would be replaced by a caretaker government under Corbyn, most likely, which would then table a Second Referendum with two versions of Remain on the ballot.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">This strategy neatly bypasses the original referendum to ensure the threat to the European Union is nullified.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">After the shouting match in Parliament on Tuesday Jeremy Corbyn declined to table a motion of No Confidence. I believe his side of the House was as surprised by Johnson\u2019s refusal to step down as Johnson and crew were taken aback by Corbyn\u2019s refusal of a General Election.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">And now that they\u2019ve had a couple of days to think it over, we now know that this is what they are planning to do.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Nicola Sturgeon, the head of the Scottish National Party (SNP) tweeted out:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Agree with this. VONC, opposition unites around someone for sole purpose of securing an extension, and then immediate General Election. Nothing is risk free but leaving Johnson in post to force through no deal &#8211; or even a bad deal &#8211; seems like a terrible idea to me. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VYSOLLdR21\">https:\/\/t.co\/VYSOLLdR21<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nicola Sturgeon (@NicolaSturgeon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NicolaSturgeon\/status\/1177523509632913413?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 27, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Furthermore, the Liberal Democrats are talking in public about a coup against Johnson. But they won\u2019t move against him until they \u201cknow Jeremy has the numbers.\u201d Every day they delay is another day in which he doesn\u2019t have the numbers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">So, why wouldn\u2019t he?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">At least 20 former members of the Conservative Party, when push came to shove, would vote with Labour, the LibDems and the SNP on this. But, the bigger question is how many from their own parties would \u2018defy the whip\u2019 and not vote against the Government.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">They would \u2018defy the whip\u2019 because they are rightly scared of a General Election which would see them booted out of office. But, that said, would they do it? My guess is yes because the pressure on them at this point to betray Brexit is enormous.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">The entire British political and social elite want this pesky Brexit bother binned so they can move on with erecting their new, more perfect European Union on the ashes of trivial things like sovereignty and basic human dignity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Editorial comments aside, here\u2019s the situation as it stands. If the vote happens and Johnson is deposed, they will have 14 days under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act to form a \u2018caretaker government.\u2019 If Corbyn \u2018has the numbers\u2019 and the agreement from the other parties then this will happen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">It will take All of Labour (247 seats), the SNP (35), the LibDems (18) and at least another 11 MP\u2019s to get this done. And then they have to also agree on what their proposal to the EU is.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Most of Corbyn\u2019s shadow cabinet are with the LibDems and want Article 50 revoked and the whole thing called off. Corbyn doesn\u2019t want that and has only reluctantly been dragged down this course in order to try and preserve some semblance of Brexit, which he does believe in.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">What they will offer the EU is the biggest stumbling block to this backroom deal. But, at the final moment, goal-oriented behavior will take over and an agreement will be reached.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">After Johnson is gone and Corbyn installed, the Benn bill will come into effect, an extension will be negotiated and a bill for a 2nd referendum will be tabled immediately. Once Corbyn secures a deal with the EU that referendum will happen with two choices, Remain (which shouldn\u2019t be on the ballot) and Corbyn\u2019s deal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Basically Remain vs. Remain. This will ensure that the most forceful point of the Leave camp, that the 17.4 million people who voted to Leave are being ignored, is neutralized.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">I told you, only Hobson\u2019s Choices from here on out for the unwashed, thick and uppity plebes who think they have any other obligation than to be tax cows milked by vampiric oligarchs convinced of their own superiority.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">Then they will go for a general election hoping that the Referendum will dispirit British voters to the point of not voting, which will give Remain the win and the General Election will be a moot point. The outcome would likely be a hung Parliament, as the malaise over Brexit betrayed will keep people at home. Parliament will be paralyzed and in no position to negotiate the final terms of surrender to the EU or carry out the next stage of the negotiations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">That\u2019s why the Second Referendum is so important. It gives Remainers all the ammunition to throw back at the Leavers saying, \u201cSee the people have spoken!\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">It\u2019s vicious and dishonest, but that\u2019s politics, folks.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">But all of that is moot if they don\u2019t have the numbers. Then Johnson will continue to run the clock down, go to Brussels on October 17th and try to work for a deal that isn\u2019t BRINO \u2014 Brexit in Name Only. That\u2019s why it\u2019s obvious that there will be a coup against Johnson without an election.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ccffff;\">The strategy now is to whip MPs into overthrowing Johnson\u2019s government, securing that extension and destroying what\u2019s left of the British political system.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2019\/09\/27\/its-a-numbers-game-in-the-coup-to-stop-johnson-and-brexit\/\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The British political elite want Brexit binned so they can move on with erecting a new EU on the ashes of trivial things like sovereignty and basic human dignity<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,58],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-195559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-Current_Affairs"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=195559"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195559\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":195561,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195559\/revisions\/195561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=195559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=195559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=195559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}