{"id":186137,"date":"2019-04-02T09:15:33","date_gmt":"2019-04-02T09:15:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=186137"},"modified":"2019-04-08T06:48:30","modified_gmt":"2019-04-08T06:48:30","slug":"venezuela-a-new-syria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=186137","title":{"rendered":"Venezuela, a New Syria"},"content":{"rendered":"

Israel Shamir \u2013 The Unz Review April 2, 2019<\/h1>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/h5>\n
A few days ago, an Ilyushin IL-62M liner carried<\/a> <\/span>over a hundred Russian soldiers and officers to Caracas. Symbolically, they made a stopover in Syria, as if saying that Venezuela is the next country after Syria to be saved from ruin and dismemberment. The military mission was led by the Head of General Staff, General Tonkoshkurov (\u201cThin-Skinned\u201d, a name that would thrill Vladimir Nabokov).<\/h5>\n
\u2018Don\u2019t you dare, exclaimed John Bolton, meddle in the Western Hemisphere! Hands off Venezuela! It is our back yard!\u2019 The Russians didn\u2019t buy it. Some time ago they tried to object to the US tanks being positioned in Estonia, a brief drive from St Petersburg, and all they\u2019ve got was preaching that sovereignty means sovereignty, and Estonia does not have to ask for Russian permission to receive American military assistance. Now they repeated this American sermon verbatim to John Bolton and his boss. Get out of Syria first, they added.<\/h5>\n
This is a new level in the Russian-American relations, or should we say confrontation. For a very long time, the Russians convinced themselves that their liking for the United States was mutual, or at least would be returned one day. However, this stage is over, the scales fell off their eyes and they finally realised America\u2019s implacable enmity. \u2018These Russians are really dumb if it dawned on them only now\u2019, you\u2019d murmur. It is enough to read comments to the New York Times<\/a><\/span> piece regarding Mueller\u2019s exoneration of Trump to learn that hatred to Russia is a staple diet of American elites, on a par with love to Israel. That\u2019s where we are.<\/h5>\n
But Russians had an opposing tradition. Russians had had tender feelings for the great nation beyond the ocean in the days of Tsars, in the Soviet days, and even more so in post-Soviet years. They liked America\u2019s derring-do, its hardy pioneers, farmers, jazz, Hollywood. They compared American \u201cGo West, young man\u201d with their own exploration of Siberia. They compared their fast-growing cities to Chicago. Khrushchev admired the corn and called upon his people to compete with America peacefully. Russian Westernised educated classes (\u201cintelligentsia\u201d) sided with the US during Vietnam war and through the Middle East wars.<\/h5>\n
This love for America had been so entrenched that there were (practically) no Russian\/Soviet movies with American villains. That\u2019s right \u2013 there is no equivalent to Rambo\u2019s antagonists<\/span><\/a>, or to Igor of classic horror. Americans in Russian films are good guys \u2013 with a very few exceptions of B-movies. \u2018We don\u2019t trust Russia; we never will. They\u2019re never going to be our friend\u2026 We\u2019re going to kick them every single time.\u2019- these memorable words of Nikki Haley<\/span><\/a> had no Russian counterpart, and this sentiment wasn\u2019t known in Russia.<\/h5>\n
Now it is likely to change. The latest Russian action movie The Balkan Line<\/a><\/span> presented a Russian commando team operating in Bosnia and Kosovo against NATO allies, Kosovo organ-harvesting Islamists \u2013 along the lines of the Turkish thriller The Valley of the Wolves<\/span><\/a>. It came out timely, at the anniversary of the Belgrade bombing, the most traumatic event for post-Soviet Russians. When Clinton ordered the bombing of Russian ally and coreligionist Serbia, despite Russian pleas and intercession, the Russians understood that their regime change had brought calamity on their heads. Russian PM Primakov learned of Clinton decision en route to Washington, and he ordered his plane to make a U-turn<\/a><\/span> over the Atlantic. In a few months, Putin took over the Russian presidency, and Russia began its more assertive, but still America-friendly course.<\/h5>\n
However, the US insisted on treating Russia as a defeated state, like Iraq after Saddam or Japan in 1945. That was too much. Russians could accept being treated as a vassal, but an important vassal, a vassal to pay heed and listen to. The support of Islamist insurgency<\/span><\/a> in Chechnya or encouragement of Georgian aggression was not the way an upright suzerain may treat his vassal. The link snapped.<\/h5>\n
Until recently, we had Putin\u2019s version of what went wrong \u2013 it was presented in his interviews with Oliver Stone<\/a><\/span>. Now we have the American version, and amazingly, it isn\u2019t different as facts go. The American version of events had been presented by William J Burns<\/span><\/a>, a veteran American diplomat and the Ambassador to Moscow. It had been summarised by Vladimir Golstein<\/a><\/span> of Brown University:<\/h5>\n
    \n
  1. \n
    Russia was expected to act like US obedient junior partner.<\/h5>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
    \u201cAmerica thought that Moscow would eventually get accustomed to being our junior partner, and grudgingly accommodate NATO expansion even up to its border with Ukraine. Alas, President Bill Clinton\u2019s push for the eastward expansion of NATO reinforced Russian resentment.\u201d \u2013 Surprise, surprise!<\/h5>\n
      \n
    1. \n
      Russia expected a quid pro quo for its support of the US in the wake of 9\/11, but \u201cPutin fundamentally misread American interests and politics. The Bush administration had no desire\u2014and saw no reason\u2014to trade anything for a Russian partnership against al\u2011Qaeda. It had little inclination to concede much to a declining power.\u201d<\/h5>\n<\/li>\n
    2. \n
      Americans paid no attention to Russian warnings. The ambassador tells of Putin warning him to hold back the maverick Georgian president from attacking Russian clients, but this warning had been ignored.<\/h5>\n<\/li>\n
    3. \n
      The US-led regime change in Libya \u201cunnerved Putin; he reportedly watched the grisly video of the demise of the Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi\u2014caught hiding in a drainage pipe and killed by Western-backed rebels\u2014over and over again\u201d. Apparently, at that point Putin understood finally that there is no way to survive unless he asserts Russian position. After the RussiaGate, enmity between the old adversaries rose to unprecedented heights.<\/h5>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
      Non, Je ne regrette rien<\/span><\/a>, and in particular I do not regret that Russian-American relations have gone from bad to worse. The world needs balance, and Russians do provide a counterweight to the heavy-handed Uncle Sam. The worst time in recent history was around 1990, when Russia practically ceased to exist as an important factor of international politics. Then, the US stormed over Panama and Iraq, bombed Belgrade, created al Qaeda, and destroyed its own working class. If uppity darkie bus driver Maduro would try to say \u2018no\u2019 to Washington in 1990s, he would be kidnapped, arrested, tried for, say, child abuse or drugs trafficking and jailed for thirty years. The then Russian president Yeltsin wouldn\u2019t even notice between his drunken bouts that Venezuela had reverted to direct colonial rule.<\/h5>\n
      Fortunately, Russia and the US are barely on speaking terms, and countries wishing to escape the imperial diktat have a choice. Venezuela is on the line. President Maduro stressed that the Russian military advisers\u2019 visit had been arranged for a long time in advance. Though technically true, during the last month the Russian position changed noticeably. When the US blocked Venezuelan bank accounts, Maduro said they moved their accounts to the Russian GazPromBank. The Russian oilmen were visibly unhappy about his revelation. I spoke to a top manager of an oil company who bewailed the incautious words of Maduro. \u201cOur bank will come under the US sanctions, and we shall be ruined, \u2013 he said. \u2013 Why couldn\u2019t Maduro keep his mouth shut? We would manage his account, but quietly, without challenging Americans\u201d. Other important Moscow officials said that Venezuela is lost anyway, and it\u2019s better to forget about it.<\/h5>\n
      But the visit of Venezuelan Vice President Se\u00f1ora Delcy Rodriguez to Moscow had changed the mood. This elegant and dynamic lady is an excellent and convincing speaker. She made a star appearance<\/a><\/span> in press conference with Sergey Lavrov. In a few well-chosen words she unmade the web of lies woven around her country. Despite sanctions, Venezuela lives better than its neighbors Colombia, Guatemala, Honduras. There are six million Colombian economic and political refugees in Venezuela; and they do not want to go back to their country. They prefer to suffer in socialist Venezuela. Now, when thousands of Central Americans are trekking to Rio Grande, the US should take care of them instead of worrying about Venezuela. The current exodus occurs in the most obliging client-states of Washington. We also learned that the US stole $31 billion of Venezuelan assets and gave 1 (one) billion to the Random Guy they appointed as Venezuelan President.<\/h5>\n
      For a few days, Russia hesitated. The proponents of a pro-American line are quite powerful in Moscow, and they called for dropping Caracas. They reminded people of a real and imminent danger: the US can block Russian dollar assets and forbid all dollar transactions for Russian companies. This sort of warfare had been tried against North Korea and Iran with devastating effect.<\/h5>\n
      Russians expect this move; for this reason they beef up their gold reserves and sell their US bonds and obligations. They expect it to happen, sooner or later, but they would rather postpone it as long as possible.<\/h5>\n
      However, despite this treat, Putin decided to support Venezuela\u2019s Maduro. Thus a new level in the hybrid war had been broken. Venezuelans had moved the headquarters of their oil company to Moscow, and defiant Russia has accepted them.<\/h5>\n
      The US immediately responded by cyber-attacking Venezuelan power stations and causing an extensive blackout.<\/h5>\n
      It is probably the first large-scale cyber-attack upon the infrastructure of an enemy. The destruction of Iranian centrifuges by means of Stuxnet<\/a> <\/span>was still limited in scope and did not interfere with the general economy. The Venezuela electric grid had been recently updated and extensively modernised by the big international company ABB. When the upgrading was done, the company said in its press release that now Venezuela has the best and most advanced electric equipment. Apparently, the most advanced equipment is more vulnerable to cyber threats.<\/h5>\n
      Every Washington-organised regime change in Latin America usually included an attack on the power grid (for instance, removal of Chile\u2019s Allende), but until now the adversary had to dirty his hands physically, by sabotaging power stations and transmission lines. Now they have learned how to do it from outside, from Miami. Venezuelans noticed<\/span><\/a> that the first warning of their blackout had been made by Marco Rubio: \u201cMarco Rubio announced hours before<\/span><\/a> the blackout that \u201cVenezuelans will live the most severe shortage of food and gasoline,\u201d revealing he had knowledge that some kind of shock would happen in the next few hours.\u201d The Moon of Alabama also accepts<\/a><\/span> the cyber-attack explanation, though hedges it by reminding that \u2018shit happens\u2019, and the US has also experienced blackouts.<\/h5>\n
      I asked a Russian expert on cyber warfare, and he told me that a cyber-attack on infrastructure is feasible. He connected it with the US struggle against the Chinese communication giant Huawei: it is the only major manufacturer that provides no backdoor for NSA spying operations.<\/h5>\n
      Russians decided to give Venezuela a helping hand. They had sent cyber experts, a military mission; they buy Venezuela\u2019s oil and break American boycott of the Bolivarian republic. They also help Iran to go through sanctions.<\/h5>\n
      Russians have few ambitions. They do not want to rule the world, or even to dominate their neighbors. They do not want to fight the Empire. They would be content to be left in peace. But if pushed, and now they are being pushed, they will respond. In Russian view, even the most hostile American politicians will desist before the Doomsday collision. And if not, let it be.<\/h5>\n
      Israel Shamir can be reached at adam@israelshamir.net<\/a><\/em><\/h5>\n
      This article was first published at The Unz Review<\/em><\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      In Russian view, even the most hostile American politicians will desist before the Doomsday collision. And if not, let it be<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,58],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-186137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-Current_Affairs"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186137","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=186137"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186137\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":186142,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186137\/revisions\/186142"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=186137"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=186137"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=186137"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}