{"id":179828,"date":"2018-12-01T05:38:40","date_gmt":"2018-12-01T05:38:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=179828"},"modified":"2018-12-06T04:39:51","modified_gmt":"2018-12-06T04:39:51","slug":"uber-loser-poroshenko-goes-full-saakashvili","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=179828","title":{"rendered":"Uber-loser Poroshenko goes \u201cfull Saakashvili\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Saker \u2013 Nov 30, 2018<\/h1>\n

[This article was written for the Unz Review<\/a><\/span>]<\/h3>\n

Petro Poroshenko is in deep trouble. His ratings have been in the single-digit range in spite of a vast propaganda effort, and his latest attempt to create a salvific crisis involving the usual \u201cRussian aggression\u201d has not only failed but appears to be backfiring.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"The<\/a>

The Ukronazi commander-in-chief hard at work. Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n

It is now becoming abundantly clear that the Ukronazi provocation was not only breathtakingly stupid and irresponsible, but also breathtakingly poorly planned and executed. The documents seized by the FSB on the Ukrainian ships show that the Ukrainian captains were given the order to \u201ccovertly\u201d sneak under the Kerch bridge<\/a><\/strong><\/span>. I have no idea what the Ukronazi junta leaders were thinking, maybe they were drunk or terrified to tell Poroshenko that this was a suicidal mission (most likely he was too drunk to care anyway), but the fact that they could even imagine that three old boats could somehow sneak around the Crimean Peninsula and then covertly pass under the Kerch bridge is just amazing (as is the fact that the crews failed to destroy this damning evidence!). One of the most heavily monitored sections of our planet, right next to a war zone, which has been the object of innumerable threats, and yet they thought that they could somehow avoid being detected and intercepted. Wow, just wow!<\/span><\/p>\n

As for the crews of these three tiny ships, they all owe their lives to the FSB Coastguard officers who could have merely blown all three ships away in seconds, but who clearly did their utmost to avoid killing any of the Ukrainians. Only after many hours of absolutely ridiculous slow speed maneuvering (if you speak Russian, you can listen to the entire radio exchange between the two sides right here<\/a><\/strong><\/span>), did the Russians eventually fire a few shots and ram the Ukrainian tug.\u00a0 Frankly, these Coastguard officers deserve some kind of humanitarian award.<\/span><\/p>\n

[Sidebar: (Soviet and now) Russian Border Guards should in no case be assumed to be some kind of Russian version of the sort of border guards you see in the West. The truth is that the Russian border guards are an elite force whose level of training can be compared with the famous Airborne Forces. Their role is not only to check visas and look for contraband, but also to be a real fighting force which, in case of war, would be tasked with resisting the enemy until the regular armed forces take over. They are subordinated to the FSB (in the past to the KGB) because they do conduct intelligence operations and because they are a key element in the Russian counter-terrorist and counter-insurgency capabilities. This is why such elite special forces as the KGB Vympel Spetsnaz<\/em> unit so often recruited border guards. A good friend of mine who used to be a Vympel commander with the rank of Colonel told me how in Afghanistan they recruited as many border guards as paratroopers because in his opinion \u201cthey were at least as tough and disciplined\u201d as the airborne soldiers. The Russian border guards are also equipped with modern and powerful weapons and can conduct sub-unit level combat operations. The Ukrainian officers must have known this, and thus must have realized that regardless of the number of weapons they had onboard (quite a lot, actually, see here<\/a><\/strong><\/span>), they had no chance whatsoever to prevail. Besides, the Ukrainian ships are tiny and old while the Russian border guards could count on Black Sea Fleet and Aerospace and Ground Forces support \u2013 hence the Ka-52s and Su-25\u2019s scrambled to meet the Ukrainian reinforcements coming from Odessa. Frankly, I don\u2019t think that even a full US Marine Expeditionary Unit could cross the Kerch Strait, let alone the Ukrainians) the geography just favors the defending side too much]<\/span><\/p>\n

There is a broad consensus in both Russia and the Ukraine that the primary goal of Poroshenko was to create a pretext to introduce martial law and cancel the elections. Once introduced, such a martial law can easily be prolonged for as long as needed; see what the French did. He planned to introduce martial law over the entire Nazi-occupied Ukraine, and then prolong it for as long as needed; enough to cancel the elections and then harshly deal with any protests. The plan completely failed.<\/span><\/p>\n

First, all the opposition parties immediately understood what this was all about, and they all vehemently protested.\u00a0 When the text came to a vote in the Rada, it was massively watered-down and, as a result, the martial law will only be introduced for one month and only in the following regions of the Ukraine:<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Martial<\/a>

Martial law areas marked in red (Note: this is a *Ukie* map, *they* put Crimea in blue, not me!) Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n

This is bad, very bad news for Petro.<\/span><\/p>\n

First, these areas are where the regime suspects the locals of pro-Russian sympathies (they are right, by the way).\u00a0 But the risk for Petro does not come at all from the pro-Russian folks; the real danger for him comes from the various nationalist legal opposition movements who have their power base in the blue areas which will not be covered by this law.<\/span><\/p>\n

Second, since the law was introduced for only one month and since it includes an obligation not to cancel the upcoming elections, it will be hard for Petro to crack down on the propaganda capabilities of his opponents (lead by Iulia Timoshenko).<\/span><\/p>\n

Third, Petro probably hoped that the Russians would simply use a few missiles or blow the Ukrainian three ship armada into smithereens. Alas, the evil Moskal\u2019s did nothing of the sort, and they captured all three vessels and their crews. So as panic-generating incidents go, this one was a terrible flop. In fact, the Russians are now using these ships and crews for their own propaganda which ridicules Petro and (correctly) states that the regime in Kiev sent these sailors to certain death in total, abject indifference. None of that will increase Poroshenko\u2019s ratings\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n

Fourth, it appears that Poroshenko is really going \u201cfull-Saakashvili\u201d and might even become the Empire\u2019s worst Uber-loser which, by the way, can get him into real trouble with his bosses in Washington and Langley (who ditched Saakashvili when he proved to be a worthless loser). Frankly, the Empire would be *much* better off with Timoshenko in charge rather than this Eltsin-like alcoholic imbecile.<\/span><\/p>\n

So the big question #1 is: is there a viable alternative to Poroshenko for the Empire?<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\"Ukraine<\/a>

Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n

To answer that we first need to answer another basic question: is there a public, official, opposition in Nazi-controlled Ukraine or not?<\/span><\/p>\n

The answer is: both yes and no.<\/span><\/p>\n

First, no, not in the sense of some more or less decent, real, opposition.<\/span><\/p>\n

But yes, in the sense that the junta which seized power is composed of many different factions including oligarch\/mobsters \u00e0 la<\/em> Kolomoskii, neo-Nazis \u00e0 la<\/em> Farion, bona fide<\/em> Nazis \u00e0 la<\/em> Tiagnibok and assorted nutcases like Liashko.\u00a0 There is also Iulia Timoshenko, a very sharp and therefore potentially dangerous foe who has powerful backers in the USA<\/a><\/strong><\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Take a look at these latest ratings, and you will see that in spite of a huge \u201cadministrative resource\u201d (Russian euphemism for abuse of government power), Petro barely makes it to 9.9% which means that his real rating must be somewhere in the 3-5 percent range.<\/span><\/p>\n

And, remember, time is running out. On December 27th the martial law will be lifted (barring yet another Ukro-provocation to prove to the world that Russia has attacked the Ukraine yet again).\u00a0 Well, that is the official plan.\u00a0 In reality, it will most likely be prolonged with some more excuses about the mythical \u201cRussian aggression\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Also, consider this: if Poroshenko gets the boot, so will his criminally psychopathic thugs like (certified clinically insane) Parubii, the \u201cbloody pastor\u201d and war criminal Turchinov and the rest of the gang. Klimkin, since he appears to be in the CIA\u2019s payroll, might make it out in time, but for the rest of them the risk is real and ranges from long jail sentences to being shot. Don\u2019t expect Iulia Timoshenko to show any mercy either; not after Petro stuck her in jail.<\/span><\/p>\n

True, while these folks all hate each other, they all feed from the same two mangers: rabid russophobia and total dependence on the Empire. And while they are united in their hatred for everything Russian, they hate each other just only a tiny little bit less (some probably even more). Think of how the SS butchered the SA, how the Stalinists purged the Party from Trotskyists or how the Democrats are trying to overthrow Trump by hook or by crook, and you will see how the factions inside the same gang *always* struggle for power and gun for each other.<\/span><\/p>\n

Finally, there are many signs that at least Trump himself does not care very much about the Ukraine, albeit there are enough rabid russophobes amongst his puppeteers to compensate for Trump\u2019s lack of interest and alleged dislike for Poroshenko.\u00a0 For Poroshenko\u2019s point of view, the Americans either don\u2019t care enough or simply lost control of the situation, a time-honored US tradition with their \u201csons of bitches\u201d like Saddam, Noriega and many, many others.<\/span><\/p>\n

By the way, various Ukrainian sources also report that both Merkel and Stoltenberg told Poroshenko that the election cannot be canceled. Considering that Poroshenko is almost sure to lose these elections, this might indicate that Germany and NATO are ditching Petro.<\/span><\/p>\n

Add to this that Timoshenko would be a much better agent for the Empire and you can see why the regime is freaking out.<\/span><\/p>\n

So the bottom line is this: no, by the standards of a normal civilized country, there is no real opposition in the Ukraine (except the powerless, destitute and terrified population of course). But, far more importantly, by the standards of Petro Poroshenko, there is a real and very dangerous opposition indeed; one which will most definitely oust him in any semi-credible elections.<\/span><\/p>\n

The Nazi-occupied Ukraine is rapidly coming to a watershed moment. Unless the elections are stolen and the opposition crushed, the current gang in power will be ousted. If the Ukraine attacks the Donbass, this will end up with a military disaster, either at the hands of the Novorussians, or at the hands of the Russian military. If the Ukraine attacks Russia directly, or Russian forces in the Black Sea, then the Ukrainian military will simply vanish in 24-48 hours max.\u00a0 But in spite of that, Poroshenko desperately needs a victory lest his status of \u201cSaakashvili-like Uber-loser\u201d is publicly confirmed for all to see and for the Ukrainian opposition to blame it all on his incompetence and corruption (which is his real specialty: this is also why, since he came to power the Ukraine became a failed-state while his personal net worth increased many times over).<\/span><\/p>\n

Finally, the fact that Poroshenko is a sinking ship means that, far from taking any risks on his behalf, Ukrainian politicians and military commanders must ask themselves every time they take a decision who will protect them if things go south.\u00a0 In fact, I bet you that there are a lot of discrete contacts between various high ranking Ukrainian officials and Iulia Timoshenko, something which the SBU probably reports to Poroshenko (or, worse, not!) and which further creates a sense of panic in him and his minions.\u00a0 This sense of panic might explain why, in the official journal the text of the new law mistakenly wrote 60, and not 30, days.<\/span><\/p>\n

Putin is quite correct when he says that \u201cKiev would get away even with eating babies<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u201c: the collective hypocrisy of the collective West is truly limitless.\u00a0 That, however, does not mean that Poroshenko personally could get away with anything and everything.\u00a0 While the Empire\u2019s leaders have to pretend to back the Ukraine no matter what, even against basic common sense, they are probably getting mighty fed up to have to scream \u201cwhite!!\u201d every time Poroshenko does something black.\u00a0 Still, until the Empire puts somebody else in power, Poroshenko will remain \u201ctheir son of a bitch in Kiev\u201d.\u00a0 And Poroshenko knows that, which begs the next big question:<\/span><\/p>\n

Big question #2: could Poroshenko really start large scale war?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u201cEating\u00a0 babies\u201d is all fine and dandy, but a full-scale war with either Novorussia or Russia is a very different and far more dangerous proposition.\u00a0 The Empire might not care about Ukrainian babies, but it will most definitely care about a big war in the Ukraine.\u00a0 So, let\u2019s not just look at what the Ukronazis are saying but also looking at what they are doing:<\/span><\/p>\n