{"id":179575,"date":"2018-11-25T07:23:48","date_gmt":"2018-11-25T07:23:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=179575"},"modified":"2018-11-28T06:52:26","modified_gmt":"2018-11-28T06:52:26","slug":"still-trapped-in-a-greater-middle-eastern-quagmire-us-military-prepares-for-global-combat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=179575","title":{"rendered":"US Military Prepares for Global Combat"},"content":{"rendered":"

Still Trapped in a Greater Middle Eastern Quagmire<\/h1>\n

Danny Sjursen \u2013 Russia Insider<\/a><\/span> Nov 24, 2018<\/h1>\n

American militarism has gone off the rails \u2014 and this middling career officer should have seen it coming. Earlier in this century, the U.S. military not surprisingly focused on counterinsurgency as it faced various<\/a><\/strong><\/span> indecisive and seemingly unending wars across the Greater Middle East and parts of Africa. Back in 2008, when I was still a captain newly returned from Iraq and studying at Fort Knox, Kentucky, our training scenarios generally focused on urban combat and what were called security and stabilization missions. We\u2019d plan to assault some notional city center, destroy the enemy fighters there, and then transition to pacification and \u201chumanitarian\u201d operations.<\/span><\/p>\n

Of course, no one then asked about the dubious efficacy of \u201cregime change\u201d and \u201cnation building,\u201d the two activities in which our country had been so regularly engaged. That would have been frowned upon. Still, however bloody and wasteful those wars were, they now look like relics from a remarkably simpler time. The U.S. Army knew its mission then (even if it couldn\u2019t accomplish it) and could predict what each of us young officers was about to take another crack at: counterinsurgency in Afghanistan and Iraq.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"US<\/a><\/p>\n

Fast forward eight years \u2014 during which this author fruitlessly toiled away in Afghanistan and taught at West Point \u2014 and the U.S. military ground presence has significantly decreased in the Greater Middle East, even if its wars there remain \u201cinfinite<\/a><\/strong><\/span>.\u201d The U.S. was still bombing, raiding, and \u201cadvising\u201d away in several<\/a> <\/strong><\/span>of those old haunts as I entered the Command and General Staff College at Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. Nonetheless, when I first became involved in the primary staff officer training course for mid-level careerists there in 2016, it soon became apparent to me that something was indeed changing.<\/span><\/p>\n

Our training scenarios were no longer limited to counterinsurgency operations. Now, we were planning for possible deployments to \u2014 and high-intensity conventional warfare in \u2014 the Caucasus, the Baltic Sea region, and the South China Sea (think: Russia and China). We were also planning for conflicts against an Iranian-style \u201crogue\u201d regime (think: well, Iran). The missions became all about projecting U.S. Army divisions into distant regions to fight major wars to \u201cliberate\u201d territories and bolster allies.<\/span><\/p>\n

One thing soon became clear to me in my new digs: much had changed. The U.S. military had, in fact, gone global in a big way. Frustrated by its inability to close the deal on any of the indecisive counterterror wars of this century, Washington had decided it was time to prepare for \u201creal\u201d war with a host of imagined enemies. This process had, in fact, been developing right under our noses for quite a while. You remember in 2013 when President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton began talking about a \u201cpivot<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u201d to Asia \u2014 an obvious attempt to contain China. Obama also sanctioned<\/strong> <\/a><\/span>Moscow and further militarized<\/a><\/strong><\/span> Europe in response to Russian aggression in Ukraine and the Crimea. President Trump, whose \u201cinstincts<\/a><\/span><\/strong>,\u201d on the campaign trail, were to pull out of America\u2019s Middle Eastern quagmires, turned out to be ready to escalate tensions with China, Russia, Iran, and even (for a while) North Korea.<\/span><\/p>\n

With Pentagon budgets reaching record<\/a><\/strong><\/span> levels \u2014 some $717 billion for 2019 \u2014 Washington has stayed the course, while beginning to plan for more expansive future conflicts across the globe. Today, not a single square inch of this ever-warming<\/a><\/strong><\/span> planet of ours escapes the reach of U.S. militarization.<\/span><\/p>\n

Think of these developments as establishing a potential formula for perpetual conflict that just might lead the United States into a truly cataclysmic war<\/a><\/strong><\/span> it neither needs nor can meaningfully win. With that in mind, here\u2019s a little tour of Planet Earth as the U.S. military now imagines it.<\/span><\/p>\n

Our Old Stomping Grounds: Forever War in the Middle East and Africa<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Never apt to quit, even after 17 years of failure, Washington\u2019s bipartisan military machine still churns along in the Greater Middle East. Some 14,500 U.S. troops remain in Afghanistan (along with much U.S. air power) though that war is failing<\/a><\/strong><\/span> by just about any measurable metric you care to choose \u2014 and Americans are still dying<\/a><\/strong><\/span> there, even if in diminished numbers.<\/span><\/p>\n

In Syria, U.S. forces remain trapped<\/a><\/strong><\/span> between hostile powers, one mistake away from a possible outbreak of hostilities with Russia, Iran, Syrian President Assad, or even NATO ally Turkey. While American troops (and air power) in Iraq helped destroy ISIS\u2019s physical \u201ccaliphate,\u201d they remain entangled there in a low-level guerrilla struggle in a country seemingly incapable of forming a stable political<\/a><\/strong><\/span> consensus. In other words, as yet there\u2019s no end in sight for that now 15-year-old war. Add in the drone strikes, conventional air attacks, and special forces raids that Washington regularly unleashes in Somalia, Libya, Yemen, and Pakistan, and it\u2019s clear that the U.S. military\u2019s hands remain more than full in the region.<\/span><\/p>\n

If anything, the tensions \u2014 and potential for escalation \u2014 in the Greater Middle East and North Africa are only worsening. President Trump ditched<\/a><\/strong><\/span> President Obama\u2019s Iran nuclear deal and, despite the recent drama over the murder<\/a><\/strong><\/span> of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, has gleefully backed the Saudi royals in their arms race and cold war with Iran. While the other major players in that nuclear pact remained on board, President Trump has appointed unreformed Iranophobe neocons like John Bolton and Mike Pompeo to key foreign policy positions and his administration still threatens regime change<\/a><\/strong><\/span> in Tehran.<\/span><\/p>\n

In Africa, despite talk about downsizing the U.S. presence there, the military advisory mission has only increased<\/a><\/strong><\/span> its various commitments, backing questionably legitimate governments against local opposition forces and destabilizing further an already unstable continent. You might think that waging war for two decades on two continents would at least keep the Pentagon busy and temper Washington\u2019s desire for further confrontations. As it happens, the opposite is proving to be the case.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poking the Bear: Encircling Russia and Kicking Off a New Cold War<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Vladimir Putin\u2019s Russia is increasingly autocratic and has shown a propensity for localized aggression in its sphere of influence. Still, it would be better not to exaggerate the threat. Russia did annex the Crimea, but the people of that province were Russians <\/em>and desired such a reunification. It intervened in a Ukrainian civil war, but Washington was also complicit<\/a><\/strong><\/span> in the coup that kicked off that drama. Besides, all of this unfolded in Russia\u2019s neighborhood as the U.S. military increasingly deploys<\/a><\/strong><\/span> its forces up to the very borders of the Russian Federation. Imagine the hysteria in Washington if Russia were deploying troops and advisers in Mexico or the Caribbean.<\/span><\/p>\n

To put all of this in perspective, Washington and its military machine actually prefer facing off against Russia. It\u2019s a fight the armed forces still remain comfortable with. After all, that\u2019s what its top commanders were trained for during the tail end of an almost half-century-long Cold War. Counterinsurgency is frustrating and indecisive. The prospect of preparing for \u201creal war\u201d against the good old Russians with tanks, planes, and artillery \u2014 now, that\u2019s what the military was built for!<\/span><\/p>\n

And despite all the over-hyped talk about Donald Trump\u2019s complicity with Russia, under him, the Obama-era military escalation in Europe has only expanded. Back when I was toiling hopelessly in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. Army was actually removing combat brigades from Germany and stationing them back on U.S. soil (when, of course, they weren\u2019t off fighting somewhere in the Greater Middle East). Then, in the late Obama years, the military began returning those forces to Europe and stationing<\/a><\/strong><\/span> them in the Baltic, Poland, Romania, and other countries increasingly near to Russia. That\u2019s never ended and, this year, the U.S. Air Force has delivered<\/a> <\/strong><\/span>its largest shipment of ordnance to Europe since the Cold War.<\/span><\/p>\n

Make no mistake: war with Russia would be an unnecessary disaster \u2014 and it could go nuclear. Is Latvia really worth that risk?<\/span><\/p>\n

From a Russian perspective, of course, it\u2019s Washington and its expansion<\/a><\/strong><\/span> of the (by definition) anti-Russian NATO alliance into Eastern Europe that constitutes the real aggression in the region \u2014 and Putin may have a point there. What\u2019s more, an honest assessment of the situation suggests that Russia, a country whose economy is about the size<\/a> of Spain\u2019s, has neither the will nor the capacity to invade Central Europe. Even in the bad old days of the Cold War, as we now know from Soviet archives, European conquest<\/a><\/strong><\/span> was never on Moscow\u2019s agenda. It still isn\u2019t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nonetheless, the U.S. military goes on preparing for what Marine Corps Commandant General Robert Neller, addressing some of his forces in Norway, claimed was a \u201cbig fight<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u201d to come. If it isn\u2019t careful, Washington just might get the war it seems to want and the one that no one in Europe or the rest of this planet needs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Challenging the Dragon: The Futile Quest for Hegemony in Asia<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The United States Navy has long treated the world\u2019s oceans as if they were American lakes. Washington extends no such courtesy to other great powers or nation-states. Only now, the U.S. Navy finally faces some challenges abroad \u2014 especially in the Western Pacific. A rising China, with a swiftly growing economy and carrying grievances from a long history of European imperial domination, has had the audacity to assert<\/a><\/strong><\/span> itself in the South China Sea. In response, Washington has reacted with panic and bellicosity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Never mind that the South China Sea is Beijing\u2019s Caribbean (a place where Washington long felt it had the right to do anything it wanted militarily). Heck, the South China Sea has China<\/em> in its name! The U.S. military now claims \u2014 with just enough truth to convince the uninformed \u2014 that China\u2019s growing navy is out for Pacific, if not global, dominance. Sure, at the moment China has only two<\/a><\/strong><\/span> aircraft carriers, one an old rehab<\/a><\/strong><\/span> (though it is building more) compared to the U.S. Navy\u2019s 11 full-sized and nine smaller<\/a><\/strong><\/span> carriers. And yes, China hasn\u2019t actually attacked any of its neighbors yet. Still, the American people are told that their military must prepare for possible future war with the most populous nation on the planet.<\/span><\/p>\n

In that spirit, it has been forward deploying yet more ships, Marines, and troops to the Pacific Rim surrounding China. Thousands of Marines are now stationed<\/a><\/strong><\/span> in Northern Australia; U.S. warships cruise the South Pacific; and Washington has sent mixed signals regarding its military commitments to Taiwan. Even the Indian Ocean has recently come to be seen as a possible future battleground with China, as the U.S. Navy increases its regional patrols there and Washington negotiates<\/a><\/strong><\/span> stronger military ties with China\u2019s rising neighbor, India. In a symbolic gesture, the military recently renamed<\/a><\/strong><\/span> its former Pacific Command (PACOM) the Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM).<\/span><\/p>\n

Unsurprisingly, China\u2019s military high command has escalated accordingly. They\u2019ve advised<\/a> <\/strong><\/span>their South China Sea Command to prepare for war, made their own set of provocative gestures<\/a><\/strong><\/span> in the South China Sea, and also threatened to invade Taiwan should the Trump administration change America\u2019s longstanding \u201cOne China\u201d policy.<\/span><\/p>\n

From the Chinese point of view, all of this couldn\u2019t be more logical, given that President Trump has also unleashed a \u201ctrade war<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u201d on Beijing\u2019s markets and intensified his anti-China rhetoric. And all of this is, in turn, consistent with the Pentagon\u2019s increasing militarization of the entire globe.<\/span><\/p>\n

No Land Too Distant<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Would that it were only Africa, Asia, and Europe that Washington had chosen to militarize. But as Dr. Seuss might have said<\/a><\/strong><\/span>: that is not all, oh no, that is not all. In fact, more or less every square inch of our spinning planet not already occupied by a rival state has been deemed a militarized space to be contested. The U.S. has long been unique in the way it divided the entire surface of the globe into geographical (combatant) commands<\/a><\/strong><\/span> presided over by generals and admirals who functionally serve as regional Roman-style proconsuls.<\/span><\/p>\n

And the Trump years are only accentuating this phenomenon. Take Latin America, which might normally be considered a non-threatening space for the U.S., though it is already under the gaze of U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM). Recently, however, having already threatened to \u201cinvade<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u201d Venezuela, President Trump spent the election campaign rousing his base on the claim that a desperate caravan of Central American refugees \u2014 hailing from countries the U.S. had a significant responsibility<\/a><\/strong><\/span> for destabilizing in the first place \u2014 was a literal \u201cinvasion<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u201d and so yet another military problem. As such, he ordered<\/a><\/strong><\/span> more than 5,000 troops (more than currently serve in Syria or Iraq) to the U.S.-Mexico border.<\/span><\/p>\n

Though he is not the first<\/a> <\/strong><\/span>to try to do so, he has also sought to militarize<\/a><\/strong><\/span> space and so create a possible fifth branch of the U.S. military, tentatively known as the Space Force<\/a><\/strong><\/span>. It makes sense. War has long been three dimensional, so why not bring U.S. militarism into the stratosphere, even as the U.S. Army is evidently<\/a><\/strong><\/span> training and preparing for a new cold war (no pun intended) with that ever-ready adversary, Russia, around the Arctic Circle.<\/span><\/p>\n

If the world as we know it is going to end, it will either be thanks to the long-term threat of climate change or an absurd nuclear war. In both cases, Washington has been upping the ante and doubling down. On climate change, of course, the Trump administration seems intent<\/a><\/strong><\/span> on loading the atmosphere with ever more greenhouse gases. When it comes to nukes, rather than admit that they are unusable and seek to further downsize the bloated U.S. and Russian arsenals, that administration, like Obama\u2019s, has committed itself to the investment<\/a><\/strong><\/span> of what could, in the end, be at least $1.6 trillion over three decades for the full-scale \u201cmodernization\u201d of that arsenal. Any faintly rational set of actors would long ago have accepted that nuclear war is unwinnable and a formula for mass human extinction. As it happens, though, we\u2019re not dealing with rational actors but with a defense establishment that considers it a prudent move to withdraw<\/a><\/strong><\/span> from the Cold War era Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty with Russia.<\/span><\/p>\n

And that ends our tour of the U.S. military\u2019s version of Planet Earth.<\/span><\/p>\n

It is often said that, in an Orwellian sense, every nation needs an enemy to unite and discipline its population. Still, the U.S. must stand alone in history as the only country to militarize the whole globe (with space thrown in) in preparation for taking on just about anyone. Now, that\u2019s exceptional.<\/span><\/p>\n

Danny Sjursen, a <\/em>TomDispatch regular<\/em><\/a><\/strong><\/span>, is a U.S. Army major and former history instructor at West Point. He served tours with reconnaissance units in Iraq and Afghanistan. He has written <\/em>Ghost Riders of Baghdad: Soldiers, Civilians, and the Myth of the Surge<\/a><\/strong><\/span>. He lives with his wife and four sons in Lawrence, Kansas. Follow him on Twitter at @SkepticalVet<\/a> and check out his podcast \u201c<\/em>Fortress on a Hill<\/a><\/strong><\/span>,\u201d co-hosted with fellow vet Chris Henriksen.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Originally posted at TomDispatch<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An Iraq War veteran and former instructor at the Command and General Staff College at Fort Leavenworth, on how the U.S. hasn\u2019t dispensed with plans for endless war<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[34,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-179575","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the_war_on_terror","category-Commentary"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179575","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=179575"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179575\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":179584,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179575\/revisions\/179584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=179575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=179575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=179575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}