{"id":123334,"date":"2015-10-21T06:00:27","date_gmt":"2015-10-21T06:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=123334"},"modified":"2015-10-25T09:24:47","modified_gmt":"2015-10-25T09:24:47","slug":"us-contemplates-failure-in-the-middle-east-as-russia-rises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=123334","title":{"rendered":"US contemplates failure in the Middle East as Russia rises"},"content":{"rendered":"

Charis Chang — News.com.au October 21, 20104<\/h1>\n
\"A<\/a>

A frame grab taken from video released by the Russian Defence Ministry October 1, 2015, shows Russian jets hitting a target in Syria, which the Kremlin says includes a list of well-known militant organizations and not only Islamic State. REUTERS\/Ministry of Defence of the Russian. Federation\/Handout. Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n

RUSSIA\u2019S power play in Syria appears to be paying off with the superpower making inroads against Islamic State and other extremist groups, leaving its American rivals looking ineffective and highlighting US failures in the region.<\/span><\/p>\n

When Russia decided to involve itself in the war in Syria, American officials accused it of \u201cpouring gasoline on the fire\u201d in Syria and being \u201cunprofessional\u201d for only giving the US an hour\u2019s notice of its intention to launch air strikes.<\/span><\/p>\n

But just weeks later, Russia\u2019s provocative move seems to be paying off.<\/span><\/p>\n

Professor Clive Williams of Macquarie University\u2019s Centre for Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism told news.com.au that Russia\u2019s support had helped Syrian armed forces make advances in some contested areas and \u201cclearly it has made a difference for them\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Earlier this year, commentators were writing off the Syrian army and suggesting that the government\u2019s days were numbered.<\/span><\/p>\n

With Russian air support, Syrians have been able to hit back against Islamic State in central and north-western regions, in a war that has stretched out for four years under the US\u2019s watch.<\/span><\/p>\n

The US is opposed to the Syrian regime headed by brutal President Bashar al-Assad and has so far refused to help its troops, but Prof Williams said it was better for the Assad regime to be in power, than for the likely alternative of jihadist groups Islamic State and Jabhat al-Nusra to prevail.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWe know what Islamic State is capable of, they are obviously ruthless and clearly have an agenda to dominate other opposition groups,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

He said Russia\u2019s success highlighted the US\u2019s lack of strategy.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cAmerica doesn\u2019t really have a strategy but Russia\u2019s is clear cut,\u201d he said, adding that Russia aimed to support Assad\u2019s regime and its own strategic interests.<\/span><\/p>\n

While the US\u2019s aim was to support Iraq and counter Islamic State, Prof Williams said what it was doing \u201cwas not really making much of a difference on the ground\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

This was partly because the US did not want to put American boots on the ground and was limited in what it could achieve through air strikes.<\/span><\/p>\n

Iraqi forces backed by the US had corrupt leaders and were poorly motivated, and seemed to be militarily incapable of making advances against Islamic State.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThey rely mainly on the Kurds to do the ground fighting and they are really only interested in establishing their own state,\u201d Prof Williams said.<\/span><\/p>\n

HAS AMERICA FAILED?<\/h2>\n
\"Russian<\/a>

Russian President Vladimir Putin has shown leadership in fight against IS<\/p><\/div>\n

Earlier this month, US President Barack Obama admitted that his efforts to help resolve the Syria crisis had so far failed, but defended his strategy<\/a> <\/strong><\/span>and dismissed assertions that Russian President Vladimir Putin was now the dominant world leader.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI didn\u2019t say it was going to be done in a year,\u201d Obama said in a US 60 Minutes interview. \u201cSyria has been a difficult problem for the entire world community. What we have not been able to do so far \u2014 and I\u2019m the first to acknowledge this \u2014 is to change the dynamic inside of Syria.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

But this week former US secretary of state Henry Kissinger argued in The Wall Street Journal<\/a><\/strong><\/span> that Russia\u2019s military action was the latest symptom of the \u201cdisintegration of the American role in stabilising the Middle East order\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

He said the geopolitical alliances in the region were now in \u201cshambles\u201d and that four countries \u2014 Libya, Yemen, Syria and Iraq \u2014 had ceased to function.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cAmerican policy has sought to straddle the motivations of all parties and is therefore on the verge of losing the ability to shape events,\u201d Kissinger wrote.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe US is now opposed to, or at odds in some way or another with, all parties in the region: with Egypt on human rights, with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, with each of the Syrian parties over different objectives.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He said the US wanted to remove Assad but had been unwilling to generate effective political or military leverage to achieve that aim, or to put forward an alternative political structure to replace him. This had allowed Russia, Iran, Islamic State and other terrorist organisations to move into the vacuum.<\/span><\/p>\n

When asked whether America had failed, Prof Williams said: \u201cI don\u2019t think its strategy in the Middle East is very effective\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt has involved itself in the war between Shia and Sunni Islam without understanding the dynamics of the situation.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIn the longer term whatever America does isn\u2019t going to be very effective.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He said the US needed to rethink its approach more generally in the Middle East, including its relationship with Israel and Saudi Arabia, and whether there was a more effective way to counter Islamic State, by supporting Iranian and Shia militia forces in Iraq, for example.<\/span><\/p>\n

Overall if you looked at American involvement in the Middle East since the 1990s, Prof Williams said: \u201cit has all been pretty disastrous in terms of long term outcomes\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rather than having a clear objective, he said America seemed to \u201cjump in\u201d to conflicts in the Middle East and South Asia before pulling out after a few years.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019m not sure whether Western involvement in the Middle East against Islamic State is really the answer,\u201d Prof Williams said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Smoke<\/a>

Smoke rises after shelling by the Syrian army last week in Jobar, Damascus, Syria. Backed by Russian air strikes, the Syrian army has launched an offensive in central and north-western regions. Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201cThe situation in the Middle East is complicated and I think we need to step back and think about what sort of strategic outcomes we want and how best to achieve them.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He said that America\u2019s best move to combat Islamic State could actually be to withdraw from the conflict and let regional countries sort out what is essentially a regional problem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIf we weren\u2019t involved, Islamic State would also be less of a problem in Australia. They are attacking us at the moment because we are involved in attacking them,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWe could pull out and let the Saudis and Iranians get on with it. The Saudis are fighting through proxies and so is Iran. Maybe there\u2019s not much to be gained by us from being involved in that situation.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

IS RUSSIA THE REAL WINNER?<\/h2>\n

Last month Russia announced an intelligence-sharing agreement with Syria, Iran, and Iraq in their fight against Islamic State, a move The New York Times says caught US officials completely off guard.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt was another sign,\u201d Michael Gordon wrote, that Russia \u201cwas moving ahead with a sharply different tack from that of the Obama administration in battling the Islamic State \u2026 by assembling a rival coalition that includes Iran and the Syrian government\u201d.<\/span>
\n On Monday, US Secretary of State John Kerry said the US would meet with Russian, Saudi and Turkish leaders to seek an end to the conflict in Syria.<\/span><\/p>\n

Allowing Syria to become a haven for terrorist operations would not benefit any of the nations, including Russia, which would be concerned that the influence of the extremist groups could reach into Muslim regions along its southern border.<\/span><\/p>\n

When asked whether Russia would be the winner in Syria, Prof Williams said it was in a much better position to be there in the longer term than the US.<\/span><\/p>\n

He said Russia had been accessing a naval base in Syria since the 1970s and was there at the invitation of the Syrian regime. The naval facility in Tartus has been in use since 1971, and it was Russia\u2019s only spot in the Mediterranean where warships could stop for repairs and replenishment. This year Russia also established a forward air base nearby, in Latakia.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s not like they suddenly appeared on the scene to make life difficult for the Americans,\u201d Prof Williams said, adding that Russia had an enduring strategic interest in Syria.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIf it wants to be seen as a world player it needs access to foreign bases, access to the port in Syria is very important in that context.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Ultimately, he said Russia would probably be more effective against Islamic State because it had a clear mission to protect its military assets and support the Assad regime.<\/span><\/p>\n

Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Does this mark the beginning of the end of a short-lived American Empire? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,91,83],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-123334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-russia","category-syria"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=123334"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123334\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":123346,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123334\/revisions\/123346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=123334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=123334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=123334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}