{"id":100788,"date":"2014-07-16T06:09:39","date_gmt":"2014-07-16T06:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=100788"},"modified":"2022-03-01T21:17:52","modified_gmt":"2022-03-01T21:17:52","slug":"nato-hopes-for-russian-invasion-of-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/?p=100788","title":{"rendered":"NATO Hopes for Russian Invasion of Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tony Cartalucci — New Eastern Outlook July 15, 2014<\/a><\/h1>\n

In the minds of many following along with the Western narrative regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, the Russians have already \u201cinvaded.\u201d Despite paradoxical claims of nuclear-armed Russia \u201cinvading\u201d eastern Ukraine but with Kiev\u2019s battered, disorganized troops in mismatching uniforms and without daily rations overwhelming these forces, many have chosen to believe that indeed Kiev\u2019s inability to assert control in Ukraine\u2019s easternmost provinces is solely because of Russian \u201cintervention.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

The \u201cRe-Invasion\u201d of Ukraine?\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n
\"Military<\/a>

Military vehicle destroyed during clash between pro Russian separatists and Ukrtainian government forces near Mariupol on June 13. Click to enlarge<\/p><\/div>\n

Even with the West claiming Russia has already \u201cinvaded\u201d Ukraine, at each juncture of the ongoing conflict, an \u201cimpending Russian invasion of Ukraine\u201d is held up to once again terrify and incense Western audiences \u2013 as if \u201canother invasion\u201d is about to take place \u2013 a \u201cre-invasion\u201d perhaps.<\/span><\/p>\n

The Business Insider in a July 6, 2014 article titled, \u201cRussia Has Effectively Invaded Eastern Ukraine \u2014 The Question Is How The West Will Respond<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span>,\u201d claimed (emphasis added):<\/span><\/p>\n

For his part, Mr Putin appears, at least for now, to have ruled out a full-frontal invasion. On June 24th he theatrically instructed the ever-loyal upper house of parliament to cancel the authorisation for military force in Ukraine that he had ordered up in early March. The move was largely an empty fob to Mr Poroshenko and another way to ward off more Western sanctions.\u00a0Yet even if a tanks-and-soldiers invasion seems unlikely, a Russian invasion of another sort began long ago: one that resembles the slippery, post-modern war \u2026<\/b><\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

With Kiev\u2019s military campaign against fellow Ukrainians to the east faring poorly, an actual Russian invasion of Ukraine would only benefit them and their backers in both the European Union and collaborating states within NATO. Despite attempts to portray local defense fighters withdrawing from the Donetsk city of Slavyansk as a \u201cretreat\u201d and a \u201cturning point\u201d in the conflict in favor of Kiev, Kiev\u2019s forces have continued to suffer heavy losses, most recently in Lugansk where apparently an entire tank column of between 40-70 vehicles was destroyed.<\/span><\/p>\n

The BBC reported in its article, \u201cUkraine conflict: Fighting flares near city of Luhansk<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span>,\u201d that:<\/span><\/p>\n

Fighting has flared outside the rebel-held east Ukrainian city of Luhansk, with rebels saying government forces tried to storm the city with tanks.\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Rebel military leader Igor Strelkov was quoted as saying his forces had beaten off columns of government armour attacking from the south and west.<\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The same article would also report:<\/span><\/p>\n

A Ukrainian presidential source told Ukrayinska Pravda newspaper that an armoured unit was trying to relieve troops who had been blockaded for weeks at Luhansk airport.<\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Strelkov (the nom-de-guerre of Igor Girkin) said the rebels had beaten off two government armoured columns numbering between 40 and 70 tanks.<\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

With Kiev forces encircled in Lugansk and the forces sent to relieve them apparently destroyed \u2013 a miniature Stalingrad \u2013 it would seem like Russia has little reason to \u201cinvade\u201d Ukraine. Still the West is intent on salvaging what appears to be an increasingly ineffective Ukrainian army racking up as many civilian casualties as it is defeats on the field of battle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Russia on Sunday accused Ukraine of lobbing a shell over the border and killing a Russian civilian and warned of \u201cirreversible consequences,\u201d in a sharp escalation of rhetoric that raised fears of a Russian invasion in Ukraine\u2019s east.<\/i>The Washington Post, in the wake of Kiev\u2019s most recent setback in Lugansk, would declare in its article, \u201cRussia warns Ukraine of \u2018irreversible consequences\u2019 after cross-border shelling<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span>,\u201d that:<\/span><\/p>\n

The accusation, which Ukrainian officials denied, set off furious denunciations in Russia, with one senior legislator calling for pinpoint airstrikes on Ukrainian soil of the sort he said Israel was making in the Gaza Strip.<\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The use of hyperbole allegedly spoken by a single Russian legislator to stoke fears of an impending Russian invasion has been a frequently used ploy by the Western media to manipulate public perception. Quoting obscure former \u201cofficials\u201d in Iran has been used to disingenuously portray the whole of Iranian foreign policy in a particularly unflattering light more than once. The Washington Post would also claim of the Ukrainian conflict:<\/span><\/p>\n

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said last week that his nation was prepared to take all necessary steps to defend its territory \u2014 a declaration that appeared to keep open the option of outright intervention in Ukraine.\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The desire by the West to portray Russia as \u201cinvading Ukraine\u201d is rooted in the belief that it will undermine Russia\u2019s political leverage and open the doors to more aggressive NATO support for the faltering regime in Kiev. Perceived Russian aggression might make it easier to convince NATO and EU members who have not followed suit in exacting sanctions and condemnation against Russia to begin taking a more anti-Russian stance.<\/span><\/p>\n

Why Russia Doesn\u2019t Need to Invade Ukraine\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n

Whether or not Russia is already covertly supporting fighters inside of Ukraine has little impact on its unnecessary need to directly invade Ukrainian territory. If Russia is not supporting fighters inside of Ukraine, it appears then that these fighters are more than capable of miring Kiev\u2019s forces and picking them apart through classical guerrilla warfare on their own. If Russia is already covertly supporting fighters inside of Ukraine, all it needs to do is send more covert aid. The West is already accusing Russia of allowing armored vehicles to move over Russia\u2019s border with Ukraine \u2013 what else could Russia do then that would constitute an outright \u201cinvasion?\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

At any point of the conflict, if Ukraine\u2019s provocations are not obvious enough, Russia will not benefit from crossing the border into Ukraine. Russia\u2019s restraint thus far has exposed\u00a0the West\u2019s \u201cresponsibility to protect<\/span><\/a>\u201d<\/strong><\/span> (R2P) doctrine as dressed-up imperialism. Surely if ever a conflict warranted \u201chumanitarian intervention,\u201d\u00a0it would be Kiev\u2019s assault on eastern Ukrainians<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/span>with warplanes, tanks, and artillery \u2013 indiscriminately shelling populated centers to compensate for the lack of capable grounds troops necessary to more precisely and safely engage with anti-Kiev fighters. That the West is not only failing to condemn this, but encouraging it, lays R2P to rest as cover for unilateral, global military aggression.<\/span><\/p>\n

For Russia to likewise cite R2P would be to legitimize this otherwise dubious policy, and even normalize its use elsewhere around the world.<\/span><\/p>\n

For many reasons Russia will not benefit from invading Ukraine, and for many more reason, NATO and the EU would benefit from it \u2013 at least rhetorically. The Russians are therefore likely to resist provocations by Ukraine to cross the border and give NATO further excuses to meddle in Eastern Europe. Instead, Russia will allow Kiev to continue displaying its brutality and incompetence on the battlefield while eastern Ukrainians continue picking apart their forces. Meanwhile, economic pressure will continue undermining the regime in Kiev even amongst its supporters in western Ukraine.<\/span><\/p>\n

The clock is ticking and an outright military victory over Kiev\u2019s forces is not necessary for eastern Ukrainians to achieve their goals. Conducting a confounding guerrilla campaign against Kiev will time out the clock until either mutiny or economic pressure gets the better of the regime and attempts to push eastward to consolidate its power will become an impossibility.<\/span><\/p>\n

Source <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tony Cartalucci on why those hopes are unlikely to be fulfilled anytime soon<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39262,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61,91,116],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-100788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-Commentary","category-russia","category-ukraine"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100788","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/39262"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=100788"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100788\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":250295,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100788\/revisions\/250295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=100788"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=100788"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thetruthseeker.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=100788"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}