Is This Evidence of Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program?

News Brief – November 11, 2011

The photos below were used to backup recent claims that Iran has active nuclear weapons development program.
Google released overhead satellite images of two nuclear facilities at Arak and Natanz, which the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) claims have given rise to ‘serious concerns regarding possible military dimensions to Iran’s nuclear programme’.
The first image of Natanz (below), regarded as Iran’s biggest nuclear facility, was taken in 2010.

The IAEA claims second photo taken a year later shows changes in the roads at the site (highlighted below), which have been developed or removed, plus additional modifications to the landscape at the facility.

We leave you to decide whether these photos above constitute proof that Iran has been developing a detonator for a nuclear warhead, as the IAEA claims.
Other photos in the latest IAEA report show the heavy water production plant at Arak in 2010 and 2011.
The changes on the site are more obvious here with the appearance of new buildings and the removal of others.
The latest IAEA report claims that Iran is developing a nuclear warhead for a medium range ballistic missile capable of reaching Israel.

According to the IAEA’s report Iran is actively engaged in:
  • Clandestine procurement of equipment and design information needed to make a nuclear weapon;
  • High explosives testing and detonator development to set off a nuclear charge;
  • Computer modelling of a core of a nuclear warhead;
  • Preparatory work for a nuclear weapons test, and
  • Developing and mounting a nuclear payload onto its Shahab 3 intermediate range missile – a weapon that can reach Israel, Iran’s arch foe.
Western intelligence reportedly believes that Israel will attempt to strike against these nuclear sites ‘sooner rather than later’, as it sees an existential threat in a nuclear armed Iran. If the Zionist state does launch a strike, say military analysts, it will probably do so with logistical support from the U.S. and maybe the UK too.
A senior British Foreign Office figure has revealed that ministers have been told to expect Israeli military action soon, adding: ‘We’re expecting something as early as Christmas, or very early in the new year.’
Do you think that the above photos prove any of the IAEA’s claims? Or are they simply being used to provide spurious justification for a strike on Iran?
Like earlier claims about Iraq’s drive for Weapons of Mass Destruction, will they help pave the way for another war?
Or like the evidence of Saddam’s Chemical Weapons laboratories that Colin Powell presented to the United Nations, will they be seen as a lie. Remember the satellite photos of mobile chemical weapons laboratories that Powell claimed provided “irrefutable” proof of Saddam Hussein’s WMD program?
We now know that those claims and the evidence used to “prove” them were completely fraudulent. Unfortunately this became apparent too late and we only know this now after the deaths of hundreds of thousands of innocent Iraqis.
In years to come will we look back on the photos above and see them in a similar light?
Iran has rejected the IAEA findings on its nuclear work as “lousy” intelligence work and we are inclined to agree.
Little wonder then that the IAEA has been somewhat slow in releasing these photos. For far from revealing conclusively that Iran is actively engaged in developing nuclear weapons they reveal the paucity of evidence behind such claims.
As they say: those who wont learn from the mistakes of the past are doomed to repeat them, and now history appears to be about to repeat itself.
Is the Western public about to swallow yet more lies about Weapons of Mass Destruction? If they do the resultant conflict promises to be far worse than Iraq and could well spill over into Europe and beyond. 

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