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Rixon Stewart – Jan 19, 2020

Trump won the last election with pledges he has yet to deliver on. During his 2016 presidential campaign he promised to build a wall on the border with Mexico, and improve relations with Russia: he has yet to deliver on either. Trump also told voters that should he become president he would give his generals “thirty days” to come up with a plan to defeat Islamic State (ISIS/ISIL/Daesh). As it happened he did not have to bother as Russia’s decisive intervention in Syria did that for him, with minimal U.S. help.
Then, in 2018, Trump pledged to withdraw remaining U.S. forces from Syria. They were there on the pretext of fighting Islamic militants and despite Trump’s pledge they are STILL there in 2020.
With such a track record you would think that Trump would be unlikely to win a second term. However, two things stand in his favour. First, generally speaking Americans have short memories and are truly parochial in their view of the world. Indeed, most U.S. voters could probably not even find Syria on the map and we suspect that few know that it was Russian intervention that led to the fall of the Islamic State, not America’s.
Secondly, Trump’s opponents are likely to be so lacklustre or unappealing that U.S. voters will have little real choice. So either they don’t vote or they choose the candidate who will inflict the least damage. In 2016 Trump was a clear choice over Clinton, who would have been an unmitigated disaster, for America and the world.
It still remains to be seen who will run against Trump in 2020, but my guess is that Trump has already secured a second term because he’s made a promise to those who count. Not to the American people but to the powers that be.
In return for the keys to the White House Trump has pledged to wage war on Iran.
This will ensure an opponent who is either so lacklustre or so patently off-the-mark that Americans will have little REAL choice. Either they don’t vote, or they make the same suicidal choice that Hillary Clinton would have been  in 2016. In other words, it’s no contest.
Then once Trump has secured his second term he can start rolling out plans for war with Iran. It may not even involve extensive use of the U.S. military, at least not directly. In fact, as much as it goes against the grain, America is now keeping its military campaigns fairly low profile. Indeed, as we’ve seen recently in Syria, the U.S. is now using proxies to do its dirty work, the actual fighting and dying.
Moreover, in his face-off with Iran Trump has a well-armed proxy ready and willing in Saudi Arabia. This also makes business sense, which will appeal to Trump the businessman. To wage war today is an expensive enterprise and to do so against Iran the Saudis will need lots of new, and expensive weapons, which the U.S. will happily supply.
For what it is worth psychic Craig Hamilton-Parker has predicted as much but we don’t think this will happen because some psychic says so. No, we believe this will happen because it makes absolute sense logically.
It’s a win-win for Trump. He will gain a second-term in office, plus big arms sales and deal a blow to America’s (and Israel’s) long-time antagonist.
Or so he thinks. We suspect that things will not go nearly as smoothly as Trump hopes. Either way we will know soon enough.