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News Commentary – July 4, 2019

The Khordad-3 air defense system that was reportedly used to shoot down the U.S. Global Hawk. Click to enlarge

In a recent Fars News report, a senior Iranian commander is quoted as saying that the U.S. is “afraid” of war with Iran and in a way he may be right.
Although we suspect that U.S. commanders are more concerned with the potentially high casualties that might ensue rather than “afraid”, the fact is that the U.S. military would have its work cut out in any conventional conflict with Iran. Because apart from being a much bigger country with a bigger population, Iran is also much better prepared militarily than Iraq was in 2003.
Having seen what happened in 2003 Iran has developed or acquired an array of sophisticated weapons to counter U.S. aggression.
U.S. military commanders know this and they understand that Iran would be no pushover. Conflict with Iran would make the campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan seem like minor skirmishes in comparison.
So Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Commander Major General Hossein Salami is correct, in a sense, when he says that U.S. military commanders are “afraid” of conflict with Iran.
However, that DOES NOT mean that the U.S. military won’t obey if they are ordered to launch strikes on Iran. Because although Trump recently called off strikes in retaliation for the downing of the U.S. Global Hawk, he may still be intent on confronting Tehran.
The U.S. is currently engaged in an incremental military build-up in the region. F-35s and F-22s have recently been deployed along with a carrier strike group, Patriot missile batteries and over one thousand U.S. Marines.
This is still far from sufficient to strike Iran so Trump may be waiting until enough U.S. forces are deployed before he does anything. In the meantime he is playing psychological games with Iran, making threats that he doesn’t intend to follow through on. Not yet, anyway.
We hope, as Iranian military commanders seem to believe, that this is merely to intimidate Iran. After all, Trump doesn’t have the same international coalition behind him that Bush had in 2003.
However, according to a recent UPI report much of the U.S. military build-up in the region is going on surreptitiously and may be bigger than has been reported.
According to the Daily Express the U.S. may have deployed as many as a dozen top-line F-22s, together with an unspecified number of F-35s. To be sure that’s still not enough to strike at Iran but the U.S. is gradually building up its forces to the point where it will be able to do so.
In April, David Goldberg (left), who had obtained top-secret White House documents, reported that Trump was planning to launch strikes on Iran this fall. If that is indeed the case these deployments could be the initial, low-key build-up to those strikes.
Adding credibility to his claim is the fact that Goldberg was subsequently found dead in his apartment after he had written an article detailing the nature and composition of the planned strikes.
Was he murdered to prevent him revealing anything more?
Apparently the police and other unidentified security types searched his apartment from top to bottom looking for something. Were they looking for the documents detailing the planned attack on Iran?
If so they didn’t find them because Goldberg had secreted them in a hidden under floor safe and given copies to friends.
According to the documents, a false flag was going to be used as a pretext for massive strikes on Iran involving nuclear weapons.
We cannot confirm this but a reliable clairvoyant friend says that Trump’s inner circle and his Zionist allies are planning something big. They are, he warns, planning wide-ranging strikes on Iran that will culminate in catastrophic destruction.
Of course that doesn’t mean that this will necessarily happen but he’s been right about many other events so these strikes may at least have been planned. Whether they happen or not remains to be seen.
Other recent developments lend weight to his assessment:
-> According to some reports, Israel has reportedly been encouraged by the fact that one of its F-35s penetrated Iranian airspace undetected last year. If Israeli Air Force F-35s can do it then U.S. F-35s will be able to as well. Opening the way for air strikes on key Iranian sites.
-> In addition, Israel is reportedly preparing for some sort military “conflagration” with Iran. Does this mean that Israel and maybe Saudi Arabia will assist the U.S. in its campaign?
Are the U.S. forces currently in the region and others who may join them later, being deployed to take part in this campaign?
Goldberg’s documents speak of 120,000 U.S. service personnel being deployed. Crucially, that figure of 120,000 has been partially confirmed in plans for a U.S. military response to an Iranian attack on its forces in the region.
To be sure 120,000 is not enough for an invasion of Iran. But if widespread nuclear strikes were delivered it would be enough for mopping up operations afterwards.
Is this why U.S. forces are being deployed to the region? Not to invade but to clear up and subdue Iran after a series of devastating nuclear strikes?
Despite sanctions Iran has developed some sophisticated weapons. If it continues to develop its military/industrial capabilities then at some point soon it will be able to challenge Israel and America’s dominance of the region.
Bullies and cowards are at their most dangerous when challenged. Even now the U.S. would be unlikely to prevail in a conventional military conflict with Iran. The best the U.S. and its allies could hope for would be a bloody stalemate. In another decade or so that may not be possible, as Iran may have developed the means to overcome America’s military supremacy.
Make no mistake, there are some genuinely evil people in the Trump administration (Bolton). There are also some vain, easily influenced airheads (Trump). It’s and explosive mix that could have catastrophic consequences.
This is why the prospect of U.S. nuclear strikes on Iran is plausible and why it would appeal to U.S. and Israeli hawks. They could bomb it back into the “stone age” and neutralise an emerging threat to their regional dominance.
Admittedly this may sound alarmist but time is running out and Mike Pompeo, John Bolton and their Zionist allies know it. Ed.